Free Sports Predictions APR 19: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take Sacramento (#557)
How much is the Pelicans homecourt edge worth right now? If you’re giving them more than an ‘0’, you’re probably giving them too much! In the last month, the Pelicans have lost by 21 to the Cavs (-5.5), by 7 to the Thunder (pk), by 12 to Boston (+6), by 13 to Phoenix (-1.5), by nine to Orlando (-4.5), and by 2 to San Antonio (-11.5). Those losses all came BEFORE they lost to the Lakers last Sunday forcing New Orleans into the play-in games, and the loss to the Lakers on Tuesday, forcing them into this ‘Win or Go Home’ game tonight. They’re riding a six-game home losing streak into Friday and they’re playing without their superstar, Zion Williamson – this isn’t a confident team on this floor right now, or a particularly good one. And, after going 0-5 SU and ATS in five previous meetings with New Orleans this season, THIS is the game that Sacramento is primed to win – the most important one of the bunch. In the regular season, I consistently support teams playing without their star players, expecting letdowns from their opponents. In the postseason? Not so much. Take the Kings.
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58-28 All Sports: Friday All Access!
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Go for the 3-0 Sweep with Teddy’s All Access Pass on Friday Night! Teddy has flat out delivered the goods for himself & his clients, riding a 58-28 (67%) All Sports Run, an 18-9 (67%) NBA Run (60% in the Playoffs L2 years), and a 22-9 (71%) MLB Hot Streak. Get his complete report: Bulls – Heat in the NBA and a pair of rock s ...
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Teddy Covers NBA picked up +22.57 units for clients this season, and over in the NHL, Prez profited +20.54 on the ice, as the duo combined sit at +43.11 units as we head into the playoffs.HOT NBA: Teddy is on a 17-8 (68%) run, and 97-66 (59.5%) since NovemberHOT NHL: 5-0 and 12-2 NHL RunTo purchase Teddy's NBA would cost $225, and to lock in Prez o ...
58-28 (67%) Run! Heat - Bulls $$: $25.00
Teddy continues to sizzle; 58-28 (67%) across sports over the last five weeks; 213-149 (59%) over the last five months. His NBA continues to lead the way, riding an 18-9 (67%) Run into Friday; 295-211 (58%) +212 Units of Profit since 2022. Let Teddy deliver the goods for YOU and YOUR bankroll on Friday Night with his Heat – Bulls Best ...
Adam Trigger
Baseball
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I think the odds here were based on Quinn Priester pitching for Indianapolis but he’s been called up to pitch for the Pirates tonight
AK pointed out all of the pitching Indianapolis has used past 2 days and Indy has won all 3 in this series so far so either it’s going to be someone from AA getting a call here or a bullpen day with their back end guys
Simeon Woods-Richardson pitched great for the Twins over the weekend when he was the call up for the double header. I think he can build on that performance here.
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5% MLB MAX BET | 2-0 (100%) IN 2024!: $35.00
*****GOING FOR A PERFECT 3-0 ON MLB 5% IN 2024!*****Adam won on the bases on Wednesday going 2-1, he's ahead overall in the MLB this season and puts his PERFECT 2-0 5% MLB record on the line with another 5% MLB MAX BET on Friday Night!Adam has CASHED BOTH of his 5% MLB selections so far this season and looks to make it a PERFECT 3-0 on Friday!
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Andy Lang
NBA Basketball
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Coby White OVER 30.5 PRA
-I thought it said a lot that against Atlanta in the biggest game of the year, he played 43 minutes, had 21 shot attempts, 42 points, 9 rebounds and 6 assists.
-Caruso is a bit banged up, and probably is not going to be a big contributor on offense.
-Miami is starting Tyler Herro and Patty Mills in the backcourt…not scarring me on defense.
-Bulls have limited scoring options, White should get enough volume to get over this total.
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7-2 MMA Run...PFL BEST BETS!!!: $25.00
+13.2 Units MMA in April, 7-2 Run +70 Units 2024 All Sports!!! PFL should be a great source of profits with no UFC this week, and Lang is ready to rock with his PFL pack which will include all best bets for the card. Grab the pack now and enjoy the PFL profits!!!
NBA Lazy Line Of The Week...17-3 Run: $3.00
#1 L7 Days, 17-3 All Sports… 59% NBA Winners 2024!!! Lang has his Lazy Line locked and ready to go as the books have missed the mark this one. Lang has brought in over +70 units in 2024, and he is looking to bring in more with this play. Grab it now, and enjoy the Lazy Line profits!!!
