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Bruce Marshall
World Cup
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It might as well be 2010 , the last time we saw Paraguay at a World Cup, but the cynical style is very reminiscent of that negative side that gave eventual winner Spain a major scare in the quarterfinals before falling honorably 1-0.
The same cynicism and time-wasting that turns its games into sometimes unwatchable, stop-start affairs might strangely be a bit of a problem for the all-powerful Les Bleus, yet to face a side in this World Cup that will simply fall back into a low-block and dare the French to come at them, glad to absorb pressure as boxers liek George Chuvale and Scott LeDoux once did in the ring. Suicidal resolve vs. Kylian Mbappe and friends? Perhaps. Yet also maybe unnerving enough to keep La Albirroja within earshot. Play Paraguay on Spread (at Philadelphia)
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Getting some action on the Phillies over the Royals for some added entertainment to the 4th of July festivities. Philadelphia is playing good ball winning 7 of their last 10 games overall. Their starter Jesus Luzardo has been excellent recently, letting up 2 runs or less in eight of his last 9 starts. The hard throwing southpaw is (3-0) his last three decisions with a (2.3 ERA) since mid May.
Offensively, the Phillies are a top 10 lineup by most key offensive metrics the last two weeks. Compared to the Royals bats who have struggled ranking bottom 10 across baseball. Kansas City has lost 3 straight games and is (1-7) their last eight games overall. They now own the worst record in the American League. This one just missed the client card. For Saturday's free pick- Bet Phillies.
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*9-0 (100%) HOT! SATURDAY 4th of July MLB BIG BET $$ : $25.00
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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San Francisco Giants [ML] | Good until -140.
Pitching Matchup: Robbie Ray/Tomoyuki Sugano [Action].
I did lose with the Giants yesterday. But, San Francisco should respond on Saturday. Robbie Ray has been a significantly stronger pitcher this season than Tomoyuki Sugano. I think that this matchup should play a part in tonight's game. Go with the Giants.
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CFL GAME OF THE WEEK (4% BEST BET | SAT): $25.00
FIRST 4% TOP RATED CFL SELECTION OF THE SEASON | Rogers steps out with a MASSIVE RELEASE on July 4th in the CFL. In fact, this is his first top rated bet of the whole season. Will's got one thing on his mind this Independence Day weekend. Win. It's that simple.
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Mets have lost 4 of 5 and 11 of 13 as their disappointing season continues. They’ve scored the 3rd fewest runs in baseball and now must face Chris Sale, who has allowed 1 earned run total over his past 2 starts with 17 strikeouts. Sale has held the opponent to 2 earned or less in 13 of his 15 starts this season and ranks in the 98th percentile in pitching run value. His metrics are elite from top to bottom, including a wOBA of just .269. The ATL also has the best bullpen in baseball once he exits. Sean Manaea is a low velo, subpar pitcher and we’ll look for Sale to hold down this anemic Mets’ offense as they pick up another win today. Take the Braves -1.
77.8% (14-4) MLB RUN!
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+73 UNITS SINCE MAY 5TH IN MLB!
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MLB SAT BEST BET! 77.8% (14-4) RUN! : $25.00
Jimmy SWEPT THE CARD to get the weekend started and is on a MASSIVE 14-4 MLB RUN entering Saturday! His clients have been RAKING IN THE DOUGH, UP +26 UNITS over his past 18 plays alone! Jimmy has identified a play on today’s card where we have a CLEAR CUT EDGE, so make sure you don’t miss out! Grab this BEST BET NOW as Jimmy makes you MORE MONE ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Atlanta starter Chris Sale projects to give up 2.0 runs with a 2.88 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. New York’s lineup has hit just .239 (16-67) with a weak .664 OPS against Sale in his career. The Mets will start Sean Manaea. The lefty projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.52 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. With the starting pitching clearly in Atlanta’s favor, look for the Braves to get a solid home win in this game on Saturday night.
Play BRAVES (-).
