Lazio vs AC Milan Predictions and Picks | Serie A Jan 24
Lazio vs AC Milan Betting Preview
AC Milan and Lazio sit 2nd and 6th respectfully in the Serie A standings heading into their match. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his betting preview on this Lazio vs AC Milan Match from Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy.
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Lazio vs AC Milan Betting Odds
| Tuesday, January 24 | Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Lazio: | +200 |
| AC Milan: | +135 |
| Draw: | +240 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 2:45pm ET / 11:45am PT |
Lazio vs AC Milan Betting Analysis
Back-to-back draws now for AC Milan over recent games have seen the grasp on their title slip ever further away as Napoli now own a full 12-point lead at the top of the table, with a game extra played over Milan.
Lazio, who come off a solid road win over Sassuolo last time out, will be looking to take advantage of Milan’s cold streak in this one as they look to make the push into the European spots themselves.
AC Milan have won two of the last three fixtures in this venue against Lazio, but generally speaking, this series has tended to be tight, with half of all of their games here finishing in outright draws since 2017.
AC Milan Badly Need A Change In Fortune
It’s been a four-game winless run now for the Serie A champions heading into Tuesday night’s clash against Lazio as the Rossoneri got handed a lopsided 3-0 defeat against arch-rivals Inter on Wednesday over in the Super Cup.
However, it hasn’t been for the lack of trying for Milan this year as no team in Serie A has amassed more shots on goal and more counter-attacking goals than the Rossoneri have on the road this season.
A Tale Of Two Halves For Lazio
It’s been a tale of two halves for the Biancocelesti this season, as Lazio currently rank #1 in the league in opponent first-half defensive data this year, with 83% of all of their first halves featuring a Lazio shutout.
However, after the break, it’s been a much different story for Lazio, with at least two goals being scored in 50% of their second halves and with their own clean sheet percentage dropping down to just 61%.
Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Lazio’s top scorer, Ciro Immobile, will be out for this game and that puts a huge dent in Lazio’s attack ahead of this one.
Our numbers make AC Milan exactly a half-goal favorite here on Tuesday and they should have enough to squeeze out a narrow win in this one given their quality.
However, it should be a competitive matchup also, so instead of taking the Milan simply to win play, we’re going to pivot and target some bigger odds with the Winning Margin – AC Milan to Win by 1 Goal prop at +260 on Tuesday.
Take the Winning Margin – AC Milan to Win by 1 Goal prop at +260 on Tuesday against Lazio over in Italian Serie A.
Prediction: Winning Margin – AC Milan to Win by 1 Goal (+260)
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About The Author
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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