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
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22-3 88% ANGLES! MLB UNDERDOG $$$$$: $25.00
Another EASY MLB winner last night on the Arz/SFG Under 8 (5-0 final). Dwayne is rolling in MLB and he has once again narrowed down an entire MLB slate to what his work shows to be the single strongest play on today's MLB board. This UNDERDOG is backed by a pair of situational angles that combined have gone an amazing 22-3 for 88% winners! Details ...
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Baltimore starter Dean Kremer projects to give up 2.3 runs with a 3.60 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Kansas City’s lineup has hit just .152 (5-33) with a weak .529 OPS against Kremer in his career. The Royals will start Alec Marsh. The righty projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.58 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. With the starting pitching in Baltimore’s favor, look for the Orioles to get a solid road win on Friday night.
Play ORIOLES (-).
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3-For-1 Friday All-Access
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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920 Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia
This is a good hitting park, one of the best in baseball. But we really like to upsides of both these starters. Garrett Crochet has been excellent since making the change to the rotation. His stat cast page is loaded with deep red, which is terrific. His xBA is .173 and his SO to BB ratio is 35.2 to 4.5. He did give up some runs his last time out, but his raw numbers were excellent.
Spencer Turnbull has won six games combined the past 3+ seasons. But when healthy he has shown the ability to be a solid Major League starter. His pitching run value is in the 87th percentile with his braking ball coming in the 95th percentile.
Chicago has one of the weakest hitting clubs in quite some time, and they are still missing two of their best batters. Philly can hit, we all know that. But they haven’t faced many southpaws as good as Crochet.
PLAY FIRST 5 UNDER 4 RUNS
Good to -120
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FRIDAY MLB ALL-INCLUSIVE 4 BEST BETS: $29.00
We passed on the limited card yesterday, but are really excited about the betting value on Friday. We are releasing Four Best Bets, all in this Money Saving Package. All four plays are on the evening card, and feature some true betting bargains. Join us tonight as we pound the books with this MLB 4 Pack!
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Jeff Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(909) Tampa Bay Rays at (910) New York Yankees
Total Over 8.5 (-108) T Alexander (LHP), C Schmidt (RHP) Must Start
My 5% MLB play for Friday is a side and this is the total I like the most. Fading two starters with a WHIP of 2.31 and 1.64.
The Yankees finished last season going 16-6 O/U against a left-handed starter and they have gone over their last two games this season scoring 11 runs.
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE•• Regular season Home/Away records versus winning teams and teams with a win% of 60% & higher in three categories. As a favorite of -3.5+. between the 3’s and as a dog of +3.5 and higher.•• SU, ATS and OU records as a HF and HD by each round.•• Home/Away records by Round and Seed.• ...
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Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Bubba Jenkins -150 v Kai Kamaka +120
Money has been coming in on Jenkins, and I think it will keep coming in on Jenkins, and rightfully so. Bubba is a wrestler, and he’s coming off a loss that he is open about performing badly as he gassed himself out and got finished against Pinedo, who eventually won the season. Kamaka is a striker, and he’s had success in Bellator, but his strength in striking can easily be nullified by the wrestling and grappling of Jenkins. Kamaka is training at Couture gym, and those guys have been losing pretty much every fight in the PFL recently. Jenkins has said he won't make the same mistake he made in the last fight by getting exhausted, and Kamaka doesn't have the pace to tire out Jenkins. On top of that, Kamaka has his wife and baby with him this week in the hotel, and this is a clear Fade The Baby theory fight. Take Jenkins to control Kamaka and do more than enough damage to get the win.
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7-2 MMA Run...PFL BEST BETS!!!: $25.00
+13.2 Units MMA in April, 7-2 Run +70 Units 2024 All Sports!!! PFL should be a great source of profits with no UFC this week, and Lang is ready to rock with his PFL pack which will include all best bets for the card. Grab the pack now and enjoy the PFL profits!!!
NBA Lazy Line Of The Week...17-3 Run: $3.00
#1 L7 Days, 17-3 All Sports… 59% NBA Winners 2024!!! Lang has his Lazy Line locked and ready to go as the books have missed the mark this one. Lang has brought in over +70 units in 2024, and he is looking to bring in more with this play. Grab it now, and enjoy the Lazy Line profits!!!
