Jeff Michaels
Featured Pick
NBA #1 REG SEASON LY! 65% RUN!
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK! NBA REGULAR SEASON #1 LAST SEASON – CURRENT NBA RUN 15-8 (65%)!
Jeff has had two NBA play this week cashing both, raising his NBA run to 15-8 (65%) after finishing #1 in NBA profit last season during the regular season!
When Jeff releases a Best Bet side (4% or 5%) he is 28-14-6 (67%) and 109-66-17 (62.3%) since August 2024!
NBA Best Bet sides are 32-17 (65.3%) with all Basketball Best Bet sides going 49-26 (65.3%)!
Hot Streaks
5% ARE #1 S'/NOV 7-2-2 (79%) & 42-21-4 (67%)!
4%/5% SIDES - 67% WINNING DAYS (28 OF 42 DAYS)!
NBA OVER/UNDER 8-1 (89%) & 14-3 (82%)
#1 NBA REG SEASON LY 88-62 (59%) +61 UNITS!
TUESDAY $5 PLAYS ARE 9-3-1 (75%)!
PROPS 2%+ 56-36 (61%)/ FOOTBALL PROPS 20-8 (71%)!
Last updated Nov 7, 8:30 AM EST
All Plays
NBA #1 REG SEASON LY! 65% RUN!
NBA GAME OF THE WEEK! NBA REGULAR SEASON #1 LAST SEASON – CURRENT NBA RUN 15-8 (65%)!
Jeff has had two NBA play this week cashing both, raising his NBA run to 15-8 (65%) after finishing #1 in NBA profit last season during the regular season!
When Jeff releases a Best Bet side (4% or 5%) he is 28-14-6 (67%) and 109-66-17 (62.3%) since August 2024!
NBA Best Bet sides are 32-17 (65.3%) with all Basketball Best Bet sides going 49-26 (65.3%)!
CFB OU GAME OF WEEK 71%!
TOTALS GAME OF THE WEEK! ALL TOTALS 11-5 (69%) & 36-20 (64%)!
Jeff is on a 16-9-2 (64%) all sports run!
Football Totals are 10-4 (71%) with CFB Totals 7-3 (70%)
Football run stands at 12-6-1 (67%) and 32-20-1 (62%)!
WagerTalk Specials
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Free Picks
THE PLAY: Atlanta Hawks -2.0 (-114)
(541) Toronto Raptors at (542) Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks -2.0 (-114)
System Insight
- Key System: Teams off a division home win, playing with revenge for a home loss as a favorite or underdog to +7 are 89-55-3 (62%) ATS since 2017.
Atlanta Hawks Overview
- Recent Performance: The Hawks have won 3 out of their last 4 games despite playing the last two without Trae Young, who is expected to be out for a few weeks.
- Offensive Efficiency: In their last 3 games, the Hawks' shooting percentages were 54.3%, 50.6%, and 55.6%.
- Defensive Performance: Their defense has limited opponents to shooting 35.4%, 41.2%, and 43.4% during this span.
Toronto Raptors Overview
- Recent Success: The Raptors are on a 3-game win streak, defeating Cleveland, Memphis, and Milwaukee.
- Line Inflation Insight: This recent success has possibly inflated the betting line against the Hawks, especially since Toronto was a +5.5 underdog at the same venue in the season opener.
THE PLAY: Auburn +6.5 (-105)
(167) Auburn at (168) Vanderbilt
Auburn +6.5 (-105)
1. Strong Trend for SEC Teams Off a Favorite Loss:
- Historical ATS Success: Since 2013, SEC teams coming off a home favorite of -7 or higher following a loss have an impressive 25-7 (78%) ATS record. This suggests that teams in this scenario tend to bounce back strongly, making Vanderbilt a potentially good play.
2. Vanderbilt’s Recent Pressure & Performance:
- Emotional Impact from Loss: Vanderbilt’s second loss of the season came in a highly emotional game in Austin. Emotional games can motivate teams to respond strongly in their next outing, especially in a prominent conference race.
- Lack of Recent Large Favorites: Interestingly, Vanderbilt has not been an SEC home favorite of -6 or higher since 2013, suggesting that bigger lines are rare and they might be undervalued when they are favored. This adds a potential value angle to their game.
3. Auburn’s Recent ATS Performance:
- Road ATS Trends: Auburn is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an SEC away underdog. This indicates they perform well when they are not the favored team, especially on the road, which could challenge Vanderbilt.
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Consultant Bio
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW HIM @JMSportsCLE
Yet another handicapper from the Cleveland area following Marc Lawrence, Phil Steele, Ralph Michaels, Ed Meyer, and Bryan Leonard. In fact, Jeff's hunger for handicapping began at a young age, being surrounded by parents who made sports betting a daily routine. Jeff then worked for both North Coast Sports and Phil Steele Publications, learning the intricacies of sports betting and becoming a profitable handicapper. Throughout his college years, Jeff's mathematical and analytical prowess helped him develop a betting strategy that turned sports betting into a profitable venture.
Jeff now joins the Sports Memo Marketplace after selling picks on several small sites. Jeff handicaps the traditional sports of NFL, CFB, the NBA, College Basketball, and MLB while showing real prowess in the WNBA. He has dominated the teaser market and has spent a lot of his focus on sides. While also adding in a share of props (especially NFL & MLB), as well as totals.
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