Best Home Run Prop Bets | Friday, April 26th
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Home runs have been flying so far this season, and we are continuing to pick winners. Let’s take a look at our best bets. Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Friday.
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Matchup Notes, Bullpen Usage, and Recommended Wagers
Mike Trout went yard Wednesday night, giving us our first hit this week. We have been on a heater with home run props, and we added two winners this past week. With seven hits over the last two weeks, we are looking to carry the momentum we have built this season into this week. What are the best home run prop bets to make?
Let’s dive into the best home run prop bets to make today.
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
CJ Abrams (WAS) +900
CJ Abrams is 0-4 in his career against Jesus Luzardo with three strikeouts, but we anticipate the young shortstop getting some revenge tonight in Miami. Abrams has two home runs off lefties which leads all Nationals hitters. He also leads the team in wRC+ and slugging percentage when facing southpaws. Despite his lack of success against Luzardo so far, this small sample size is not deterring us, and at this price, this is one of the best home run prop bets to make tonight.
Jesus Luzardo had a rough end of last season and a poor spring training, and so far, his 2024 season has not been solid either. Luzardo has allowed five home runs so far this year, which is tied for the third-most allowed by a qualified starting pitcher. He has only allowed one home run to a lefty this season, but he’s allowing a .737 slugging percentage and he has a 7.23 FIP to lefties. His 2.45 HR/9 against lefties is higher than his 1.61 HR/9 against righties.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) +425
Fernando Tatis Jr. is 0-3 against Aaron Nola in his career with two strikeouts, but just like with CJ Abrams, we expect Tatis to find success where he has yet to. Aaron Nola has surrounded six home runs so far this season, tied for 2nd in the Majors. Tatis leads the Padres with five home runs against right-handed pitching, and he is 2nd in slugging percentage and 4th in wRC+, making him one of the best home run props to bet on tonight.
Just two of Nola’s home runs allowed came against right-handed hitters, and his HR/9 against righties is lower than against lefties. However, Tatis is the Padre’s best player, and he is having a great season so far. Lastly, the Phillies bullpen is not the best, so even if Tatis does not hit one against Nola, he is still one of the best home run prop bets on the board tonight.
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