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Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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LISTED STARTERS
FLAHERTY/ RYAN
The Twins come home playing some terrible baseball but we will look for them to get off to a fast start tonight going up against Jack Flaherty and the Tigers. We have never been much of a fan and Jack has struggled to start the season as his 4.91 ERA would suggest. His last start was against the Twins allowing 3 ER in 6 1 /3 RD innings. The Twins send Joe Ryan to the hill and we will look for Joe to have success early tonight as he also faced these Tigers in his last start. Only 1 ER in that last start against Detroit and he had 12 K's. We will look for more of the same today from Joe. So lets get the job done with the Minnesota Twins for the first 5 as your free play for today in MLB.
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#1 NHL PLAYOFF CAPPER 5% SERIES PLAY: $35.00
BEST NHL PLAYOFF RUN IN WT HISTORY The NHL Playoffs start on Saturday and there are 8 series that will be played. Buster has a 5% RELEASE on one of these series that you will not want to miss. Buster was the #1 NHL Playoff Capper last season HITTING 65% (77-41-10) (+91 units). In this package you will receive ONE 5% NHL SERIES RELEASE. This re ...
MLB BEST BET DOUBLE PLAY 86%: $29.00
Join Don Buster for his MLB BEST BET DOUBLE PLAY 86%. Buster has loaded his two best MLB plays in this package for tonight. Buster is HITTING A SOLID 86% (6-1) with his L/7 MLB BEST BET RELEASES. In this package you will receive TWO 4% MLB BEST BET RELEASES. These releases come with a detailed analysis and statistical information on why Buster made ...
NHL PLAYOFFS & MLB Thru APRIL ONLY $188!
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Don Buster was the #1 NHL Expert last year during the NHL Playoffs, gaining +91.31 units of profit for his clients! The regular season ends Thursday, April 18th, and with the playoffs starting right around the corner on Saturday, April 20th, we have the perfect special for you. Get all of Buster's NHL plays, including any 5% best bets, through the ...
Bryan Power
Spain La Liga
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As you can tell from the odds, anything but a Bilbao win here would be a major shock. Fresh off their Copa del Rey win earlier this month, the home side is still chasing top four in La Liga. Taking all three points on Friday would (temporarily) move Bilbao within a point of fourth place and, again, you have to like their chances against a Granada side that is all but condemned to relegation at this point. The visitors, despite a win over last place Alaves last weekend, are still 11 points adrift of safety.
Home teams have had their way in these Friday La Liga fixtures, winning 20 of 32 (63%) this season. Now that's not good enough to justify laying the massive price on the 3-way line, nor would I recommend doing that to begin with. But I do like Bilbao to win AND keep a clean sheet here, which gives us much better value. Not only has Granada yet to win a single away match this season, they've only avoided defeat twice, leaving them with a La Liga low 2 points on their travels. Furthermore, they've failed to score in 9 of those 15 matches.
I know that Bilbao has conceded in each of its last three matches, including the Copa del Rey win over Mallorca (which went to penalties). But they've been very good when at home and facing teams in the bottom half of the table. In fact, the win to nil prop has cashed for them in six of seven such fixtures. So I am taking the home side to win AND keep a clean sheet in this one.
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BOTH FRIDAY NBA PLAY-INS + 3 MLB!: $29.00
5 WINNERS FOR JUST $29! It was obviously an EXTREMELY disappointing loss for Bryan Power with the Pelicans Tuesday, his 1st ever 5% NBA loss at WT. But he's still hitting 67% IN THE NBA THIS MONTH and looks to BOUNCE BACK Friday with the winners of BOTH Play-In Games! Plus BP is looking to “break out the broom” on the diamond with THR ...
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Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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MLB #2
***FREE PLAY***
2% KC First 5 ML (+115) action/listed – Marsh
We were somewhat surprised that the model projects KC to lead after 5. After 1000 simulations, the most common score was 3-2 with and actual average of 2.7 to 2.1. Rarely do we have a dog with this much of a run expectation advantage.
Marsh (KC) has already seen this lineup in BAL to start his season: 7 IP, 24 batters faced, 2 hits, and only 1 run. His ERA is about league average but his FIP (3.32) is well below, indicating the ERA should come down. BAL typically sends between 5-7 lefties out vs RHP which is actually a good thing for Marsh; he is a reverse splits pitcher who fares better vs Lefties and is holding them to a .184 BA with a low .265 SLG.
