Oskeim Sports

THE PLAY: Florida Panthers -125

Seattle returned home from a 5-2 win over the Canucks last night. In contrast, Florida hasn’t played since its 2-1 overtime win over the Blue Jackets on Saturday, which is significant because .501 or greater rested favorites are 1074-538 (66.6%; +4.2% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 408-173 (70.2%; +6.4% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Similarly, .450 or greater teams with two days of rest are 555-339 (62.1%; +3.4% ROI) versus unrested opponents, while NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 825-468 (63.8%; +7.4% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest since 2003. Moreover, .499 or worse unrested underdogs coming off a road game are 648-1204 (35%; -10.5% ROI) since 2004, including 151-360 (29.5%; -20.2% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, falling short of market expectations by an average margin of -1.1 goals per game. Since 2003, NHL road favorites with fewer than three days of rest are 2348-1550 (60.2%; +2.0% ROI) with a road game on deck. Florida possesses legitimate revenge for a 2-1 home loss to the Kraken, which is relevant because NHL road favorites of -160 or less with revenge are 1246-844 (59.6%; +6.3% ROI). Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs entering off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1183-1659 (41.6%; -5.1% ROI), including 393-619 (38.8%; -7.5% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game. Take the Florida Panthers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, March 15. **Don’t miss Jeff’s HUGE 5% NCAA Basketball Steam Play on Sunday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 59-26 (69.4%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in Win % and Units Won over the L/30 days!**

THE PLAY: Portland Trail Blazers -8.5 (-105)

NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1815-1520-66 ATS (55%), while .599 or worse road favorites of greater than three points are 718-527-29 ATS (57.7%) after the All-Star break, including 227-132-6 ATS (63.2%) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.4 points per game. Philadelphia is coming off a 104-76 win over the Nets yesterday, in which the 76ers possessed a substantial lead at halftime. That is significant because .599 or worse home underdogs entering off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half are 58-110-1 ATS (34.5%) since 1989. Portland arrives rested, whereas the 76ers played 24 hours earlier. Rested NBA road favorites from Game 28 forward are 457-351-11 ATS (56.6%) versus unrested opposition since 1989. Finally, NBA road favorites of more than 3 points are 393-315-15 ATS (55.5%) from Game 28 forward when they are averaging fewer points per game than the league average. Lay the number with the Portland Trail Blazers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, March 15. **Don’t miss Jeff’s HUGE 5% NCAA Basketball Steam Play on Sunday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 59-26 (69.4%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in Win % and Units Won over the L/30 days!**

THE PLAY: Montreal Canadiens -145

Anaheim arrives in Montreal off a 2-0 loss at Ottawa yesterday and is playing its fourth consecutive road affair. Those scheduling dynamics are significant for two reasons. First, since 2011, NHL favorites of less than -200 are 1583-983 (61.7%; +4% ROI) versus unrested opponents, including 537-302 (64%; +8.1% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. This situation improves to 699-383 (64.6%; +9.1% ROI) since 2007, in games with totals of six goals or more, including 530-275 (65.8%; +11.7% ROI) since the beginning of the 2018-19 season. Second, NHL underdogs coming off three consecutive road games are 1176-1803 (39.5%; -5.6% ROI) since 2008, including 795-1260 (38.7%; -5.7% ROI) when they are playing away from home. The latter situation has been 277-486 (36.3%; -8.4% ROI) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Finally, non-conference home favorites of -150 or less are 423-303 (58.3%; +4.1% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Take the Montreal Canadiens as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, March 15. **Don’t miss Jeff’s HUGE 5% NCAA Basketball Steam Play on Sunday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 59-26 (69.4%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in Win % and Units Won over the L/30 days!**