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**2-For-1** MLB BEST BET SPECIAL
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MLB **OVER EASY** SLUGFEST: $25.00
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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5% MLB MAX bet is up for Saturday! 30% OFF 3 days all-access UP!
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SDP at LAD — July 4, 2026
Final Projection
Period | SDP | LAD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
First 5 innings | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 |
Full game | 3.6 | 5.2 | 8.8 |
Projected winner: Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitcher Comparison
Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Canning | SDP | 1-5 | 7.09 | 1.66 | 47.0 | 50 | 46 | 28 | 8 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 8-5 | 2.67 | 0.89 | 97.2 | 68 | 90 | 19 | 11 |
Yamamoto owns the clear starter edge: better ERA, elite WHIP, stronger command and more stable innings expectation. Canning has a 7.09 ERA overall and has been worse away from home, including a road ERA above 9.00 with a .434 wOBA allowed.
Canning previously worked five innings against LAD with three runs allowed and five strikeouts, but the broader profile is still dangerous against this lineup.
The Padres blew a 6-0 lead and lost 12-7 in the previous game, with the bullpen allowing the Dodgers to score in five straight innings. That strongly upgrades LAD’s late-game run expectation and downgrades San Diego bullpen reliability.
Projected Starting-Pitcher Box Scores
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Canning | SDP | 4 2/3 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 1.2 |
Projected Team Box Score
Team | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SDP | 3.6 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 8.8 |
LAD | 5.2 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 7.6 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | OPS | MLB Rank |
|---|---|---|
LAD | .815 | 5 |
SDP | .707 | 19 |
Final 30-Team Ranking Comparison — 1 Best, 30 Worst
Category | SDP Rank | LAD Rank |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP | 30 | 3 |
Bullpen, last 10 days | 28 | 9 |
Lineup production, last 10 games | 17 | 3 |
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5% MLB MAX Bet | +63% Profit +23% ROI Last 365 days | 10-Year MLB Scout | 3-Time TOP Capper: $35.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet for Saturday and it’s THE strongest value spot on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +63% profit and +23% ROI with 5% bets.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years. Tokyo Brandon was also #1 in MLB profit in 2024 an ...
5% MLB MAX Bet + TWO 4% BEST BETS | +63% Profit +23% ROI Last 365 days | 4th Of July BETTING BONANZA!: $39.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet and TWO 4% best best for a 4th of July BETTING BONANZA! These are the absolute strongest value spots on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +63% profit and +23% ROI with 5% bets.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years ...
50% OFF KBO 4% BEST BET 2 PACK | #1 ALL-TIME KBO +96.58 units, 58.2% Winning Percentage
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Off a 5-1 KBO run, Tokyo Brandon just released two 4% KBO best bets, the best spots on the board for late Friday night for 50% OFF! As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss. If you’re looking for a high-value 4% best ...
Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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After being embarrassed Friday, expect the Cubs to respond with a big effort Saturday. Imanga held the Padres to two runs through 6 1/3 innings in his last start. I like that he didn't walk a batter. He's got a 1.08 WHIP this season and a stingy 0.85 WHIP in five career starts vs St Louis. Leahy has been solid at home but he's got a 5.35 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road. Even after yesterday's loss, Chicago is still a healthy 22-11 at home vs. NL opponents. Cubs bounce back. *Good up to -165
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*VERY EARLY* WNBA 4% GAME OF THE WEEK1 (15-5/75% YTD, +373 UNIT HOOPS!): $25.00
All-Time Basketball Champion Ben Burns is a DOMINANT 15-5 (+26.69) on the WNBA season. More impressive, all basketball is on an industry-leading +372.62 UNIT HEATER. Only one of Ben's 20 WNBA plays (a winner) was rated higher than 3%. His second goes BRIGHT AND EARLY Saturday. Don't sleep in!
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4th of July Special: 7 Days for the Price of 3 (4 days FREE)!
