Pavlos Laguretos

THE PLAY: REGULATION Draw (+212)

Grenoble vs Clermont
France Ligue 2, Friday, 2pm ET

Play: Draw
Odds at Time of Release: +212
Line Parameter: Line good to +200

We got a relegation battle in the French Ligue 2 on Friday, between Grenoble (30 points) and Clermont (28 points), with the red zone at 23 points. That means that we have a basis for a comfortable Draw here, which would give each team a point and would keep them on a safe distance from the relegation zone.

Grenoble are the kings of Draws in the Ligue 2 this season, with 12 draws in 28 matches (W6 D12 L10). I went back and looked their non-draw matches, and a lot of them could've also been draws, but they either scored or conceded late goals, so this team doesn't win easily, and doesn't lose easily either. More than half of their home matches have ended in Draws (W4 D8 L2).

Clermont are W7 D7 L14 in the season, and haven't had a draw in L/12 matches (but prior to that they had 4 draws in 6 matches). They are looking for a way to stop the rot, as they have lost 3 in a row and have a tricky schedule coming up, against teams that are trying to get promoted, or fellow relegation candidates. A draw here would keep them on a safe distance from the red zone, and keep in mind that there are just 5 matches after this one to end the season, so expect a cagey game by these two.

Take 1% on the Draw (+212), line good to +185

THE PLAY: REGULATION Draw (+174)

San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes La Plata
Argentina, Friday, 6:30pm ET

Play: Draw
Odds at Time of Release: +174
Line Parameter: Line good to +150

San Lorenzo have the 2nd most Draws in the league so far (W3 D5 L3), with 4 of those draws coming in their L/5 league matches. Estudiantes La Plata are W2 D3 L0 on the road, with most of their wins coming by 1 goal, and most of their losses coming by 1 goal too. Marginal wins, marginal losses, always hovering around that Draw.

Then there's the H2H, with each of L/5 ending in Draws and there's value in chasing another Draw here, at +175.

Estudiantes La Plata sitting 2nd and wouldn't mind a draw here, while San Lorenzo are sitting just 1 point outside the playoffs and need the win a bit more, but they haven't been winning easily lately.

Lastly, both teams have international matches coming up in a few days in the Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana, there might be changes to the lineups and a bit of distraction. I wouldn't be surprised if these two split the points right in the middle once again.

Take 1% on the Draw (+174), line good to +150