Free Sports Predictions OCT 14: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

The FIU Golden Panthers visit the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers for an 8pm ET kickoff on ESPNU. The weather projection shows 50 degrees and clear skies in Bowling Green, Kentucky. This Conference USA matchup should get points in bunches due to a couple of offensive/ defensive strengths vs weaknesses facing off on both sides of the ball. 

The Hilltoppers possess the #1 pass offense in CUSA behind QB Maverick Mclvor up against the 2nd to last ranked defensive pass unit in FIU. On the other side of the football, FIU possesses the #1 ranked rushing attack in CUSA up against the 2nd to last ranked rush defense for Western Kentucky. The last time these two teams played the final score was (41-28). Something similar here. Bet Over. 
 

Released/revised 27 minute(s) ago

While the Brewers pulled off probably the wildest double play you’ll ever see in your life last night, it ultimately wasn’t enough as LA barely pulled out a 2-1 victory. Milwaukee struck out with the bases loaded in the 9th to end the game, but based on what we’ve seen we can expect a whole lot more offensive production from the Brew Crew in Game 2. Freddy Peralta takes the mound in this essential matchup, as the Brewers obviously don’t want to be in a situation where they’re down 0-2 heading to LA. Peralta is no stranger to the big stage, and he hasn’t given up more than 3 runs in either of his 2 postseason starts. He had the 7th best ERA in the majors this season at 2.70 and the 9th most strikeouts. Expect a bounce back from Milwaukee here as they even things up at a game apiece. Take the Brewers. 

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

I gave out the Falcons last week in their SU win over the Bills, and we’ll go right back to them in the underdog role again on Sunday Night Football. Atlanta is an underrated commodity in the betting market. This is a good, balanced football team on both sides of the ball. The defense entered last week ranked #1 in opposing passing yards per game and held Buffalo to just 157 through the air while outgaining them 443-291 in total yards. The ATL dominated from start to finish, and Bijan Robinson had a career game as well. Robinson rushed for 170 yards with a TD and added another 68 receiving. The word is out on Bijan, as his speed, quickness, and ability to make unbelievable cuts has his peers in awe. The 49ers have been dealing with multiple key injuries again this season and just lost one of their best defensive players in Fred Warner for the season. Catching points again, the only way to play this game is with Atlanta. Take the Falcons. 

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Maverick McIvor leads the Hilltoppers offense at quarterback while averaging 284 yards in the air with a 12/2 TD/INT ratio and completing 67.7% of his passes. Maverick has a deep receiving group to throw to with 2 players having over 300 yards receiving this season and 3 touchdowns each. The Hilltoppers have a balanced offense with 3 running backs sharing carries on the year and holding a 4.6 yards per carry average between the 3 of them. The game-to-game stats are a bit off because of the 3 ‘backs with the highest total in a game being 91 yards, but this Hilltoppers offense averages 123.3 yards rushing per game. Florida International has a weak defense that has allowed 32 points per game with 147 yards rushing and 274 yards passing so far this season. Western Kentucky has played well on the season with a 5-1 record while dropping their only game to Toledo and are putting up a solid 33.67 points per game on the year.

Florida International has struggled on offense while struggling to have confidence in their quarterback where we saw the starter, Keyone Jenkins, pulled for Joe Pesansky last week in a 51-10 loss to UConn. Keyone has a low 2/4 TD/INT ratio while completing 62.9% of his passes and just 155 yards passing per game. Pesansky didn’t add much in his replacement role with 2 interceptions over 22 passes and just 168 yards through the air. The Panthers are supplemented with a good rushing attack in Kejon Owens who has a 6.1 yards per carry average and has rushed for 92.6 yards per game on the season. Western Kentucky has struggled against the run this year while giving up 195.8 yards rushing per game this season, but they can lean on their pass coverage on defense while only giving up 4 passing touchdowns on the year and 199 yards per game through the air. 

I don’t have a lot of faith in the FIU offense to keep up with Western Kentucky here and am going to lay the -9.5 on the Hilltoppers on Tuesday night.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Chelsea enter this weekend as short road favorites at Nottingham Forest. The pricing aligns with recent form…Chelsea are fresh off a dramatic 2–1 victory over Liverpool that showcased their resilience despite injuries, while Forest fell 0–2 at Newcastle in a match where they were out-shot 18–5 and struggled to sustain meaningful possession. Forest’s lack of attacking spark under Postecoglou has intensified managerial pressure, and with no key reinforcements returning from injury, their offensive issues remain systemic rather than personnel-based. Chelsea’s squad depth and form momentum provide a clear contrast, particularly with several players coming back after missing time for various reasons.

