Napoli vs Inter Milan Predictions and Odds Feb 12
Napoli vs Inter Milan Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan offers his Napoli vs Inter Milan Serie A betting preview for Saturday, February 12. Inter won the first meeting between these two Italian giants back in November, and has one-point cushion at the top of the Serie A table with a game in-hand over the home side heading into this one.
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| Saturday, February 12 | Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Napoli: | +175 |
| Inter Milan: | +155 |
| Draw: | +245 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 12:00pm ET / 9:00am PT |
Napoli vs Inter Milan Analysis
The Neapolitans come into this game in fine form, winning all four of their previous Serie A matchups including holding three of those four opponents to zero goals as well. And it’s pretty much been that way for Napoli all season.
Napoli currently boast the best defensive record in the league this year, allowing just 0.67 goals per game to opponents on average along with owning the league’s best expected goals against rating as well at just 0.70 xGA per game.
Inter’s Goal Blitz
Contrary to Luciano Spalleti’s more measured approach over at Napoli, Simone Inzaghi and Inter have simply overwhelmed opponents this season, blasting home 54 goals in just 23 starts, equating to an impressive 2.35 goals per game.
This is matched by their expected goal data as well as the ‘Nerazzurri’ have put up over a staggering 10 xG more this season than 2nd placed AC Milan have managed.
With Inter being fast starters this season as well, with four of their last six Serie A road openers arriving in the first 15 minutes of play, we could see goals early here on Saturday.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Prediction
This looks set to be an incredibly close contest between two of the best teams in the league on Saturday.
While effectively we have a ‘big three’ on paper right now over in Italy, with everyone else just a half step behind, going by the data there’s simply Napoli and Inter out front by themselves as AC Milan are vastly outperforming the metrics for a second straight season as they currently rank just 5th overall this season on expected points and 6th on expected goals against, and we expect them to tail off more and more as the season winds to a close.
Inter had a great win in midweek against Roma over in the Coppa Italia, but have won just one of their last three matchups overall in Serie A prior to that.
Napoli meanwhile have been the hottest team in the league over the last month, but face an Inter side on Saturday who they’ve failed to beat over their last five competitive H2H’s in both league and cup.
With so much on the line in this one regarding the title race, we expect an extremely hard fought encounter this weekend between these two and we’re backing the outright Draw at +245 to get to the window on Saturday between Napoli and Inter over in Serie A.
Interested in placing a bet on Saturday’s Napoli vs Inter Milan showdown in Serie A? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Kelly Stewart, Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman share some of their favorite soccer betting tips.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features odds from a variety of domestic and offshore sports books. Track the moneylines and totals for all of this weekend’s international soccer matches, including this Napoli vs Inter Milan clash in Serie A, from your desktop or phone.
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