Home Run Prop Picks, Predictions and Odds 8/24/22

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For August 24

Aaron Judge hit his league leading 48th home run of the season yesterday against the Mets. WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Wednesday, August 24 with odds provided by PointsBet.

Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Nick Castellanos (+390)

Nick Castellanos and the Phillies get a juicy matchup in T.J. Zeuch and the Cincinnati Reds. Zeuch has been terrible in his two starts for the Reds this season pitching eight total innings while allowing 12 earned runs including four home runs.

One of those starts actually came against the Phillies in which Castellanos hit a home run, but Castellanos has been hot otherwise. He’s hitting .316 in August, .375 in the past week and has four home runs total this month, tied for most of any month this season for him.

He’s hit .364 against the Reds in total this season with two home runs. He’s seemed to carve out a comfortable role hitting 5th in the lineup where he’s hitting .330 compared to hitting .258 hitting 4th and .203 hitting 3rd. Castellanos also has home runs off Reds relievers Luis Cessa and Ross Detwiler.

The Reds in general have one of the worst bullpens in the league as previously stated in previous home run prop breakdowns. Get Castellanos at +390 while other Phillies hitters to consider are Rhys Hoskins (+240) who has a home run off Zeuch this season and Kyle Schwarber(+250) who’s due for a home run soon.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Rafael Devers (+390)

Since Rafael Devers has come back from injury on August 2nd he hasn’t been his normal self hitting only .187 and seeing his overall average drop from .324 to .300. The Red Sox’s playoff chances are all but gone but they’re still battling where they can in games.

They get the Blue Jays rolling out Jose Berrios who’s allowed the 2nd most home runs of any pitcher in the league at 26. Berrios’ road pitching woes are well documented sporting a 6.82 ERA while allowing 15 home runs in 60.2 innings pitched away from the Rogers Centre.

That comes out to a home run allowed every four road innings pitched. The only thing Berrios has going for him is that he was solid in his last road start against the Yankees going 6.2 innings while allowing only one earned run, but the Yankees have been struggling offensively lately.

Boston at the very least wants to play spoiler for potential AL playoff teams and that includes the Blue Jays. Devers hits .318 at home and has a .261 average against the Blue Jays so far this season. Get Devers at +350, but other Red Sox hitters you could target to hit a home run are Xander Bogaerts (+600) and Kike Hernandez (+600).

Interested in placing a home run prop bet? PointsBet is offering two risk-free bets up to $2,000 for bettors in New Jersey, Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia and New York.

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview for Wednesday, August 24

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate.

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!

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