From a matchup standpoint, Chelsea’s technical edge and superior match-winners position them well in what projects as a controlled, low-event game. Chelsea’s creative structure and midfield control remain intact, allowing them to dictate tempo against a Forest side that’s been territorially dominated in recent weeks. The hosts’ recurring trend of conceding first and their tendency to play conservatively under pressure reduce upset potential and play directly into the visitors’ quality advantage. Chelsea's confidence lift off the Liverpool result, combined with Forest’s continuing creative drought, supports a Chelsea outright win.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

Houston Rockets Under 53.5 Reg Season Wins (Draft Kings)

The Rockets suffered a crucial blow during the offseason as starting point guard Fred VanVleet tore his ACL and will likely be out the entire regular season. Sure, the team did trade for Kevin Durant, but for how many games can they expect the veteran to be healthy for? Over the last five years he’s averaged just 49 games played per season with the Rockets letting go of Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks in the trade this offseason. Houston will be reuniting with longtime center Clint Capela but the backcourt is where they may struggle. Amen Thompson will be the starting shooting guard, but the team may have to turn to Reed Sheppard for a ton of quality minutes before they wanted with the VanVleet injury. Sheppard did impress in the G-League last season, but he didn’t see many opportunities on the main roster averaging just 12.6 minutes per game, 4.4 points per game while shooting 34% from three-point range. Aside from Sheppard Houston will also have to heavily rely on Aaron Holiday and Josh Okogie in the backcourt averaging a combined 12 points per game last season. We’re not saying Houston doesn’t make the playoffs, but we see them as possibly more of a play-in team and playing their way into the playoffs from there, hopefully with the return of VanVleet already happening or soon occurring at that point of the season. Of course, they can make a move to acquire another backcourt star during the season, but after the Durant trade they may not have much more to give up to gain a star guard. With the Rockets winning 52 games last season, we don’t think they win more than that this season going under 53.5 wins during the 2025-26 NBA regular season. Under 53.5 (-120)

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

Los Angeles and Jacksonville will play this game in London.  The Rams come in off a boring 17-3 win in Baltimore; a game that could have been much different had the Ravens scored from the 1-yard line right before the half.  Los Angeles was in a poor spot for that game, and they also lost their best WR (Puka Nacua) to an ankle injury.  But they got the job done despite the less than ideal circumstances, and it’s more likely now that they’ll come with a much better effort.  Reports say Nacua will likely miss this game, but his absence will only increase the focus of the offense.  The Rams have enough remaining pieces to overcome his absence, especially against a team like Jacksonville.  The Jaguars lost at home to the Seahawks while only scoring 12 points.  They came off a lucky win in the final seconds the week prior, so this isn’t a team playing too well right now.  Jacksonville’s offense can be good, but we’ve only seen it against the very bad defenses they’ve played.  This is a poor matchup for them on both sides of the ball, and the line is quite cheap on Los Angeles because of them most likely being without Nacua.  Lay the field goal with the Rams in this game on Sunday moring.

Play RAMS (-).

-------------------

Special Offers:
30 Day Football combo (NFL + NCAA) just $179 with promo code: FB30
FREE Week (7 days) Premium Live Odds, Injuries, Scores: OddsLogic.com/SM

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

It's a new era for Vanderbilt football, and they find themselves in a bounce back spot at home Saturday while welcoming in LSU. They’re also coming off a bye, and sitting on that loss combined with the extra time to prepare will only help. The Commodores had blown out every opponent they’d faced before picking up their first loss at Alabama and Clark Lea has done a tremendous job of turning this program around. Vandy is averaging 43.2 points per game on 7.6 yards per play while holding their opponents to 19.3ppg. Points have been hard to come by for the Tigers, who haven’t scored more than 20 in conference play. Garrett Nussmeier continues to make mistakes with 2 more picks at home against South Carolina last weekend. LSU’s offense has been heavily criticized locally and that will be their downfall here as the Commodores protect their home field and make a statement in the SEC. Take Vanderbilt ML. 

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Getting down on the Patriots early in the week under the key number of (-7). New England is playing some strong football for the first time in a while sitting at (4-2) both straight up and against the spread. They have won and covered three straight, while being drastically underpriced by the oddsmakers covering by a combined 37 ATS points in the 3 games. 

Tennessee has scored 10 or less points in 2 of their last 3 games. They lost each of their last two home games, both by double digits. The Titans have only played one game this season when they did not lose by more than a touchdown. More of the same on Sunday. This play just missed the client card, bet Patriots. 

Last Week's NFL Free Pick Recap: 1-0 (+1 unit) 
New England Patriots (-3) WINNER

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago