Home Run Prop Picks, Best Predictions and Odds 5/1/23 – Best MLB Prop Bets for Today

Today’s MLB Home Run Prop Bets For May 1

WagerTalk content contributor Kyle Kargel provides his daily home run prop picks and predictions for Monday, May 1 with odds provided by FanDuel.

Kyle’s home run prop predictions article comes out every day and is the most widely read home run props page online. 

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Home Run Prop Prediction 1: Rafael Devers (+330)

We’ve pinpointed a Jose Berrios road start tonight coming at Fenway Park and at this point we’re all aware of the road struggles of the Blue Jays pitcher. He’s only allowed one home run this season which is great but he does have a 7.56 ERA compared to a 0.75 home ERA this season.

We’ll go with Rafael Devers again to hit a home run now tied for 2nd in the MLB with 10 so far. Berrios has yet to play Boston this season but did allow one home run in 12 innings pitched at Fenway Park last season.

He allowed a road home run every 4.1 innings pitched last season so there is always a possibility he can let up a few during any given road start.

Devers has struggled hitting recently lowering his batting average from .286 to .232 over the past two weeks. He did hit a home run a couple games ago hitting .258 at home compared to .196 on the road.

Get Devers to hit a home run tonight at +330 with another valuable Red Sox home run play including Alex Verdugo (+750) who is 6-14 all-time against Berrios with a home run and also hit a home run yesterday.

Home Run Prop Prediction 2: Manny Machado (+370)

It’s an understatement to say Reds starting pitcher tonight Luke Weaver has struggled this season. He’s allowed five home runs in 11.2 innings and gets the Padres tonight.

Manny Machado is 7-18 all-time against Weaver with two home runs and is heating up this season. He only has four home runs this season but three of those have come over the past three games.

Last year against Cincinnati Machado hit .609 with two home runs! He’s been a better hitter at home this season hitting .255 compared to .218 on the road. Last season Machado hit a home run every 18 at-bats and his power got better as the season progressed.

This year he only has one ever 27 at-bats so we should see Machado’s power continue for the time-being. Get Machado to hit a home run at +370 tonight with other Padres hitters to consider hitting a home run include Fernando Tatis Jr. (+280) and Juan Soto (+420).

Stop Wasting Money on Bad Odds!

So, we did the research and here are the sportsbooks with the best home run prop odds – why would you ever use a sportsbooks with worse odds? Shop around, increase winnings, decrease losses. You’ll never find an MLB betting sharp with 1 or 2 sportsbooks only!

Best MLB Odds For Home Run Props:

Sportsbook	Welcome Bonus	States Available	Get Your Bonus
1. Caesars	Get $1250 On Us	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
2. BetRivers	$500 in 2nd Chance Bonus Bets	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV	GET BONUS!
3. Unibet	$100 2nd Chance Bet	AZ, IN, NJ, PA, VA	GET BONUS!
4. BetMGM	First Bet $1000 PayBack in Bonus Bets	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
5. Tipico	$250 Deposit Match	CO, IA, NJ, OH	GET BONUS!
6. Bet365	Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets	CO, NJ, OH, VA	GET BONUS!
7. FanDuel	$1000 No Sweat First Bet	AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY	GET BONUS!
8. Superbook	$250 Every First Bet Wins	AZ, CO, NJ, OH, TN	GET BONUS!

First Pitch | MLB Betting Preview For May 1

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch discussing the MLB betting slate. Hey, how’s your baseball betting strategy?  Learn how to bet on baseball with WagerTalk’s baseball betting guide, and check out the great ways you can make smart run line bets. 

Daily MLB Game Previews From WagerTalk and Sportsmemo

Read up on betting previews on daily MLB games from handicappers here at WagerTalk and over at Sportsmemo. We help guide you in your betting providing free written breakdowns for various games. See our previews for today’s games now!

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WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games and monitor your home run prop betting picks. 

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