Lyon vs Lille Expert Prediction and Picks | French Cup Feb 8
Lyon vs Lille Betting Preview
Lyon and Lille are two of 16 teams still alive in the French Cup. Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaks down this Lyon vs Lille match before start time at 12:15pm ET from Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu, France.
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Lyon vs Lille United Betting Odds
| Wednesday, February 8 | French Cup Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Lyon: | +120 |
| Lille: | +225 |
| Draw: | +250 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 12:15pm ET / 9:15am PT |
Lille Heads in Slightly Better
I’ll grab the head start on the team that has performed better this season and has the significantly better series history.
These teams are closely matched with Lille actually having the slight statistical edge across the board. They average more shots per match and more shots on target while allowing fewer total shots and shots on target.
Lille actually lead the league in volume this season ranking #1 in both total shots for and shots allowed, ahead of PSG in both categories. They have generated the 2nd most xG per match while allowing the 5th fewest xGA according to Opta.
Lyon Terrible Against The Spread
On the road they have been even better allowing the 2nd fewest xGA with the 2nd best xG differential per match, of course only trailing PSG. Comparatively, Lyon only average the 6th most xG at home and allow the 5th most xGA.
Both teams have been underperforming this season in terms of actual results compared to xP, but Lyon have won just nine matches thru 22 league games this season and thus are just 7-14-1 ATS, the worst mark in the entire league.
Lille haven’t been great against the spread either at just 10-12, but they are often favored and have settled for too many draws this year.
However, that is fine for us as it cashes this ticket. Lille have just six losses in Ligue 1 and would be 16-6 taking them Double Chance.
Lyon vs Lille Expert Prediction
Finally, we have the absolute dominance from Lille in the head-to-head series. Lyon actually won their Ligue 1 meeting back in October, 1-0 at home, but that has been the anomaly in this series.
That win snapped a run of 12 straight matches without a win vs Lille and going back even further, Lyon have beaten Lille only three times in the last 22 meetings.
Prediction: Lille Double Chance -130 (Same as +0.5 Asian Handicap)
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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First time at WagerTalk? Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code NEWS1 when checking out! Click here to select your picks and then apply the best bargain of 2023 with coupon code NEWS1.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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