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Pavlos Laguretos
World Cup
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World Cup Thank You Bonus: As a way to say thanks for buying my World Cup Package, you get 100% back, the full $149, toward my 1 Year Soccer Pass. That drops the price to $550 with code BB149. It covers the next 12 months and any soccer play, regardless of league or tournament, plus my 5% Soccer Best Bets. Added bonus: your 365 days do not start counting down until after the World Cup ends, so you get the rest of the tournament before the clock even starts.
Canada vs Morocco
World Cup, Saturday, 1pm ET
Play: Canada Over 1.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -125 B365
Line Parameter: Line good to -150
Canada Cards in WC: 2/2/1/2
Friendlies: 2/2/4/2/4/7/3/3/3/3/2/5 also 4 vs Morocco in 2022 World Cup
Morocco Cards Against: 0/3/1/2
Morocco Cards Against in U20 World Cup: 2/1/3/2/1/0/5
Morocco Cards Against in U20 AFCON: 1/2/2/4/4/3
Take 2% on Canada Over 1.5 Cards (-125 B365), line good to -150
New to soccer betting? Confused by 3-way lines? Our free Soccer Cheat Sheet has you covered: https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/downloads
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[SAT] 5% WORLD CUP MAX BET (CORNERS): $39.00
#3 IN WORLD CUP PROFIT (+31u)Pavlos is W1 L2 P1 with his 5% Max Bets so far, not great no terrible, but this is going to be a 5% WINNER on Saturday. Doing extremely well with his Best Bets Rated 3% or Higher (15-3) for +40.35u and also on 7-0 with his 4% World Cup Best bets (+40.35u) and he has TWO 4% Best Bets loaded (SUNDAY SIDE BET and MONDAY TO ...
[SAT] 4% WORLD CUP BEST BET (PARLAY) | 7-0 : $25.00
7-0 IN 4% WORLD CUP BEST BETS (+28u)! This parlay includes a Saturday and Sunday play.Pavlos has won ALL 7 of his 4% World Cup Best Bets so far (+28u) and is on a 9-0 Run in 4% Best Bets and 13-3 in L/16 (+38.88u). Currently #2 in World Cup Profit (+35u) and up now is a 4% SATURDAY/SUNDAY WEEKEND PARLAY (Team to Advance / Game Total). Also availabl ...
[SUN] 4% WORLD CUP BEST BET (SIDE) | 7-0 IN 4% BEST BETS: $25.00
#3 IN WORLD CUP PROFIT (+31u)Pavlos has not lost a single 4% Best Bet in the World Cup (not even a Push) with a 7-0 and +28u. Also currently on a 9-0 Run in 4% Releases & 13-3 in L/16 (+38.88u). Doing extremely well with his Best Bets Rated 3% or Higher (15-3) for +40.35u. Up now is a 4% Best Bet for Sunday (SIDE BET), a 4% Best Bet for Monday ...
Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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...(4%) thru +110 (3-Way) |
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Lock in every play your handicapper releases that is played during your access window, from now through college football opening weekend on August 29. That is up to two full months of your handicapper's selections, including 5% Best Bets, straight through to kickoff.What You Get:Every play your handicapper releases that is played during your access ...
Oskeim Sports
WNBA Basketball
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Golden State is the side to back on Saturday as the Valkyries continue to prove they are far more than a feel-good expansion story. Five of their losses have come against the WNBA's elite, while they have consistently handled the rest of the league, including back-to-back victories over Atlanta last week, 77-66 and 78-75. Those wins highlighted Golden State's greatest strength: an elite defense capable of winning games even when the offense isn't firing on all cylinders. Gabby Williams was outstanding against the Dream, scoring a combined 39 points in the two meetings, while the Valkyries' bench showcased its depth by contributing 39 points in Sunday's impressive 76-67win over New York. Golden State’s defense ranks 1st in points allowed per game (77.8), 1st in FGM (26.9), and 2nd in FG% (42.3), and should continue to frustrate an Atlanta offense ranked 12th in FG% (43.3) and 11th in 3P% (32.1). Atlanta returns home from four consecutive road losses, which is significant because WNBA home teams coming off a conference road loss are 138-184-6 ATS (42.9%), including 53-80-4 ATS (39.8%) since 2019. With a proven blueprint for slowing the Dream, the Valkyries are well-positioned to complete another victory over Atlanta on Saturday. Take the Golden State Valkyries as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, July 4.