We are not a huge believer in Kremer and neither is the model. He had a very nice last couple of years, but the numbers thus far, look a lot like the numbers he had in his first two years in the bigs. His xERA is 6.4 just like the 2021 Kremer. KC is not exactly a powerhouse vs RHP, but they are slightly above league average with 109 wRC+. At home, KC posts a 124 wRC+ with the 8th-best BA and 4th-best slugging.
Good to -110
bookmaker
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MLB ALL ACCESS (6+ WAGERS)
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5 straight profitable MLB days. All-access breaks down to only $4.15 per play. We have 6 wagers loaded in and more coming this afternoon. So far we have two dogs and minimal juice on the others.
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Ralph Michaels
NBA Basketball
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(559) Chicago Bulls at (560) Miami Heat
Miami Heat -1.5 (-112)
Ralph passed in the NBA for Friday but of the two games tonight this is hot top opinion. While the Butler loss is huge, teams often can rally the first game after missing their star. Chicago looked very good in the 131-116 win at home vs Indiana but shooting 57% at home vs the Hawks D is something that will not happen on the road vs the Heat.
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7-0 MLB RUN...#8 TODAY!: $25.00
GOING FOR AN EIGHTH STRAIGHT MLB WINNER!•• Ralph is off to a great start to the MLB season with 62% winning MLB days since the season started. Ralph has cashed 7 straight MLB winners and has a 4% Best Bet for Friday!REMEMBER - You can get 10 days for the price of 7 with the WagerTalk site-wide special.
THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE•• Regular season Home/Away records versus winning teams and teams with a win% of 60% & higher in three categories. As a favorite of -3.5+. between the 3’s and as a dog of +3.5 and higher.•• SU, ATS and OU records as a HF and HD by each round.•• Home/Away records by Round and Seed.• ...
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Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(909) Tampa Bay Rays at (910) New York Yankees
New York Yankees -153 T Alexander (LHP), C Schmidt (RHP) Must Start
Ralph used one MLB play for Friday and this play was next in line. While Schmidt has had a shaky start to the season it is far better than Alexander with his 8.31 ERA and 2.31 WHIP. Rays bullpen as bad as any to start this season with a 6.00 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.
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GOING FOR AN EIGHTH STRAIGHT MLB WINNER!•• Ralph is off to a great start to the MLB season with 62% winning MLB days since the season started. Ralph has cashed 7 straight MLB winners and has a 4% Best Bet for Friday!REMEMBER - You can get 10 days for the price of 7 with the WagerTalk site-wide special.
THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE•• Regular season Home/Away records versus winning teams and teams with a win% of 60% & higher in three categories. As a favorite of -3.5+. between the 3’s and as a dog of +3.5 and higher.•• SU, ATS and OU records as a HF and HD by each round.•• Home/Away records by Round and Seed.• ...
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Pavlos Laguretos
German Bundesliga
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Koln vs Darmstadt
Bundesliga, Saturday, 9:30am ET
Play: Over 4.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: +115
Line Parameter: Playable to +100
Koln's matches against fellow relegation candidates always produce a lot of cards, as these teams are fighting to the death in order to avoid relegation. Koln are getting an average of 2.3 cards/match, and Darmstadt are taking an average of 2.7 cards/match.
Koln are 7-3 to the Over 4.5 cards against other card-friendly teams from the bottom half of the Bundesliga table, and they are 4-1 to the Over 4.5 Cards in home matches alone. Darmstadt are 6-4 to the Over 4.5 Cards against the same teams, but 3-1 to the Over 4.5 cards on the road.
Referee Dr Matthias Jollenbeck has an average of 4.5 cards/match in 18 matches in all competitions this season, and an average of 5.2 cards/match in 11 Bundesliga matches.
I think there is a very good chance we see cards in this relegation battle, and the line is set at 4.5 which is not that high.
Take 1u on the Over 4.5 Cards (+115)
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Playoffs to Preseason for UNDER $5.05 Per Day!
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Pavlos Summer Soccer Sweeper!
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Last summer, Pavlos achieved a staggering profit of +142.5 units from May to August by expertly navigating the MLS, Leagues Cup, and Copa Libertadores. As we approach a thrilling summer in 2024, the stakes are even higher! With the EUROs and Copa America joining the lineup in June and July, a heavy summer soccer schedule means non-stop dail ...
