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Brazil vs Paraguay Picks, Predictions and Odds Feb 1

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Brazil vs Paraguay Betting Preview

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan offers his thoughts on Tuesday’s Brazil vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Qualifier. Brazil is 2-0-3 in their last five qualifying games while Paraguay is just 0-4-1. Let’s see if Paraguay has what it takes to pull the upset and improve their chances of making it to the FIFA World Cup.

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Tuesday, February 1 CONMEBOL League Betting Notes
Brazil: -450
Paraguay: +1400
Draw: +550
Total: 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time: 7:30pm ET / 4:30pm PT

Brazil vs Paraguay Analysis

South American World Cup qualifying action on Tuesday as current front runners Brazil host 9th placed Paraguay in what should be a highly interesting game down in Mineirao this midweek.

Brazil currently sits atop of the group on 36 points with qualification already assured while Paraguay are on the outside looking in with just 13 points and 6 points away from a potential playoff spot with just three games remaining.

Paraguay’s Offensive Struggles

It’s been a tough road for this Paraguay team this campaign. Not only do Los Guaranies sit 2nd bottom in the group overall, but they’ve also secured the fewest wins and scored the fewest goals out of any team in the ten side CONMEBOL competition thus far.

The Paraguayans have now played a full 584 minutes of World Cup Qualification football without scoring a single goal as their lengthy goal drought continues. Their last international goal in this competition came in fact against Venezuela, the only team lower in the table than Paraguay are right now.

Brazil’s Watertight Backline

Soccer heavyweights Brazil however have been on an opposite trajectory this campaign, sitting top of the group with a 14 game unbeaten streak that contains more wins and more goals scored than any other team in the competition.

The Brazilians have averaged 2.5 goals per game at home this campaign and enter Tuesday’s match against Paraguay boasting an almost watertight backline, giving up just 1 goal at home over the entire competition so far.

Brazil vs Paraguay Prediction

While Brazil are deserved favorites here against Paraguay on Tuesday, it’s not without a hint of caution.

The Brazilians were fortunate to keep their current unbeaten streak alive on Thursday against Ecuador as they survived a late penalty appeal by Ecuador in that game and fortunately escaped with a draw.

With a host of attacking players out for this fixture also including Neymar, Richarlison and Firmino, it’s a brave person who’s willing to lay a full goal and a half here on Brazil, even against a side as lackluster as Paraguay have looked, as they enter Tuesday’s game not only with a depleted squad, but also questionable motivation for this game as well.

A better angle to look at in this one is on the total as Brazil have been excellent at the back over this WCQ run, averaging just 0.17 goals per game to opponents at home during this campaign, while Paraguay have also shown themselves tough to breakdown as well, securing goalless draws against both Colombia and Argentina over just their last six games.

Take the Under 2.5 goals between Paraguay and Brazil on Tuesday.

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