Borrman didn't find the Outright Winner last week at The Genesis Invitational but did hit a Top-5 position on Cameron Smith at +1600. He looks to find another long shot this week with TWO EVENTS including the alternate field Puerto Rico Open as well. As always, get all Outright, Leaderboard and H2H Matchups for all four days for BOTH events!
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Follow Borrman on Twitter @Borrman00 for updates on teams, schedules, injuries and more as well as access to his Free Picks. Also Make sure to Follow @StoppageTimeWT on Twitter as well for Free Live in game Picks from Borrman and Carmine Bianco
Check out Borrman on Stoppage Time on WagerTalkTV airing LIVE every Tuesday and Thursday at 10am EST along with Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan and Pavlos Laguretos
⛳Outright Cashes since PGA Tour Restart in June
2/7 Saudi International (Euro Tour) - 2% Dustin Johnson +550
1/24 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship (Euro Tour) - 1% Tyrrell Hatton +1300
12/13 QBE Shootout - 1% Harris English/Matt Kuchar +750
12/6 Mayakoba Golf Classic - 1% Viktor Hovland +2500
8/30 BMW Championship - 1% Jon Rahm +1000
8/9 PGA Championship - 1% Collin Morikawa +3500
8/2 Barracuda Championship - 1% Richie Werenski +3300
7/12 Workday Charity Open - 1% Collin Morikawa +3300
⚽General Soccer Wagering Info:
3-Way Betting: You can bet the home team, the away team, or the draw. Betting either team would be the equivalent of taking the -0.5 goal line spread which is also the same as the ML (moneyline).
2-Way Betting: Eliminates the draw as an option and if the game ends in a draw, your bet is voided/refunded. Listed as +0 or PK (pick).
Asian Handicap: This is the same as traditional sports where you see lines at -0.5 or -1, however, you may also see quarter-goal lines and they can be on the spread or total. Essentially a quarter-goal line is splitting your wager into two wagers on the half point on either side of that spread. For example, if you wager on a team at -0.75, you are actually placing half your wager on -0.5 and half your wager on -1. A win by two goals or more would result in a full win, a win by one goal would result in a half-win (you win the -0.5 portion of the bet, but push on the -1 portion) and a draw or loss would result in a full loss.
⛳General Golf Wagering Info:
Head to Head Matchups: Tournament Matchups (all four rounds) and Single Round Matchups. Tournament Matchup Play are graded based on the total score of the tournament. If one player misses the cut and the other player makes the cut, the player that made the cut wins the bet regardless of final score (which could end up worse than the player that missed the cut). If both players miss the cut, whoever has the lower score thru two rounds wins. If both players end with the same score, the wager is graded as a push.
Outright Winner and Leaderboard Bets: I include my selections on each of these for every Tournament. These plays are generally 2% or below as you have to play several selections to give yourself a chance of cashing a BIG ticket.
🎾General Tennis Wagering Info:
Head to Head Matchups: This is where I make most of my plays. One player to beat another player, O/U Total Games played, Game Lines and Set Lines are all popular ways to bet daily matchups.
Outright Winner, Tournament Progress and Quarter Winner Bets: I don't play these markets in every tournament but more so in the majors where the Tournaments are longer and payouts are better.
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| SOC | Molde at Hoffenheim | 12:55pm EST - Feb 25/2021 |
The PLAY: Hoffenheim -1.5 (-120)
UEFA Europa League
These teams played to a 3-3 draw last week which was remarkable considering how much Hoffenheim controlled that game. They put up 26 shots with 13 on goal compared to just 8 shots with 4 on goal for Molde. Hoffenheim also generated 4.67 xG, the highest of any team in the Europa League last week, nearly three goals more than Molde who did play well offensively, mustering up 1.76 xG. But the defense is why I'm fading them here.
That draw was a great result for Molde considering it was their first competitive game in two months which certainly showed defensively. Norway’s top league is in between their seasons as they don’t play during the coldest months of the year due to their northern location. I think they will once again struggle on the back end as they just don’t have their game speed right now. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim are coming in off another great performance over the weekend, crushing Werder Bremen 4-0 at home and while I don’t expect that score to repeat here, they should be able to cover this number with at least a two goal win at home.