The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Mookie Betts is 10-for-29 with seven extra-base hits and two walks against Manaea in his career. So that's a great place to start when it comes to Betts getting on base. When it comes to the run scoring opportunities, his teammates have enjoyed quite a bit of success as well. The Dodgers' current roster is hitting .297 in 141 plate appearances against Manaea with a .380 weighted on-base average. We're more interested in attacking the R+H+RBI prop instead of total bases because Manaea has been prone to walks. In his first 14.2 innings pitched this season, Manaea has issued seven walks. If Betts draws a walk or two, we can still benefit with a run scored. Walks won't help you in the total bases category. Betts has cleared this R+H+RBI mark in six of his last nine games.
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Mark Zinno
Major League Baseball
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The Brewers face the Cardinals in St. Louis. Milwaukee is one of the best lineups in baseball. They are 2nd in batting average and OPS and 4th in wRC+. They are top 10 in runs, home runs and RBIs. They are facing Kyle Gibson who owns a 6.16 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Now Gibson has gone at least six innings in all three starts this year, so he will eat innings, but he's also given up five home runs on the season. Freddy Peralta starting for the Brewers is driving the total for this game down and we can take advantage of a lower team total. This is juicy, so minimize your risk with a smaller percentage.
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Pavlos Laguretos
English Premier League
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Sheffield United vs Burnley
EPL, Saturday, 10am ET
Play: Over 2.75 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -125
Line Parameter: Playable to -135
The two worst teams in the EPL will lock horns on Saturday, when Sheffield United (#19) will play host to Burnley (#20), with the two teams sitting 6 and 10 points below the relegation zone respectively. They are both running out of time, and probably just Sheffield United have realistic chances to avoid relegation. Looking for goals here, as these two have terrible defenses but they got some quality up front and there is no way either of these two settles with a Draw, they will both go for all 3 points, which will most likely result in goals.
Sheffield United are 22-10 to the Over 2.5 Goals with an average of 3.6 goals/match, and at home they are 13-3 to the Over 2.5 Goals with an average of 4 goals/match. Currently on a 12-2 run to the Over 2.5 Goals and 8-0 at home.
Burnley are 19-14 to the Over 2.5 Goals with an average of 3.1 goals/match, and on the road they are 10-6 to the Over 2.5 Goals with an average of 2.9 goals/match. Coming off 3 consecutive Unders, but prior to that they were on an 8-1 run to the Over 2.5 Goals.
Burnley destroyed Sheffield by a massive 5-0 at home in the reverse fixture, but last season Sheffield United blasted Burnley by 5-2 in this venue. With both teams looking for nothing other than a win in this "6-pointer", we are taking the Over 2.75 Goals.
Take 1u on the Over 2.75 Goals -125
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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The Houston Astros are just (6-14) for the season and have been one of the biggest money burners across MLB, down just under (-10 units) already on the season. Justin Verlander makes his season debut, likely part of the reason for the expensive road favorite price. Although, the veteran righty made two starts in the minor leagues and got rocked in each, giving up 14 runs over just 7 innings. Averaging giving up two hits per inning facing AA and AAA lineups.
The Nationals are playing some of their best baseball in a long time. Straight off of winning two of three against the mighty Dodgers, notable (+200 and +300) underdog tickets cashed this past week, making the case this squad is being underpriced in the betting markets. We are listing Washington starter MacKenzie Gore who has been great, pitching to the tune of a sub 3 ERA through his first three starts. Also, off of an impressive 11/1 strikeout to walk performance last time out. Teeing us up for the home dog barking in our nations capitol Friday night. Bet Nationals (+150).
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Marco D'Angelo
NBA Basketball
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The Knee Jerk reaction here is to the grab the Kings as they looked like World Beaters in their Blowout of the Warriors while New Orleans is without Zion. As impressive as Sacramento’s win was let’s remember Golden State is not as good as we want to believe they were. Golden State was a flawed team that had Steph Curry and not much else. Defensively they were horrible. The Kings hit (18) 3 pointers 18/39 that’s 46% and they were better from 3 than from 2. Beating Golden State was huge for the Kings as it was Golden State that knocked them out of the Playoffs last year in a grueling 7 game series. Now I’m not going to say that the Kings will be flat as this is a playoff game but I will say they may just feel a little too comfortable coming off the blowout win and feeling they caught a break facing New Orleans without Zion. One last thing about the New Orleans loss to the Lakers. When the Lakers have all hands on deck they are better than a play in team they are a legit Playoff Team and the Lakers got just about every close call in the win over New Orleans. The Lakers went to the Foul Line 29 times while New Orleans went just 15 times. That 15 pt differential at the line was the difference in the game. Now we have the Injured Player Theory and an Over adjustment in the Line giving us value on the New Orleans side.
