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Shriners Children’s Open Predictions, Free Picks and Odds October 12-15

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Shriners Children’s Open Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Shriners Children’s Open teeing off from TPC at Summerlin in Las Vegas, NV. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Shriners Children’s Open starting October 12!


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Shriners Children’s OpenShriners Children’s Open Betting Notes
When:October 12-15
Where:TPC at Summerlin in Las Vegas, NV
Defending Champ:Tom Kim
Current Favorite:Tom Kim (+1100 at DraftKings)
TV:Golf Channel & Peacock

Shriners Children’s Open Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuelDraftKings and others)

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Shriners Children’s Open Betting Preview

We are up to eight players ranking inside the Top-50 in the OGWR this week, compared to just two last week at the Sanderson Farms Championship, so once again don’t be shy on searching down the oddsboard as several mid-to-longshots have won here over the years. This year marks the 40th anniversary of the event.

Ludvig Aberg once again comes in as a favorite to win. I decided to avoid him last week, citing that perhaps the quick turnaround and long travel from the Ryder Cup might hinder him.

Such wasn’t the case though as he was close to pulling out his first Tour win, losing in the 5-man playoff to Luke List. It’s hard to lay off him again this week knowing how close he is, but once again, 12-1 is a short price to lay in this field.

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The course is a par 71 measuring over 7,200 yards, about 200 yards shorter than last week. It plays as one of the easiest par 71s on Tour with winning scores likely pushing past 20-under par as it has each of the last five years.

The course features easy-to-hit fairways, big greens, and very little in the way of defense. Last year’s winner, Tom Kim, missed just nine greens over the four days and was able to get up-and-down every time resulting in a bogey-free tournament.

Weather, as it normally does in Las Vegas this time or year, looks great. Dry all four days with high temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s by Sunday.

Shriners Children’s Open Outright Winner: Eric Cole +4000 (FanDuel or PointsBet)

From Nick Borrman:

I was on Cole last week at 20-1 and now we can get him at 40-1 just one week later. He didn’t have his best week, but this looks like way too much of an overcorrection. Here’s my copy and paste notes from last week:

Cole is the likely the 2022-23 PGA Tour rookie of the year and although he has yet to taste victory, it’s only a matter of time before he does. Cole made ten straight cuts to finish the season making it all the way to the BMW Championship.

Cole has been great with his irons and putting. Since the Houston Open last November, Cole has lost strokes on Approach just three times in 29 starts with his worst performance losing just -0.26 strokes.

He also gained strokes in each of his last ten starts, while ranking 12th in SG Putting on the season and 3rd in putting average per green in regulation.

Shriners Children’s Open Finish Position: JT Poston Top-10 +350 | Top-20 +160 (Bet365)

The ‘Postman’ had a solid season last year, though void of a win, he had 13 Top-25 finishes including ending the season with six Top-25s in his final seven starts, making it all the way to the BMW Championship.

He gained strokes on approach in his finals six starts to the tune of a +1.04 average per round. He was also fantastic with the short stick, which is normally the case, gaining an average of +1.04 SG Putting over his last seven starts.

Poston is a regular in this event and although he has missed four cuts in seven starts here, he is a much more consistent player now than in year’s past, though he does have a T4 finish and a T20 last year.

He is one of the stronger players in this field, but he hasn’t teed it up since the BMW Championship in August, so he may be just a bit rusty and I’ll avoid him on the Outright market but think he can appear on the first or second page of the leaderboard come Sunday.

See you next week for the ZOZO Championship!


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