UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds August 9, 2025

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for August 9, 2025 with the main event headlined by Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez in a middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV!

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Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, August 9	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Roman Dolidze +270 vs Anthony Hernandez -350
Rounds:	3.5 (Over -135 / Under +105)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT
Arena:	UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV
TV:	ESPN

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Undercard

Gabriella Fernandes (-400) vs Julija Stoliarenko (+310) 

Stoliarenko is the definition of submission-or-bust. She’s won just 2 of her last 7 fights-both by armbar-and her striking remains a major liability.

Fernandes, on the other hand, is a dynamic and powerful striker with a huge edge on the feet. She should be able to stuff the takedowns and dominate in the clinch exchanges, neutralizing Julija’s only real weapon.

This is a bad stylistic matchup for Stoliarenko. Fernandes’ striking advantage should be overwhelming-she’s the pick.

Uros Medic (-350) vs Gilbert Urbina (+270)

Both fighters are coming off knockout losses, so durability is a real concern on both sides. Urbina has looked out of place in all three of his UFC appearances-slow, reactive, and too often stuck on the back foot against the cage.

Medic is wild and aggressive, with a kill-or-be-killed approach-none of his 13 pro fights have gone the distance.

This one screams violence. The best bet is fight not to go the distance as a parlay piece. Medic is the pick, but -350 is too steep to touch the moneyline.

Joselyne Edwards (-300) vs Priscila Cachoeira (+240) 

This line is surprising. Edwards is coming off two stoppage wins, but they came against very low-level opponents.

Before that, she was clearly outclassed by better competition. Cachoeira has struggled against strong grapplers, but Edwards isn’t that. She’s not a high-volume striker and doesn’t apply much pressure, which plays into Cachoeira’s style.

Priscila has real KO power and can absolutely go strike-for-strike with Edwards. This fight is much closer than the odds suggest. Cachoeira is worth a sprinkle as a live underdog.

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Elijah Smith (-500) vs Toshiomi Kazama (+350) 

Smith looked sharp in his UFC debut, taking out a tough veteran and showing major growth. With a strong MMA pedigree-his father also fought-he’s been groomed for this sport from a young age.

His striking, wrestling, and overall athleticism have all taken big steps forward, especially his speed and cardio.

Kazama is a one-dimensional wrestler who comes from the Road to UFC circuit but has major defensive issues on the feet. If Smith stuffs the early takedowns, he’ll light Kazama up standing. Smith is the easy pick here.

Julius Walker (-620) vs Raffael Cerqueira (+400) 

Cerqueira has been a disaster in the UFC-two fights, two first-round knockouts, and a glaring tendency to fall apart the moment he’s pressured.

His chin is high, his defense is nonexistent, and once he’s on the back foot, it’s over. Walker isn’t flashy, but he’s effective-he likes to clinch, grind opponents against the cage, and work short shots inside.

Against someone as defensively vulnerable as Cerqueira, that’s more than enough. Walker should dominate and likely get a finish.

Christian Leroy Duncan (-500) vs Eryk Anders (+340) 

This is a brutal stylistic matchup for Anders. At 38 years old, his only recent wins are over a washed-up Chris Weidman and Jamie Pickett-who’s no longer on the roster.

Anders wants to wrestle, but Duncan’s strength in the clinch and physicality will neutralize that approach. Add in the clear striking edge and superior cardio, and it’s hard to see Anders having much success here. Duncan should control this fight wherever it goes. He’s an easy pick.

Jean Matsumoto (-350) vs Miles Johns (+230) 

Matsumoto is coming off the first loss of his career, which often sparks improvement-but he was clearly outclassed by Font’s volume and clean boxing.

Matsumoto can wrestle, but he doesn’t do much with top control once he gets it. Johns is well-rounded with solid striking, decent grappling, and improved cardio in his last outing.

He did struggle with speed, but Matsumoto’s striking defense is far from airtight. This fight is much closer than the odds suggest. Best bet: fight goes the distance. For value seekers, Johns is a live underdog.

Christian Rodriguez (-225) vs Andre Fili (+172) 

Fili just hasn’t shown much lately-his pace is low, he’s mistake-prone, and his recent wins came more from luck than dominance. Rodriguez isn’t flashy, but he’s effective.

He thrives in the clinch, applies constant pressure, and looks to wrestle and control the fight. His low volume won’t hurt him much here because Fili tends to let fights drift away.

Rodriguez should win control time and could even find a submission if Fili makes one of his usual errors. Rodriguez is the pick, and a sub win wouldn’t shock anyone.

Iasmin Lucindo (-192) vs Angela Hill (+148) 

Lucindo’s loss to Lemos was a valuable learning experience-she was taken down and controlled by a savvy veteran, but showed toughness and even won the third round with a takedown and top control of her own.

She’s young, athletic, and constantly improving, with powerful, accurate striking and solid cardio. Hill, now 40, has clearly lost a step. In her last fight, she faded badly after a strong start and barely edged out a win against Souza, who just lost again.

Lucindo’s power and pace should wear Hill down over three rounds. She’s the pick to bounce back with a win.

Steve Erceg (-385) vs Ode Osbourne (+285) 

Erceg has been in the deep end lately-three straight losses, but all against championship-caliber opponents.

He held his own in those fights, showing sharp striking, strong fight IQ, and underrated toughness. His ground game hasn’t been on display recently, but it’s there when needed.

Osbourne, on the other hand, continues to underwhelm. He makes poor decisions in the cage and hasn’t beaten quality competition-his recent win came after losing Round 1 to a debuting Gurule.

This is a massive step down in competition for Erceg, and he should get back in the win column here.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez

This is a brutal stylistic matchup for Dolidze. Hernandez applies relentless pressure, chains takedowns nonstop, and has some of the best cardio in the UFC-he simply breaks fighters with pace they can’t match.

He tends to start slow, but once he settles in, the grind begins. Dolidze has won three in a row, but two came against severely declined opponents, and one was due to an opponent’s rib injury.

He’s stiff on the feet and doesn’t deal well with forward pressure. If he doesn’t score a first-round KO, he’s going to get cooked-especially over five rounds. Hernandez should break him down and possibly get a late finish.

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