Oskeim Sports

THE PLAY: Tulsa -9.0 (-110)

Tulsa possesses an explosive attack, ranking 35th in the nation in points per game (86.0), 34th in field goal percentage (48.4%), and 12th in three-point field goal percentage (39.0%). The Golden Hurricane should improve those metrics against a woefully inadequate East Carolina defense ranked 204th in points per game allowed (76.5), 198th in field goal percentage allowed (44.5%), and 241st in three-point field goal percentage allowed (34.6). Tulsa arrives in North Carolina off a 90-56 win over Tulane as 5.5-point favorites, in which the Golden Hurricane shot 14-of-32 (44%) from beyond the arc. That offensive output is significant because college basketball teams with two or more days of rest are 151-81-3 ATS (65.1%) following a game in which they made 12 or more three-pointers, provided one additional parameter is satisfied. Tulsa’s margin of victory over the Green Wave is also relevant because college basketball teams off a road game in which they covered the spread by more than sixteen points are 134-91-3 ATS (59.6%) in March affairs, including 77-50 ATS (60.6%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Lay the points with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 5. **Don't miss Jeff's ULTRA-RARE 5% College Basketball Total of the Week on Thursday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 28-12 (70%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in both Win Percentage and Units Won!**

THE PLAY: Texas Southern -4.0 (103)

Prairie View A&M finished the regular season winning four of its last five games, including claiming victories over Jackson State (85-76) and Alcorn State (72-51) to close out the season. The Panthers employ an up-tempo attack that is averaging 74.2 points per 40 minutes, the 7th-fastest pace in the country. However, since 2009, college basketball teams like Texas Southern are 174-120-3 ATS (59.2%) at home against opponents with an average pace greater than 72.8, provided one additional parameter is met. This situation has been 83-51-3 ATS (61.9%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. These up-tempo squads seem to hit a wall when faced with market success. Indeed, college basketball teams coming off two or more consecutive ATS wins are 401-498-17 ATS (44.6%) following games with a pace exceeding 68.0, provided they are on the road and matched up against an up-tempo opponent. Texas Southern is coming off back-to-back home wins over Alcorn State (92-87) and Jackson State (82-57), which is significant because college basketball teams playing at the same site for two or more consecutive games are 366-296-5 ATS (55.3%), provided they are not on an extended ATS winning streak. This situation has been 199-143-1 ATS (58.2%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, covering the spread by an average margin of +2.0 points per game. Take Texas Southern as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 5. **Don't miss Jeff's ULTRA-RARE 5% College Basketball Total of the Week on Thursday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 28-12 (70%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in both Win Percentage and Units Won!**

THE PLAY: Iowa +9.0 (-110)

Michigan arrives in Iowa off an impressive 84-70 road win over Illinois as 1.5-point favorites, which is significant because ranked college basketball road teams coming off an ATS win are 957-1374-27 ATS (41.1%) since 2003, including 327-492-6 ATS (39.9%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of -3.1 points per game. Michigan was ranked No. 3 in the nation when they traveled to Illinois, and college basketball teams coming off a game in which they were ranked in the Top 3 are 193-240-11 ATS (44.6%) versus opponents entering off a game as favorites of four or more points. This situation is 93-135-3 ATS (40.8%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Iowa returned home from a disappointing 71-69 loss to Penn State as 9.5-point favorites, thereby triggering the foregoing situation. Finally, Big Ten Conference home teams coming off a road loss like the Hawkeyes are 246-207-2 ATS (54.3%; +3.7% ROI) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Grab the inflated number with the Iowa Hawkeyes as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, March 5. **Don't miss Jeff's ULTRA-RARE 5% College Basketball Total of the Week on Thursday! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 28-12 (70%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper at WagerTalk in both Win Percentage and Units Won!**