Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Monday, July 20

The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Monday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Monday, July 20!

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) +285

Pirates rookie outfielder Esmerlyn Valdez has helped lead the team to five wins in their last six games as they start up a series at Yankee Stadium tonight.

So far in July Valdez is batting .298 to go along with a .702 slugging percentage including six home runs. All six of those home runs have come on his current eight-game hitting streak as New York sends lefty Ryan Weathers to the mound.

He has allowed 16 home runs in total this season and although none have come in his last four starts (17 IP) we think there is some regression to the means tonight.

Valdez has been having his way with left handed pitching this season batting .371 and slugging 1.057 which includes six home runs in 35 at-bats against south paws as well. Sure, eight of his 12 home runs have come at home but he’s still slugging .607 during road games.

Weathers has allowed 10 of his 16 total home runs during home games this season and 13 of 16 home runs to right handed batters. Let’s take Valdez and his hot bat to hit his home run prop picks tonight at +285 odds with other Pirates batters to look at for a home run includes Brandon Lowe (+390) and Henry Davis (+470).

MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #2: Dylan Crews (WSH) +340

The Nationals go from one hitter friendly park to another as they make the trip from Sacramento to Colorado to take on the Rockies.

Dylan Crews blasted his seventh home run of the season yesterday and we’ll look for him to hit his home run prop tonight as the Rockies send lefty Kyle Freeland to the mound.

Freeland has allowed 16 of his 18 total home runs this season against right handed batters and has given up home runs in back to back starts.

Shockingly just seven of his 18 home runs have been allowed at home by Crews has been doing damage against left handed pitching this season batting .328 and slugging .534 against them compared to a .156 average and .273 slugging percentage against right handed pitching.

Crews is also a better hitter on the road batting .225 and slugging .404 compared to home games batting .196 and slugging .309. In another favorable batters environment let’s take Crews to hit a home run at +340 odds with other Nationals hitters to consider for a home run prop includes Andrew Chaparro (+285) and Curtis Mead (+350).

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