2022-23 La Liga Relegation Odds
La Liga Betting Preview
Only one point separated four teams in the battle to stay in La Liga and avoid relegation last season. What can we expect at the bottom of the table during the 2022-23 season? WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on how the La Liga relegation market is shaping up.
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Segunda Division Newcomers
Deportivo Alaves, Levante and Granada all took the drop down to the Segunda Division last season in Spanish La Liga, and new squads from Girona and Real Valladolid make up two of this year’s favorites to go right back down.
Last season saw an incredibly tight battle being waged at the foot of the table with just one point separating four teams (Granada, Cadiz, Mallorca and Getafe) from the drop, with that all-important point eventually making the difference as Granada lost their top flight status on 38 points.
In terms of expected points, however, those four teams had a much greater spread, with the gap between 14th-place Cadiz and 19th-place Granada coming in at almost a 7.00x points gap.
Can The Champs Hold Their Ground?
Last year’s Segunda Division champions, Almeria, is expected to stay up this season and it’s no surprise after a red-hot campaign which saw them finish up the regular season with a W24, D9, L9 overall record.
They’ve been busy in the off-season as well bringing in center-back Kaiky from Brazilian Serie A side Santos FC and former Partizan Belgrade striker Marko Milovanovic also to ensure they’ll have the best possible chance of survival in La Liga ahead of this season.
The other two promoted teams, Real Valladolid and Girona, are not expected to do as well however with both being priced up as the two favorites for the drop this season. That’s despite Valladolid finishing with the same points as Almeria last season, but not adding as much in the off-season to bolster their squad as Almeria has done.
2022-23 La Liga Relegation Odds
The best value on the board by far this year is actually a team who got extremely fortunate last season and that’s Elche.
Elche finished the year in mid-table 13th position last season and on the surface looked reasonably safe, finishing the year going unbeaten in three of their final home games to secure their top flight La Liga status.
But the expected points table shows a much different story with Elche ranking bottom of the league overall with a 6.33 PTS/xPTS differential and the league’s worst xPTS record over 2022 as well, and that spells huge trouble for a team who have added just one player to their roster over the summer transfer window.
Elche is the books’ third favorites to go down this season at +150 and we’re in full agreement with that line and are taking Elche to get relegated this season in Spanish LaLiga.
La Liga relegation odds below courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday, July 25:
| Team | 2022-23 La Liga Relegation Odds |
|---|---|
| Girona | +140 |
| Valladolid | +150 |
| Elche | +150 |
| Cadiz | +175 |
| Vallecano | +200 |
| Mallorca | +200 |
| Almeria | +275 |
| Getafe | +300 |
| Osasuna | +400 |
| Espanyol | +450 |
| Celta Vigo | +500 |
| Valencia | +900 |
| Athletic Bilbao | +3500 |
| Real Betis | +4000 |
| Real Sociedad | +6500 |
| Villarreal | +10000 |
| Sevilla | +25000 |
| Atletico Madrid | +50000 |
| Barcelona | +80000 |
| Real Madrid | +100000 |
2022-23 European Soccer Previews
Click Here for Premier League Relegation Odds
Click Here for Premier League Title Odds
Click Here for Premier League Top-6 Analysis
Click Here for Premier League Golden Boot Analysis
Click Here for Italian Serie A Title Odds
Click Here for La Liga Title Odds
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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