Pavlos Laguretos

THE PLAY: REGULATION Mohamed Salah to Score or Assist (-165)

Liverpool vs Manchester United
EPL, Sunday, 11:30am ET

Play: Mohamed Salah to Score or Assist
Odds at Time of Release: -165 DraftKings
Line Parameter: Line good to -180

Liverpool are -155 favourites at home, the Draw is at +325 and Manchester United are +425 underdogs on the road, with the Spread set at 1 goal and the Total set at 3.25. There's been some significant line movement towards Man United in the past couple of days, who were +700 underdogs, now down to +425.

The reason is Liverpool's bad form prior to the break with 3 consecutive losses for the first time in quite a while, with Mo Salah also being in bad form during that span. However, he always springs back to life whenever he faces Manchester United, with 16 goals and 6 assists in 17 matches against the Red Devils.

He is +130 to score anytime at DraftKings, and -165 to Score or Assist, which is a really good option considering his past matches vs Manchester United. Last season he scored in both matches against them, and also dished out 2 assists in one of two matches.

For a Side Bet I don't like any side, as weird as it may seem. Liverpool ML at -155 is either a gift or a curse, my hand cannot go to a -155 for a team that has lost 3 in a row. Logic dictates that they will not be as bad, but we are betting here, and logic doesn't always decide who wins. but on the other hand, there is an unwritten rule in soccer that says that if a team is in bad shape and then comes an international break, said team tends to resolve some of their issues and they come out of the break with a win. And this goes the other way too, a team that is in good form sometimes sees that form dip after an international break.

But my hand can't easily go to Man United either, I mean have you seen them? They are terrible. They've only won 3 of 8 matches so far, were eliminated from the EFL Cup to a team from a lower division and are win-less in 4 on the road (W0 D2 L2). They did force 4 Draws in L/5 H2H vs Liverpool but haven't won in this venue in almost a decade.

After all, this is a derby from the old days, and sometimes the gap in quality tends to minimize, so it's hard for me to pick a side here.

Totals are also weird, this could be a tight game as neither team wants to return from the break with a loss, but both teams have bad defenses and potent offenses, so this could blow up easily.

That being said, skipping past sides and totals and going with some Mo Salah props.

Mohamed Salah to Score anytime +130 at DK is a really good price and I will take a piece of that.

Mohamed Salah to Score or Assist at -165 is also a great option, as Salah has a lot of players to feed in the attack and this bet gives us an extra way to get paid.

Taking 2% on the safer option of Mohamed Salah to Score or Assist (-165), line good to -180