Jeff Michaels
Featured Pick
#1 & #1 WITH A PERFECT 13-0 (100%) RUN!
OFF A 5% WIN! NOW #1 AND #1 ...AND HOW HOT? >>> A PERFECT 13-0 (100%) RUN!
Jeff is #1 in profit the last 30 days at WagerTalk and #1 in profit the last 365 days!
Jeff cashed his 5% top play on the Spurs/Rocket under making it TEN straight winning days and 85% winning days since January 9. His #1 ranked 5% plays are now 52-27-4 (66%) since November 20241
On NBA Best Bets (4%/5%) Jeff is 10-0 (100%) and 16-2 (89%)!
This play is a total and Jeff is 16-2 (89%) his last 18 over/unders with NBA totals 7-0 (100%) and 13-2 (89%)!
NBA Best Bet Totals are 8-0 (100%) and 13-1 (93%)!
Hot Streaks
AMAZING 13-0 (100%) RUN...WIN #14 IS THURSDAY!
#1 ON 5% SINCE LAST NOV! RED-HOT 52-27-4 (66%)!
NBA RUN 10-0 (100%)/ NBA TOTALS 22-5 (82%)!
4%/5% SIDES - 65% WINNING DAYS (46 OR 71 DAYS)!
TUESDAY $5 PLAYS ARE 16-7-1 (70%)!
#1 NBA REG SEASON LY 88-62 (59%) +61 UNITS!
Last updated Jan 29, 5:03 AM EST
All Plays
#1 & #1 WITH A PERFECT 13-0 (100%) RUN!
OFF A 5% WIN! NOW #1 AND #1 ...AND HOW HOT? >>> A PERFECT 13-0 (100%) RUN!
Jeff is #1 in profit the last 30 days at WagerTalk and #1 in profit the last 365 days!
Jeff cashed his 5% top play on the Spurs/Rocket under making it TEN straight winning days and 85% winning days since January 9. His #1 ranked 5% plays are now 52-27-4 (66%) since November 20241
On NBA Best Bets (4%/5%) Jeff is 10-0 (100%) and 16-2 (89%)!
This play is a total and Jeff is 16-2 (89%) his last 18 over/unders with NBA totals 7-0 (100%) and 13-2 (89%)!
NBA Best Bet Totals are 8-0 (100%) and 13-1 (93%)!
WagerTalk Specials
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Full-Court All-Access Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
For a limited time, get every basketball play from Jeff Michaels for three full days — including NBA and College Basketball selections and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49.
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*Access includes all NBA and College Basketball selections released during your 3-day window.
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New year. New opportunities. New winning potential.
Free Picks
THE PLAY: 2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots
2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards.
Value Play on One-Yard Touchdowns:
One-yard touchdowns can often have a lower public profile, making them a value play, especially in high-stakes games like the Super Bowl where the focus can be on bigger plays.
The potential scenario of pass interference in the end zone resulting in a one-yard line situation can significantly increase the chances of a one-yard touchdown.
Historical Trends:
Super Bowl Stats: You noted that there have been one-yard touchdowns in 5 of the last 6, and 8 of the last 10 Super Bowls. This shows a strong historical trend, which suggests that this is a recurring situation in the context of big games.
Impact of Game Pressure:
The two weeks off leading up to the Super Bowl can add pressure on teams, which might lead to mistakes, including penalties in the red zone like pass interference. This can further increase the likelihood of opportunities for one-yard touchdowns.
The neutral crowd also plays a role, as players might behave differently without the typical home-field advantage, which can result in more nerves and potentially more fouls.
THE PLAY: Houston Rockets -3.5 (-110)
(565) Houston Rockets at (566) Atlanta Hawks: Spread
Houston Rockets -3.5 (-110)
General Trends:
Away Teams Trend: The statistic highlights that away teams, as favorites or small underdogs off a loss and playing with no rest, have a record of 88-41 (68%) ATS when facing a team coming off a win as an underdog. This trend suggests a favorable scenario for the away team in this matchup.
Houston Rockets Performance:
Home Record: The Rockets have been strong at home, boasting a 16-4 straight up record. This reflects their ability to perform well in familiar surroundings.
Bounce-back Performance: Following previous home losses, the Rockets are 3-0 ATS, covering by an average of 9.7 points per game. This shows that they tend to respond well after a defeat at home, making them a dangerous opponent after losing their last game.
Atlanta Hawks Performance:
Current Form: The Hawks have won and covered in 4 straight games, including an impressive upset against the Celtics in Boston. This momentum can boost their confidence, although beating elite teams doesn't always predict success against other opponents.
Underdog Performance: Atlanta’s record as an underdog after a win is 2-4 ATS, indicating they have struggled to maintain their momentum as a favorite in the subsequent game following an upset.
Rest and Performance: The Hawks have played two games in which both teams had both rest, but they failed to cover in either by a significant margin (30 points combined).
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Consultant Bio
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW HIM @JMSportsCLE
Yet another handicapper from the Cleveland area following Marc Lawrence, Phil Steele, Ralph Michaels, Ed Meyer, and Bryan Leonard. In fact, Jeff's hunger for handicapping began at a young age, being surrounded by parents who made sports betting a daily routine. Jeff then worked for both North Coast Sports and Phil Steele Publications, learning the intricacies of sports betting and becoming a profitable handicapper. Throughout his college years, Jeff's mathematical and analytical prowess helped him develop a betting strategy that turned sports betting into a profitable venture.
Jeff now joins the Sports Memo Marketplace after selling picks on several small sites. Jeff handicaps the traditional sports of NFL, CFB, the NBA, College Basketball, and MLB while showing real prowess in the WNBA. He has dominated the teaser market and has spent a lot of his focus on sides. While also adding in a share of props (especially NFL & MLB), as well as totals.
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