Oregon Football Predictions, Strengths & Weaknesses, and Expert Betting Analysis

Oregon Football Predictions & Preview 2023: What Are Their Chances?

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down Oregon’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on Oregon in 2023.

Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Oregon football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on Oregon this season.

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Oregon Football Preview 2023: The Overview

Dan Lanning was a nice hire for Oregon, but as expected, the ’22 schedule had more than a few challenges. 10-3 was more than acceptable.

This year’s goal is a) a Pac 12 title while USC and UCLA are still here, and b) an invitation to the playoffs.

College Football WEEK 1 ULTIMATE Betting Guide Video

Oregon Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH, Betting Insights

QB Bo Nix exceeded all expectations a year ago. I expected 5.0 running the ball. Oregon exceeded that, going 5.75-223+. My biggest concern is the OL, with four new starters.

Oregon QB’s were sacked sparingly a year ago. Will that continue? The pass D% was higher than expected at 64.5%, and the run defense was too high at 4.65 per carry. Most teams exceeded their yearly per carry average when running vs. Oregon.

Oregon lost players at each level of defense, including a 1st rounder in the secondary, but two solid transfers were brought in, plus this experienced unit has one year under the new staff.

The Pac 12 is full of highly accurate QB’s for ’23, so I’m using 61.5% this year, along with a 4.15 per carry allowed projection. Once a sore spot, the overall kicking game has improved.

With a top tier coordinator, we may see additional improvement. Oregon recruited very well this offseason. My biggest watch area is defensive sacks. 16 sacks is way too low for a projected top 10-15 team.

Oregon Football 2023 Predictions, Oregon Schedule and Obstacles:

Only the game at Texas Tech can prevent the Ducks from a 5-0 start. This will be a good defensive test for both teams. Both Oregon and Washington will be rested before their game.

The Huskies won last year on a last-minute kick. Even with a letdown, Oregon should win hosting Washington State. The game at Utah is a tossup, no matter where it’s played. USC and Oregon haven’t met since Covid ’20.

Which defense is better going into this game? The game at Arizona State won’t get Oregon’s best focus, but like with WSU, they should win. Obvious revenge exists vs Oregon State.

Oregon Football Bottom Line: Total Expected Wins Over/Under

10-2, with more possible. This team is poised to make big strides in ’23, even with some tossup games on the docket.

Avoid hiccups at Texas Tech, vs. Washington State and at Arizona State and the season comes down to games at Washington, at Utah and home to USC. Check defensive progress early and often.

Oregon Football HANDICAPPING TIP: Expert Tip

I hit 80+% in PAC 12 action in 2021, but was 0-3 here, plus one of my two bowl losses. That was fixed in ’22 (72% in the PAC 12, 4-1 here). My leans are no vs. early on, lean vs. 10/21 (WSU), and dog only 10/28 (Utah).

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