TAKE NEW ORLEANS +1.5
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Jeff Michaels
Major League Baseball
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Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) o1.5 HRR (-145) — v. Marsh (KC) —
Mountcastle has been as hot as any hitter on a dynamic unit that is the Baltimore Orioles. He has gone over this number in 7 of the L8 games, including 4 straight on the road. He has also gone over in 3 straight following a day of rest and 4 of the L5!
He is up against Alec Marsh (KC), who he has already seen once TY. He did go 0-3 w/ 1 K, but that was the first time in his career he had seen Marsh. Despite getting Mountcastle out 3 times in 3 ABs, Marsh is allowing RHH to hit .400 TY. What is even more astounding about that is the fact that out of 68 batters he has faced, only 15 ABs have been against RHH. When you take out Mountcastle’s 3 ABs, RHH are hitting .500 off of Marsh this season.
He started slow, but has definitely turned things on in the weeks following their first meeting. I think Mountcastle gets the best of Marsh this time and potentially takes care of this prop early.
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE•• Regular season Home/Away records versus winning teams and teams with a win% of 60% & higher in three categories. As a favorite of -3.5+. between the 3’s and as a dog of +3.5 and higher.•• SU, ATS and OU records as a HF and HD by each round.•• Home/Away records by Round and Seed.• ...
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Kevin Dolan
English Premier League
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For a full breakdown and analysis of this pick, check out this week's EPL article over at Wagertalk News (tab at the top of the site).
PLAY: UNDER 2.5 (-105)
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83.3% IN THE EPL SINCE MARCH! English Premier League action this weekend and the Irishman has his STRONGEST bet of the card LOCKED & LOADED for this Saturday in a high value spot that he expects to CASH! Join Kevin on Saturday as he looks to stay RED-HOT in the EPL with another COLOSSAL winner this weekend!Pick up a 7 Day All-Access Pass a ...
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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Neither starter is in very good current form. Kremer gave up 10 hits in just four innings in his last start. For the third time in his past four, he surrendered two home runs. He's got a 4.96 ERA on the season. Marsh allowed four runs in five innings in his last outing. He's got a 5.78 ERA and 1.927 WHIP at home. With both lineups having already seen the starters earlier this month, this should be a relatively high-scoring affair.
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Ben Burns
NBA Basketball
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The Lakers did a good job to get here and are playing well. However, winning at Denver is an entirely different matter than winning at New Orleans. The Nuggets swept the Lakers in the regular season. Every victory came by at least eight points. The Nuggets also swept LA in the playoffs last season. The Lakers are only 8-18-1 ATS their last 27, after winning their previous three games. I expect their struggles against the Nuggets to continue in Game 1. *good at -7 or better
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**5% MAX** NBA SUPER PLAY: #1 IN '24: $35.00
#1 B-BALL CAPPER ALL-TIME | #1 MAX RECORD 2024 | +227 UNITS L2 YEARS| 38-17 IN 2024 | 100% IN APRIL Ben Burns closed out another banner NBA season with a 39-PT BLOWOUT WINNER. His NBA sides are 38-17 for the year and now comes one of the BIGGEST OF THE BUNCH. WagerTalk's #1 Basketball Capper of All-Time is up +227 units since last season alone ...
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Rob Veno
NBA Basketball
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Series: (661) PACERS at (662) BUCKS (Series Analysis Below)
Play Rating: FREE
Play Type: Series Winner Selection
Play: SERIES PACERS -105
Date/Time: Apr 21, 2024 7:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus
3% Indiana vs. Milwaukee (Series Selection)
Bandwagon is filling up fast but see plenty of reasons to be on board. Indiana dominated season series against Milwaukee and had victories early on when Bucks were highly motivated. Current state of each side has evolved to point where Pacers appear to be more trustworthy squad especially now that Giannis’ injury could extend beyond start of the series. Neither team attracted to playing defense so in shootout style matchup…like high octane Indy’s chances. Pacers scored 122+ in all five meetings and averaged 128.8 ppg. Bucks went 1-4 in the season series with Giannis accounting for 211 points (42.2 average) in the five games (had 54 & 64 in two of them). That production is basically impossible to duplicate and I was the best matchup Milwaukee had against Indiana. Mid-season acquisition of PF Pascal Siakim dome specifically for this time of season where he has plenty of positive experience. Not sure Milwaukee can come up enough consistent defense, scoring or rebounding in order to outscore this particular team. Home floor advantage resulted in 1-1 stalemate so Pacers know they can win here. Cheap price with team that’s in better shape right now.
