Free Sports Predictions APR 28: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(975) New York Yankees at (976) Texas Rangers: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
New York Yankees -118 Cam Schlittler (RHP) Must Start

Backing the Bronx Bombers over the Rangers at the short price. Spectacular starting pitching matchup on tap in Arlington, featuring Yankees young gun Cam Schlittler with a sub 2 ERA and a sparkling 41 to 4 strikeout to walk ratio.

Jacob deGrom has looked sharp to this point in the season himself. The difference is the Yankees bats are in much better form recently compared to the Texas lineup. New York has won 8 of their last 10 games and currently has the best record and run differential in the American League. This one just missed the client card. For Tuesday's free bet- Bet Yankees.

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Kyle Anthony MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24433) Vince Morales at (24434) Colby Thicknesse
Date/Time:
Play:
Vince Morales +114

will add breakdown soon

Play: Vince Morales +114

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The Prez NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(27) Boston Bruins at (28) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Buffalo Sabres -164

Let me start by saying, I would split this bet up by 3. I would bet the Sabres on the ML, Puck Line and in regulation. I think we will see a 4-1, 5-2 type of a hockey game with the Sabres closing it out tonight on home ice. The bottom line here, is this Sabres team has dominated this series in every single metrics. Sure, they lost a game - but even in that game, they were better in every stat except goals. This Sabers team is really good and have been for months now. They are the hottest team in hockey and are playing a Bruins team that is lucky to be in the playoffs. This is a mismatch and the Sabres know it. They do not want this series to go back to Boston. I am positive Boston will bring their best tonight - but I do not think it will be good enough.

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Andy Lang NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(31) Minnesota Wild at (32) Dallas Stars: Matt Boldy Shots On Goal
Date/Time:
Play:
Matt Boldy Shots On Goal Over 3.5 (100)

Boldy has been a volume machine in this series, recording 4+ shots on goal in every game. That kind of consistency at this number is exactly what you want.

The underlying metrics are even stronger—he’s averaging around 10 shot attempts per game. That’s elite volume, and it gives him a huge cushion to land at least 4 on net.

This isn’t fluky production either. He’s clearly a focal point of the offense, constantly involved and generating chances shift after shift.

With sustained shot volume and consistent results, this is a great spot to keep riding the over.

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Bryan Leonard MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(979) Detroit Tigers at (980) Atlanta Braves: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Atlanta Braves -123 Casey Mize (RHP), Martín Pérez (LHP) Must Start

980 Detroit at Atlanta

We’ve talked about the Tiger’s struggles vs lefties for the past few years. When facing southpaws Colt Keith, Kerry Carpenter and Wendell Perez are all forced to take a seat. For a team that doesn’t have a lot of power, those are key pieces sitting on the bench.

The first five batters in the Braves lineup are on fire. Over  the last 7 days they rank 107th, 57th, 17th, 15th and 3rd on baseball in league wide hitting. Martin Perez has slotted into this Braves rotation very nicely, ranking 18th in pitching the last two weeks in the league.

PLAY ATLANTA

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Jeff Michaels MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) Cleveland Guardians: Jake Fraley Hits
Date/Time:
Play:
Jake Fraley Hits Over 0.5 (-142) Action

(965) Tampa Bay Rays at (966) Cleveland Guardians: Jake Fraley Hits

Jake Fraley Hits Over 0.5 (-142)

Jake Fraley Performance Analysis:

  • Solid Recent Form: Jake Fraley is an intriguing option to consider for tonight’s game. Over his last 10 games, he has gone over his 0.5 hits number in 8 of those contests, indicating his consistent ability to make contact and contribute offensively.

  • Previous Encounter with Tanner Bibee: While Fraley has limited history against Tanner Bibee, he did manage to hit a double in their previous meeting. This positive experience against Bibee could give him confidence heading into this matchup.

  • Impact of Days Off: Notably, Fraley has a strong track record following games where he has received a "Did Not Play" (DNP) designation. After such days off this season, he boasts a batting average of .375, including 2 home runs and 2 doubles. This effectiveness suggests that the added rest benefits his performance significantly, allowing him to return revitalized at the plate.

  • Road Performance: Fraley's splits also indicate that he performs better away from home, which aligns well with his form. His ability to adapt and produce on the road could enhance his chances of exceeding his hits total in this game.

Conclusion

In the matchup against the Cleveland Guardians, Jake Fraley presents a compelling player prop option. His recent strong performance, combined with the positive history against Tanner Bibee and the benefits of resting days, positions him favorably for success. Betting on Fraley to achieve at least 1 hit appears to be a solid choice based on statistical trends and his ability to perform under similar circumstances.