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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Celebrate Independence Day with a full week of picks from the handicapper of your choice, including any 5% Best Bets they release. Get 7 straight days of all-access for the price of just 3 days. That is a $99 value for only $69, a $30 savings to kick off the holiday weekend.At $69 for a 3-day pass, you get 4 days FREE.Pick your expert, lock in your ...
PITCH TO KICK-OFF, OPENING WEEKEND OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE!
Was $598.00 Now $299.00
Lock in every play your handicapper releases that is played during your access window, from now through college football opening weekend on August 29. That is up to two full months of your handicapper's selections, including 5% Best Bets, straight through to kickoff.What You Get:Every play your handicapper releases that is played during your access ...
Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Joey Chestnut UNDER 70.5 Hot Dogs Eaten (-140)
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest
The conditions this year set up well for the under.
The forecast calls for extreme heat and humidity, with temperatures expected to approach 98 degrees. Those conditions make eating significantly more difficult. The buns absorb more moisture and expand, while the heat places additional stress on the body, making it tougher to maintain the blistering pace needed to reach 71 hot dogs.
The recent trend also favors the under. Chestnut hasn't cleared this number since 2021, making this a much more realistic target than his peak performances from several years ago.
There are also questions about his preparation and focus. Chestnut was recently arrested following an altercation after an individual approached him and asked to shake his hand. While it's impossible to know how much that incident affects him, it's another distraction leading into the biggest event of the year.
Chestnut is still the greatest competitive eater of all time, but expecting him to return to the numbers he posted in his prime may be asking too much. Between the oppressive weather, the recent history below this total, and the physical demands of the event, 70.5 is simply too high.
We'll back Joey Chestnut UNDER 70.5 Hot Dogs Eaten.
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World Cup Best Prop On The Saturday Board: $25.00
The World Cup prop market has been treating us well this week with a 3-1 record, and we're back with our favorite prop on Saturday's board. We've been finding value by attacking props instead of the traditional sides and totals, and that approach continues to pay off. Saturday's play is one we've been excited about from the ...
Weekend Auto Racing 4% Pack: $25.00
NASCAR, IndyCar, O'Reily Series Included!!! 22-17 Auto Racing Run (+13 Units)- Auto racing continues to be profitable, sitting at 22-17 for +13 units, and we’re back on Sunday with another strong 4% Best Bet along with two others.The season is a grind, but the results are there, and we’ve continued to find value across NASCAR, IndyCar, For ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Will Rogers
World Cup
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New to soccer betting? Confused by 3-way lines? Our free Soccer Cheat Sheet has you covered: https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/downloads
FREE PICK | Morocco [ATS] | Good until -0.5, -150.
It took a goal past 90 minutes (added time) for both of these two teams to advance. But, there's a difference between these two teams. Before this WC, Canada had never picked up a point in six games played at any WC. Morocco made the Semis four years ago and looks to be a threat again. It's still the round of 16. But, I think that Morocco has a great chance at running away with this game if it gets the first goal early. Go with Morocco.
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CFL GAME OF THE WEEK (4% BEST BET | SAT): $25.00
FIRST 4% TOP RATED CFL SELECTION OF THE SEASON | Rogers steps out with a MASSIVE RELEASE on July 4th in the CFL. In fact, this is his first top rated bet of the whole season. Will's got one thing on his mind this Independence Day weekend. Win. It's that simple.
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
4th of July Special: 7 Days for the Price of 3 (4 days FREE)!
Was $99.00 Now $69.00
Celebrate Independence Day with a full week of picks from the handicapper of your choice, including any 5% Best Bets they release. Get 7 straight days of all-access for the price of just 3 days. That is a $99 value for only $69, a $30 savings to kick off the holiday weekend.At $69 for a 3-day pass, you get 4 days FREE.Pick your expert, lock in your ...