TAKE HOFFENHEIM -1.5
Line Parameter: 4% to -1.75
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| GLF | Hideki Matsuyama vs Marc Leishman | 11:40am EST - Feb 25/2021 |
The PLAY: Marc Leishman (+155)
WGC Workday Championship
Tournament Matchup DraftKings
Leishman was a guy to fade after the restart last year. He missed five out of seven cuts including the first playoff event but was able to make it all the way to the Tour Championship thanks to a strong first half of the year performance including a win. He then went on to finish dead last at the BMW with a final score of +30 and finished 2nd to last at the Tour Championship.
He then missed the cut at the US Open and finished near the bottom of the CJ Cup and the Zozo Championship, two events without a cut. Then seemingly out of nowhere, he finished T13 at The Masters to propel him into 2021. In four events so far this calendar year he has three Top 25 finishes with his worst finish coming last week, but still solid at T32.
Looking at Matsuyama, he hasn’t been playing terribly by any means, he is just not playing anywhere near where he is being priced. He did miss the cut last week at The Genesis to snap a run of eight straight cuts made, but his finishes have not been that impressive. In 2021 so far he has made the cut in four of five events, but he only has one Top 25 finish and his next best was T41.
Matsuyama is known as an elite ball striker but a terrible putter. His ball striking was always good enough to carry him but that has fallen off so far this year as he ranks only 49th Off the Tee, 55th in Approach and 54thAround the Green. Then of course his putting is still awful, ranking 181st.
Yet Matsuyama is still being priced as a big favorite over Leishman at DraftKings and I just can’t see how that is justified. This is a great value number on current form of these two players, so grab Leishman at the big + number.
TAKE MARC LEISHMAN OVER HIDEKI MATSUYAMA
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| GLF | WGC Workday Championship Outright Winner | 10:00am EST - Feb 25/2021 |
The PLAY: Tyrrell Hatton to Win WGC Workday (+2250)
WGC Workday Championship
Outright Winner
For the Outright market, you have to look at chalk in the WGC events. Since the beginning of 2016, there have been 18 WGC events and the longest winner was Kevin Kisner at 60-1. More telling though, is that 14 of the 18 winners have been at odds of 20-1 or less. So do not waste your time looking down the list too far this week, especially on an unknown course like Concession and generally the best players in the world are quicker at adapting to new tracks and there are no horses for courses guys in play this week.
Technically just outside that list at +2200 is Tyrell Hatton, although some books have him as low as +1800 so I’m counting him in that 20-1 or under range. But Hatton has been playing some great golf. Over the last 16 months, in 22 starts he has four wins including winning the Abu Dhabi Championship in January. Including those four wins, he finished in the Top-10 in 12 of those 22 events including finishing T6 in this event last year. Granted this event was played in Mexico but just proof this guy can play well and win in deep fields.
For a longshot leaderboard play this week, jump on Billy Horschel, the Florida Gator alum playing in his home state is +750 for a Top 10 or +1600 for a Top 5. I expect him to be a guy making some noise during the upcoming Florida swing.
For DFS players, Hatton is $9,600 on DraftKings or $11,000 on FanDuel and you can get Horschel for $7,000 on DraftKings or $7,900 on FanDuel. Both are worthy of a roster spot this week.
TAKE TYRRELL HATTON +2250
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Consultant Bio
Nick Borrman has carved out a name for himself betting on soccer. He has been actively giving out free picks and analysis on soccer matches for several years through his Twitter handle @Borrman00. He was also an original writer on podbet.com, posting detailed write-ups of his picks.
Soccer
Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
Golf
Borrman has been around golf his entire life and grew up playing every summer with his parents who were members of a local country club. He eventually found his career working in the golf business as a Class A PGA Professional. He has taken his vast knowledge of the game of golf and applies it to PGA Tour picks. Borrman has taught golf to all levels for the last 15 years and understands the intricacies of the sport, the nuances of playing at different courses and the difficutly of bringing top level focus and physical energy week-in and week-out. He is using this knowledge and trend forecasting to find winners each week on the PGA Tour.
Both sports are year-round and Borrman only focuses his attention on these sports while most people, especially the oddsmakers, focus their attention on the major American sports, leaving plenty of value on the table to exploit!