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) Seattle Mariners at (974) Minnesota Twins: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Seattle Mariners -126 Action

Two pitchers who dominate the batters they face today and one team in a huge flat spot.

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 Mariners moneyline

Pro

Why it helps SEA ML

Seattle bullpen edge

SEA had the stronger projected bullpen rank in the earlier chart: 6th vs MIN 25th over the last 10 days. If Gilbert can keep it close through 5-6 innings, Seattle’s late-game setup is the best pro-Mariner angle.

Twins bullpen may be thinned

Current matchup notes flag Minnesota’s bullpen as impacted by injuries and depth issues, which matters more if Joe Ryan only gets through 5-6 innings.

Mariners were the market favorite

Current market references had SEA around -129 despite the model leaning MIN. That means books still respected Seattle more than Minnesota, likely because of overall team/bullpen quality.

Gilbert has strong K/BB indicators

Logan Gilbert’s listed line: 35 K, 7 BB in 33.0 IP. Even with a 4.36 ERA, that strikeout-to-walk profile is much cleaner than the surface ERA.

Seattle has more power at the top

Cal Raleigh led Seattle with 7 HR, while Byron Buxton led Minnesota with 6 HR entering the matchup. In a low-total game, one swing can flip the ML.

Bounce-back spot after ugly opener

Minnesota won Monday’s opener 11-4, with Seattle’s Luis Castillo allowing 7 runs in 5 innings. That result may inflate Twins sentiment, but it was more of a Castillo blowup than a full-series proof point.

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Dwayne Bryant NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(569) Atlanta Hawks at (570) New York Knicks: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 214.0 (-112)

Key Situational Angle:

Play UNDER in April playoff games with the total between 210 and 220 if a team is playing at most its 5th game in the last 14 days.

Applies to both New York and Atlanta.

71-25 (74%) since the 2021 season, staying UNDER by an average of 7.3 points!

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Don Buster NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(31) Minnesota Wild at (32) Dallas Stars: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Dallas Stars -126

GOOD TO 140

We make a small play on Dallas here as they played Minnesota to two OT games in St. Paul. We know this looks like a complete zig zag series and that's not always a bad thing. However our handicap is more on the Starts being at home in front of the fans. Home ice is just different for teams in the playoffs. With that last line change it will be crucial to help the Stars take a 3-2 lead back to St. Paul.

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The Gold Sheet NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(569) Atlanta Hawks at (570) New York Knicks: OG Anunoby Points + Rebounds
Date/Time:
Play:
OG Anunoby Points + Rebounds Over 23.5 (-110)

The Knicks and Hawks head back to Madison Square Garden for Game 5 tonight after New York was able to tie the series up at 2-2 with a 114-98 win in Game 4. OG Anunoby had 32 points + rebounds in that game as we’ll look for him to go over 23.5 points + rebounds tonight. He has averaged 29.5 points + rebounds per game for the series and during the regular season averaged 27 points + rebounds in three head-to-head matchups with Atlanta. Anunoby has averaged 38.2 minutes per game this series which is most among all Knicks players and on the season averages 26.4 points + rebounds per 40 minutes. After Jalen Brunson, Anunoby has attempted the most field goals per game this series and even with all the success Karl-Anthony Towns has been having this series, Anunoby has still been able to make an impact on both sides of the floor. Anunoby has arguably been the most consistent Knicks player so far this series so let’s take him to make an impact again in Game 5 going over 23.5 points + rebounds against the Hawks in New York.

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Ralph Michaels MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Pittsburgh Pirates: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
First Inning Over +0.5 (-105) Kyle Leahy (RHP) Must Start

(955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Pittsburgh Pirates: Total

First Inning Over 0.5 (-105) Kyle Leahy (RHP) Must Start

Pittsburgh scored yesterday in their first game back home, where they are 8-2 YPFI and have scored a first-inning run in 5 of 7 games.

St Louis is 9-4 YRFI in their L13 games,

Leahy has a 5.63 ERA, and the Pirates are undecided, but it will not be one of their top 4.

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago White Sox: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Angels -140 Action

The Angels caught a bad beat last night with some poor bullpen play while in full control of the game. Today they bounce back with Jose Soriano, who has the best ERA in baseball at 0.24. Soriano hasn’t allowed a run in any of his past 3 starts and has given up just 1 run in 6 starts this season! LA is also swinging the bats well as of late and they won’t need to provide much run support tonight. Take the Angels.

