Expert Premier League Expert Picks And Predictions For January 3-4

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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into January 3-4 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Tottenham vs Sunderland, Everton vs Brentford and more.

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | January 3 | 7:30 AM ET

Aston Villa -125 | Nottingham Forest +340 | Draw +270

The two hottest teams in the Premier League across the last two months finally saw their runs come to a crunching halt in midweek as hard-charging Manchester City were held to a surprising 0-0 draw against Sunderland over at the Stadium of Light, while the even more in-form Aston Villa were completely undressed by a sublime second-half performance from front-runners Arsenal down in North London.

The Gunners put four goals past Villa inside just 30 minutes of Tuesday’s second-half and it will be interesting to see what changes Unai Emery makes ahead of Saturday’s early visit by Forest, especially with the kind of room Trosssard was given to operate in that Arsenal game.

Nottingham Forest meanwhile slid even further down the table with a disappointing 2-0 loss at home against Everton, their third successive loss in the Premier League, and one manager Sean Dyche can ill afford with only five points (given Forest’s better overall goal difference currently) between themselves and the rest of the relegation trio, namely West Ham, Burnley and Wolves, who reside immediately beneath them.

Given all of Nottingham Forest’s current struggles, plus the fact Aston Villa have won ten straight games at home coming into this one, this looks like a great bounceback spot for the Villains on Saturday, and we’re happy to back them to get the outright win.

Premier League Predictions: Aston Villa ML (-125)

Tottenham vs Sunderland | January 4 | 10:00 AM ET

Tottenham -120 | Sunderland +350 | Draw +250

The Black Cats of Sunderland are certainly living up to the folklore, enjoying some of the best “luck” a team could have right now as they came off another lopsided xG performance against Manchester City in midweek.

Sunderland’s last two games have seen them get heavily outshone in terms of xG generation, with a huge 4.40 to 1.58 combined xG margin deficit across those two matchups, yet it’s doubtful many Black Cat fans are bothered given the fact they took home points in both games.

However, while Sunderland have been outgunned when it comes to creating chances, there’s no denying their resilience at the back, grinding out positive results against very good teams despite arguably their best players being out, with the ongoing African Cup of Nations draining away many Premier League starters.

Tottenham meanwhile have been another team that have been able to churn out positive results in the Premier League of late, beating Crystal Palace in a scrappy 1-0 win last weekend, and then holding Brentford to a 0-0 draw over in West London in midweek also.

Despite both teams’ impressive tenacity in getting results however, both teams’ have struggled offensively of late, with both Spurs and the Black Cats ranking bottom-four in the league in scoring offense since November 1st, as well as bottom-three in offensive xG over that timeframe also.

We don’t envision this game being a five-goal thriller like their 2016 matchup. Instead, we’re far more likely to get a much more subdued affair down in the English capital on Sunday.

Premier League Predictions: Under 2.5 (-135)

Everton vs Brentford | January 4 | 10:00 AM ET

Everton +140 | Brentford +220 | Draw +210

With both teams challenging for European spots currently, Everton were able to leapfrog Brentford in midweek with a 2-0 road win against Nottingham Forest.

Brentford meanwhile were held to a dull 0-0 draw at home against Tottenham, with just one big chance being created the entire game, something Bees fans will hope can be readily improved upon here.

However, Brentford have not been good away from home this season, with no team in the Premier League having a bigger overall dropoff from home to road form on the season so far, and it’s difficult to see how 2026 will be much different.

Twenty-one of Brentford’s twenty-seven points in the league have come inside the Community Stadium, and away from home, they’ve only managed to beat West Ham and Wolves this season, two of the bottom-three teams in the league.

Everton meanwhile have continued to go from strength-to-strength under club legend David Moyes since his return to Liverpool, ranking as the sixth-best team in the league across the last ten matches, with Everton only losing three times at home all season also, once against Tottenham, Newcastle and Arsenal respectively.

Both Newcastle and Arsenal are top-tier sides on their day, and for whatever reason, Tottenham remain the best team this season away from home, so those three losses can be somewhat justified.

However, Brentford really aren’t of that caliber, at least based on their road performances, so we’re backing the Toffees to come out with all three points on Sunday.

Premier League Prediction: Everton -0.25 (+103)

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