Premier League Predictions - EPL Betting Preview For November 4-6

EPL Betting Preview Including Predictions and Picks

WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League prediction preview heading into November 4-6 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Fulham vs Manchester United and Tottenham vs Chelsea. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!

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Fulham vs Manchester United | November 4 | 8:30am ET

Fulham +255 | Manchester United -105 | Draw +260

A highly interesting game takes place in the early kick-off this Saturday as Manchester United, likely still reeling off that lopsided derby loss to bitter rivals Manchester City at the weekend, travel down to the capital to take on a Fulham team who have endured issues of their own this season.

Both teams won’t have too long to dwell on those Premier League problems though as the Round of 16 draw takes place in the English League Cup in midweek, with Fulham traveling to red-hot Championship side Ipswich Town.

Manchester United faces an even trickier task in hosting Newcastle on Wednesday, a team who knocked Manchester City out in the last round of this competition, and one who are no doubt gunning for revenge also after losing to Manchester United in last year’s final back in February.

United looked dismal in Sunday’s loss against Manchester City, with Marcus Rashford completely MIA in that game and United giving up 21 goal attempts along with a massive 4.55 xG to City also.

That performance continues to put further pressure on Erik ten Hag’s position at the club, moving him up to 4th in the current next manager-to-go standings by odds, and with the aforementioned Rashford seen partying at a nightclub only hours after last weekend’s game as well, the team atmosphere looks far from ideal at Old Trafford.

Fulham have been far from good this season themselves, with their only victories coming against teams currently, or at the time that they played them, in the relegation zone.

That’s been compounded by an offense that has just failed to ignite this season after the departure of their star striker Aleksandar Mitrovic to Saudi Arabia in the summer.

With Fulham ranking 3rd from bottom in chances created this season, along with having the 3rd fewest offensive shots on goal per game also, combine that with a Manchester United team here who since September 15th have scored just 3 goals total and who rank 4th from bottom in offensive xG, and you have a recipe for an Under that might well be worth a small play at even money on Saturday.

Premier League Prediction: Under 2.5 (+100)

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa | November 5 | 9:00am ET

Nottingham Forest +310 | Aston Villa -115 | Draw +275

Aston Villa continues to be a serious force in the Premier League since Unai Emery’s arrival last October, and that’s carried into this season as well, with only two teams having more total wins than the Villains this season as they target Champions League football for next year.

While that remains a lofty ambition with so many other elite clubs vying for top four spots, it’s not without merit as Aston Villa’s only two losses this year in the Premier League have come against two top-tier sides in Newcastle and Liverpool respectively, both of which came away from home also.

For Nottingham Forest, it’s been much more of a mixed bag this year, with the Tricky Trees enjoying a fairly positive opening to the campaign, but now finding themselves winless in six straight and slipping down the table fast.

Nottingham Forest did manage to grind out a draw at the City Ground last year against Aston Villa, but that was just before Emery’s arrival at the club, and it’s fair to say the Villains look like a far more formidable unit since the Spanish manager has taken charge.

However, despite Nottingham Forest’s recent issues in gaining results, Welsh boss Steve Cooper still has this team playing extremely well in games, especially at home, where the Tricky Tress actually sit as the 8th-best team since October 1st in expected points, and an even higher 7th in terms of expected points at home.

While it’s difficult to suggest fading a rampant Aston Villa team in this one given their current form, next week’s European clash against AZ Alkmaar may play on their minds here, as they take on a Nottingham Forest team who have been much better than their recent results suggest.

Take the home side getting +0.5 on the handicap line on Sunday.

Premier League Prediction: Nottingham Forest +0.5 (-105)

Tottenham vs Chelsea | November 6 | 3:00pm ET

Tottenham +115 | Chelsea +220 | Draw +270

In one of London’s biggest derbies, Chelsea will travel to Tottenham on Monday night trying to play catch up to a team that has secured almost three times the number of wins this season than they have, a pretty embarrassing stat even at this early stage of the campaign.

No team has been hotter out of the blocks this season than this Tottenham team has, with eight wins from their ten games overall being the payoff for their exciting brand of ‘Ange’ football that has captivated the white part of North London, and most of the country as well.

That form really wasn’t expected back at the start of the season either with long-time top goalscorer Harry Kane leaving to join Bayern Munich in the summer, yet Tottenham has found valuable replacements in a midfield that continues to get it done week after week in front of goals.

That confidence should be on full display here once again as they take on a Chelsea team that suffered yet another embarrassing defeat last weekend at the hands of Brentford.

Like Manchester United, Chelsea appears like a club who have far more fundamental issues than a simple manager change, with the underlying culture at the club looking like the main issue, and that’s not the type of dressing room problem you want before taking on the EPL league leaders who have been absolutely rampant in front of goals this season.

In terms of raw data however, Chelsea has actually been fairly competitive against Tottenham this season, ranking alongside them in terms of expected points return, and in other categories they are way ahead of Spurs, most notably in defensive xGA where Chelsea ranks as a top-four team in the league, so getting any kind of headstart here on Chelsea looks like a value play given their data this year.

That said, it’s extremely difficult to put your money on a team that appears so devoid of confidence right now, but the outright draw at +270 mightn’t be the worst bet considering how close each team is in terms of underlying metrics this season, and their game last August finishing all square as well.

Prediction: Draw (+270)

Stoppage Time | Weekly Soccer Preview

Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Nick Borrman, Bryan Power and Pavlos Laguretos for Stoppage Time every Thursday breaking down betting angles across the European soccer schedule including possibly matches in Premier League!

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WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the Premier League moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all scheduled games.

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