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2022-23 Serie A Title Odds Analysis

AC Milan Celebrates Serie A Title

Serie A Betting Odds

With AC Milan lifting last year’s Scudetto over in Serie A, will it be a case of repeat or regression for the ‘Rossoneri’ in 2022-23 as the books two main favorites of Inter Milan and Juventus look to wrest the title back from AC Milan ahead of this season. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the 2022-2023 Serie A Title betting market.

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AC Milan Vastly Outperformed The Data Last Season

AC Milan vastly outperformed the data in Serie A last season with the league’s biggest expected points to actual points differential, either positive or negative, at a colossal +13.18 difference, by far the highest gulf in the league.

That likely means we see some regression from the ‘Rossoneri’ ahead of this season and with top player Franck Kessie gone to Barcelona also, the odds on offer for AC Milan to repeat their historic success of last season just aren’t high enough to warrant a futures play on the current champions this season.

Juventus And Inter Milan Look To Take Back Crown

Juventus upgraded in the off-season with both Paul Pogba and Angel Di Maria heading to Turin ahead of the 2022/23 season.

Those acquisitions are definite boosts for the team, especially in the case of Paul Pogba who returns to the club after being selected for the Serie A team of the year between 2014 to 2016 while playing for the club in his first stint.

However, Juventus will likely need that boost as they struggled down the back half of last season, ranking all the way down in 11th over the final eight games of the season and amassing just three total wins over that same period.

Inter Milan meanwhile welcome back Romelu Lukaku and with 23 & 24 goals respectively to his name over his two previous seasons at the club, it’s likely we see a quick return to form for the Belgian striker heading into this season.

2022-23 Serie A Title Odds Prediction

We like Inter Milan to get back to winning ways this season and reclaim the crown they lost to AC Milan last year.

Not only is Romelu Lukaku’s return noteworthy, Inter also welcome in Joaquin Correra from Lazio also as their full forward line continues to get upgraded.

In terms of data, despite being edged out by AC Milan last season in actual points, Inter were by far the better team of the two in expected points with a +7.88 expected points differential advantage over their city rivals last year and we expect them to show that gulf in performance ahead of this season.

While Juventus will always present a threat, at odds of +175, Inter Milan are the team to take to lift the Serie A title this season.

Prediction: Inter Milan to Win 2022-23 Serie A Title (+175)

2022-23 Serie A Title Odds

Odds below courtesy of DraftKings as of Wednesday, July 13:

Team 2022-23 Serie A Title Odds
Juventus +175
Inter Milan +175
AC Milan +400
Napoli +1400
AS Roma +1400
Atalanta +2500
Lazio +5000
Fiorentina +5000
Sassuolo +10000
Torino +20000
Udinese +25000
Verona +50000
Sampdoria +50000
Bologna +50000
Empoli +100000
Lecce +100000
Monza Brianza +100000
Spezia +100000
Salernitana +100000
Cremonese +100000

2022-23 Premier League Betting Previews

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Soccer Betting 101

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

Soccer Betting Guide - How to Bet On Soccer for Beginners


Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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