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Pavlos Laguretos UEFA Tab UEFA

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Event:
(224201) Bayern Munich at (224202) Paris Saint Germain
Date/Time:
Play:
Red Card Awarded (+380)

Play: Red Card Awarded
Odds at time of Release: +380
Line Parameter: Line good to +300

Cards in H2H L/10 years: 6/6/9/1/5/4/5/8/6/5, at least 5 cards in 8 of 10

Red Card in 4 of L/5, a total of 5 Red Cards in L/5 matches.

Taking 1% on the Red Card (+380)

Referee is quite a controversial issue here, as Swiss-German Sandro Scharer has been selected. He's favoured German teams in the past, and has NOT favoured French teams, let me elaborate. Last season he was the referee in a French-German battle in the R16 of the Champions League between Lille and Dortmund, where Dortmund won by 2-1 on the road, and he also awarded Dortmund a penalty kick. Lille's president said that there is lack of impartiality and I quote: “When the referee was appointed and I saw that he was Swiss-German, I found it special. At halftime, he spoke with the Dortmund players exclusively in German“

About a month after that incident, he officiated the Europa League quarter-final between Man United and Lyon (a French team). He sent off Lyon's Tolisso at the 89th minute and with the score at 2-2. The match went to extra time, where Lyon managed to score TWO goals and take a 2-goal lead while down a man, then the referee awarded a Penalty kick to Man United, who went on to score THREE goals in 7 minutes to win by 5-4. So another French team was mugged.

Small sample, but this referee might not be impartial here. Let's look at his overall stats, see if anything comes up.

2025/26: 22 matches in all competitions, Avg 5.00 cards/match, 8 Penalty Kicks, 5 Reds
2024/25: 33 matches in all competitions, Avg 4.12 cards/match, 9 PKs, 4 Reds
2023/24: 18 matches in all competitions, Avg 4.16 cards/match, 6 PKs, 4 Reds
2022/23: 29 matches in all competitions, Avg 5.44 cards/match, 14 PKs, 10 Reds
2021/22: 38 matches in all competitions, Avg 5.28 cards/match, 12 PKs, 12 Reds
2020/21: 38 matches in all competitions, Avg 4.10 cards/match, 19 PKs, 7 Reds

Lifetime: 508 matches, Avg 4.75 cards/match, 170 PKs (0.33/game), 129 Red Cards (0.25/game)

Lifetime Champions League:
19 matches, Avg 4.05 cards/match, 7 PKs (0.36/game), 3 Reds (0.15/game)

Lifetime Champions and Europa League:
63 matches, Avg 4.68 cards/match, 18 PKs (0.28/game), 24 Reds (0.38/game)

Take 1% on Red Card Awarded (+380 FD), line good to +300

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

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Will Rogers MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(969) Boston Red Sox at (970) Toronto Blue Jays: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 7.5 (-115) Action

Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays (OVER) | Good until 7.5, -125.

Pitching Matchup: Payton Tolle/Trey Yesavage. (Action).

I understand that these guys are two pitching prospects who are expected to do wonders for their respective organizations over the next few years. But, they are still learning about the big leagues and will make making their 2nd & 1st starts of their first full season here today. There's no question that Tolle lit up the Yankees in his first start this season. But, he didn't really show great command last season and the Blue Jays should definitely have a better game than yesterday. Yesavage has a ton of pressure at the moment with everyone expecting him to be the next ace. But, Boston also looks strong since firing Alex Cora. I like the OVER here.

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Bruce Marshall MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago White Sox: Total
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Total Under 7.5 (100) Action

If the American League were to vote on the Cy Young Award as of April 28, the Angels’ Jose Soriano would be the odds-on favorite. He’s done a pretty good Bob Gibson circa 1968 impersonation, winning all five of his starts, posting an 0.24 ERA and 0.82 WHIP.

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Las Vegas Cris MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(969) Boston Red Sox at (970) Toronto Blue Jays: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Boston Red Sox 102 Payton Tolle (LHP), Trey Yesavage (RHP) Must Start

3% BOS ML (+102)
Good to -110

Tolle was not only great in his first start he was excellent in the minors and going back to lasty year in the show. Yes Yesavage was light out in the postseason but the Toronto staff did not trust him this year for good reason; the kid pitched to an over 8 ERA in the minors and is being called up to fill a spot. Red Sox dont give a ton of confidence offensively but this opening line is very telling.

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(971) Los Angeles Angels at (972) Chicago White Sox: Moneyline
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Los Angeles Angels -140 Jose Soriano (RHP) Must Start

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Oskeim Sports NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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(573) Portland Trail Blazers at (574) San Antonio Spurs: Spread
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San Antonio Spurs -11.5 (-115)

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