Play: SERIES PACERS -105 (+100 available in some spots so shop for best line)
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Rob Veno
NBA Basketball
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Series: (657) SUNS at (658) TIMBERWOLVES (Game Analysis Below)
Play Rating: 3%
Play Type: Series
Play: SERIES TIMBERWOLVES +105
Date/Time: Apr 22, 2024 8:10 PM / Line Provider: Consensus
3% Phoenix vs. Minnesota (Series Selection)
Supporting the Minnesota side at what is an attractive series price. Timberwolves home floor advantage, interior size edge, physical defensive style all qualify as favorable components in this matchup. Not sold on narrative that Timberwolves lack playoff experience especially when they’re anchored by playoff veterans at PG Mike Conley Jr. & C Rudy Gobert plus rotation PF Kyle Anderson who’s played in 51 post season games. Phoenix star power certainly a difficult out but T-Wolves capable of same firepower considering in games when Conley Jr. / Anthony Edwards / Karl Anthony-Towns & Gobert are on the floor together the team averages 120.6 points per 100 possessions. That number would’ve ranked #3 in the NBA over the course of 82 games. With KAT now back for a few games the early season continuity is again in place. Suns 3-0 mark vs Minnesota this season accomplished in part by holding Edwards to just 14.3 ppg (lowest vs any Western Conference team) and the Wolves to just 102.7 ppg. Phoenix also held all other Timberwolves to a combined 29.6% from three point range. Important that the T-Wolves improve all three of those numbers in this series. In the end choice is can Phoenix shoot well enough to win 4 times or will Minnesota’s size and physical-defensive style grind them down as the series goes on. Prefer the latter and the underdog price sweetens the incentive.
SERIES TIMBERWOLVES +105
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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3% Take Dallas to WIN the SERIES (#665)
There’s no comparison between these two teams in recent weeks. LA has an injured superstar in Kawhi Leonard, who’s been sitting on the sidelines in streetclothes since the calendar turned to April. He’s expected to play here, but we all know that when a high usage star returns to the lineup, teams often look out of sync on both ends of the court for extended stretches in his first game back. James Harden looks ancient of late. He shot 40% from the floor in March and 32% so far in April. That’s a duo who needs to be elite for LA to survive and advance in this series; right now, I’m not convinced either one is capable of performing at that level. And let’s be real – unless the Clips have a hidden ‘switch’ to flip, we can only expect what we’ve seen for the last three months – a largely mediocre basketball team.
Real quietly, waaaaay under the radar, the Dallas Mavericks defensive efficiency was #1 in the NBA over their last 15 games. Unlike the Clippers superstars, the Mavs star duo of Luke and Kyrie are both fully healthy. And unlike LA, Dallas has been clicking on all cylinders since the trading deadline, when the acquisition of PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford (and Dante Exum’s return from injury) completely transformed their potential trajectory; a team with nothing but upside moving forward here in the postseason. Take the Mavericks to win the Series
Line Parameter (prior to Game 1): 3% at -140 or lower, 2% at -141 or higher
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Teddy Covers NBA picked up +22.57 units for clients this season, and over in the NHL, Prez profited +20.54 on the ice, as the duo combined sit at +43.11 units as we head into the playoffs.HOT NBA: Teddy is on a 17-8 (68%) run, and 97-66 (59.5%) since NovemberHOT NHL: 5-0 and 12-2 NHL RunTo purchase Teddy's NBA would cost $225, and to lock in Prez o ...
58-28 (67%) Run! Heat - Bulls $$: $25.00
Teddy continues to sizzle; 58-28 (67%) across sports over the last five weeks; 213-149 (59%) over the last five months. His NBA continues to lead the way, riding an 18-9 (67%) Run into Friday; 295-211 (58%) +212 Units of Profit since 2022. Let Teddy deliver the goods for YOU and YOUR bankroll on Friday Night with his Heat – Bulls Best ...
