Dana White's Contender Series: Week 6 Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds September 16

Dana White’s Contender Series Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his Week 6 Dana White’s Contender Series picks and predictions for September 16, 2025 with the main event headlined by Mackson Lee vs Hecher Sosa in a bantamweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.

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Mackson Lee vs Hecher Sosa: Dana White’s Contender Series Main Event

Tuesday, September 16	Dana White’s Contender Series Week 6 (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Mackson Lee -170 vs Hecher Sosa +130
Rounds:	N/A
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 8:00pm ET / 5:00pm PT
Arena:	UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV
TV:	ESPN+

Dana White’s Contender Series Week 6 Predictions

Mahamed Aly -230 vs Iwo Baraniewski +175

Mahamed Aly is still raw in MMA with only a handful of fights, though he has extensive grappling experience despite losing more than he’s won on the mats.

He brings serious power and is coming off a March win over UFC veteran Jared Good, but with limited tape available, it’s tough to know exactly what to expect from him here.

Baraniewski, on the other hand, is pure violence — all of his fights have ended in first-round finishes, as he storms forward with relentless pressure and heavy strikes.

He’ll be the smaller fighter, but his style all but guarantees chaos. The best angle here is the total: this fight going under 1.5 rounds is the play of the night, as Baraniewski will push the pace and Aly will have no choice but to meet fire with fire.

Tommy Gantt -154 vs Adam Livingston +120

I like Tommy Gantt in this matchup, as he thrives in the clinch against the fence, mixing in short strikes while wearing opponents down.

He brings solid cardio and legitimate power, with the ability to carry finishing danger late into fights. Livingston is a sharp striker, but his gas tank is a concern, as he appeared to fade in the second round of his last fight before pulling through with a doctor’s stoppage.

The biggest question for Gantt is the level of competition, as he hasn’t faced anyone close to a proven professional. Even with that caveat, his pressure, clinch work, and cardio should give him the edge. Gantt is the pick.

Paddy McCorry -220 vs In Soo Hwang +170

This is a low-level matchup where neither fighter looks UFC caliber. McCorry lost on The Ultimate Fighter, should have dropped his fight before that after being dominated on the ground, and his last two wins came against opponents with a combined record of just 8-8.

His striking and defense are both suspect, making him tough to trust. Hwang doesn’t bring much more to the table, as he’s extremely low volume on the feet, tentative, and has shown little ground game.

He’s barely squeaked by in recent decision wins, has fought almost exclusively Asian competition, and even once lost in just five seconds. As shaky as McCorry is, Hwang is simply worse, making McCorry the pick.

Raphael Uchegbu -188 vs Cody Chovancek +145

Raphael Uchegbu and Cody Chovancek match up in what should be a very competitive fight. Both men are patient, well-conditioned, and comfortable whether the fight stays standing or goes to the mat.

Uchegbu brings the advantages of height, reach, and more consistent control on the ground, while Chovancek has the clear edge in power on the feet.

Cody has continued to improve with each outing, showing sharper skills and a stronger killer instinct. While Uchegbu’s control could make things tricky, Chovancek’s upside and ability to land damaging shots give him the edge. I won’t be betting it, but I’ll side with Chovancek as the pick.

Dana White’s Contender Series Event: Mackson Lee -175 vs Hecher Sosa +135

Mackson Lee will have a massive height and reach advantage, and he knows how to use it. He’s shown strong leg kicks, dangerous spinning attacks, and has proven finishing ability with both strikes and submissions, though he can be vulnerable in the clinch and on the ground.

Sosa is a slick striker with excellent movement, accuracy, and the ability to disguise his combinations, making him unpredictable yet composed.

While the lean is toward Lee thanks to his length and striking variety, the best angle in this matchup is the total. These two are likely to trade at a high pace, and with their finishing ability, under 2.5 rounds is the best bet.

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