Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Monday, July 27
The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Monday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.
Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Monday, July 27!
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Luis Garcia Jr. (WSH) +330
Nationals first baseman Luis Garcia Jr. continues to build on his career year now sitting at 21 home runs and 70 RBIs. Washington welcomes in Toronto who is sending Max Scherzer to the mound coming off the 15-day IL while only pitching 22 innings this year so far.
During that 22 innings he has allowed nine home runs as we’ll look for Garcia Jr. to hit his home run prop tonight. Statistically Garcia has been a better hitter on the road than at home this season but he has hit 10 of his 21 home runs at Nationals Park and 19 of 21 home runs off right handed pitching.
Scherzer and Garcia Jr. have crossed paths multiple times already in their careers with Garcia going 6-11 with two home runs against the Blue Jays starter all-time.
Over the last 30 days Garcia is batting .325 and slugging .699 including eight home runs with Scherzer giving up five home runs in total across his last two starts (6 IP).
Let’s look at Garcia to belt his 22nd home run this season at +330 odds with other Washington players to consider for a home run prop includes James Wood (+230) and C.J. Abrams (+320).
MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #2: Willson Contreras (BOS) +340
Second year pitcher Jack Perkins gets the start for the Athletics tonight in Sacramento as they welcome the Red Sox who will be leaving Boston for the first time since the all-star break.
We’ll take a shot at a home run prop for Willson Contreras with the Red Sox bats coming slightly down to earth since their 15-game winning streak was snapped.
Contreras has been hot as of late batting .323 and slugging .645 across the last 30 days and he has belted 15 of his 22 home runs against right handed pitching this season while slugging .532 against them.
Perkins is a righty who has allowed six of his 11 home runs to right handed hitters while allowing a .492 slugging percentage against them compared to a .395 slugging percentage against left handed hitters.
Perkins has also allowed seven of his 11 home runs at home while compiling a 7.41 ERA compared to a 5.97 ERA when pitching on the road.
The Athletics starter has allowed five of those home runs over his last three starts (11.2 IP) so let’s take Contreras to hit his home run prop at +340 odds. Other Red Sox batters to look at for a home run prop includes Wilyer Abreu (+310) and Curtis Mead (+480).
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