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Best Home Run Prop Bets | Thursday, May 16th

Bryce Harper of Phillies passes home run prop bets

The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday.

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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers

Last Tuesday, we cashed Mitch Hanigar (+520) and have been on a heater with home run props. We added two winners this past week. We are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?

Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

J.D. Martinez (NYM) +450

J.D. Martinez has been great for the Mets since coming off the IL, and we expect him to go yard tonight. Martinez has two home runs in 18 games so far, and tonight, he gets an amazing matchup against the Phillies. Martinez is batting .286 against right-handed pitching, and both of his homers have come off a righty. Martinez is 7-14 in his career off of Taijuan Walker with a home run, and we expect him to hit the long ball again, making this one of the best home run prop bets on the board.

Last season, Pablo Lopez allowed eight of 20 home runs to right-handed batters. This season, he has allowed two of his four home runs to lefties. Martinez has an average exit velocity of 100.2 against Walker with an average launch angle of 15.9 degrees.

MLB Picks Today: Drew’s Daily Diamond | MLB Predictions and Best Bets for Thursday, May 16

Bryce Harper (PHI) +460

Bryce Harper hit one out against a left-handed pitcher yesterday, and we like him to do the same today. Over his last six games, Harper has just one home run, but prior to that, he had three in three straight games. Two of his ten home runs so far have come against left-handed pitchers, and we expect him to tag a left-handed pitcher today on the road.

Jose Quintana has allowed six home runs so far this season, and lefties have three of those six home runs. Harper is 2-14 against Quintana, with a home run. Quintana obviously owns the matchup, but if Harper can make contact, he can tag him. This one of the best home run prop bets of the day.

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