Chelsea vs Leeds United Expert Predictions and Picks | Premier League Betting March 4

Chelsea vs Leeds United Betting Preview

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his expert predictions and picks on this Chelsea vs Leeds United Premier League match from Stamford Bridge in London, England. Chelsea hasn’t won a Premier League match in five straight with Leeds United looking to work their way out of relegation winning their last time out.

Get A $1 Premium Expert Picks Package

First time at WagerTalk? Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code NEWS1 when checking out! Click here to select your picks and then apply the best bargain of 2023 with coupon code NEWS1. 

Have you downloaded the new WagerTalk TV app? If not, what are you waiting for?! Watch all of our programming – Puck Time, WagerTalk Today, Bet On It and more – on all streaming platforms. Download today on Apple, Android, Amazon and Roku. 

Betting Odds For Chelsea vs Leeds United

Saturday, March 4	Premier League Betting Notes
Chelsea:	-160
Leeds United:	+450
Draw:	+295
Total:	2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	10:00am ET / 7:00am PT

Chelsea vs Leeds United Betting Analysis

Graham Potter is now the books heavy favorite to go next in the sack race after yet another dismal performance against London rivals Tottenham at the weekend, and club owners Todd Boehly and Behdad Eghbali will be in town to preside over his next two games, and ultimately decide his fate at the club.

Chelsea put up an almost comically bad 0.26 xG in that game against Tottenham at the weekend, just two weeks after Leicester City hung four goals on that same Spurs team, so the water is getting incredibly hot under Graham Potter’s feet right now.

Mauricio Pochettino is the bookies’ favorite to take over at Stamford Bridge should the board decide to get rid of Potter, with legend Zinedine Zidane and former boss Jose Mourinho also in the mix as well.

Leeds meanwhile already made their change at the manager position, bringing in new permanent manager Javi Gracia last week as he got his team off to a flying start with a 1-0 home win over Southampton, before an FA Cup exit against Fulham on Tuesday in his subsequent game.

Leeds won the last fixture 3-0 between these two sides at Elland Road back in August, but Chelsea have traditionally been far more reliable at home in this series, winning all of their previous five meetings against Leeds in this venue, and not having lost at Stamford Bridge since 1999.

Poor Road Form A Concern For Leeds

Leeds own the Premier League’s joint-lowest overall points tally this season away from home, having generated just one win and 0.50 PPG on the road this year.

A major part of those road issues for Leeds has been their inability to shut down opposing offenses, with Leeds averaging the joint-lowest clean sheet percentage away from home this season at just 8%, and the 4th highest goals allowed record also at 1.92 GAPG.

Offensive Woes Continue For Blues

With just one goal scored across the entire month of February, it’s easy to pinpoint exactly why Chelsea have struggled as much as they have, putting up their worst season in the Premier League since 1996 on a points-per-game basis.

Those goals scoring issues for the Blues haven’t just been restricted to February either, with Chelsea netting just six times across all competitions since the start of November.

Chelsea vs Leeds United Expert Prediction

While Chelsea have continued to have ongoing concerns offensively this season, they face a team in Leeds on Saturday that have one of the worst defensive road records in the entire EPL this season.

If Chelsea can’t find the back of the net at home against a defensive side of that caliber, especially with all of their star-studded lineup, there’d really be little point in limping on and allowing Potter to continue to next week’s Dortmund game in the Champions League.

Everyone from Cardiff to Accrington have found the back of the net against this Leeds side at home this season.

However, while Leeds may have struggled to keep opponents out defensively on the road this year, they’ve had no such issues at the other end, ranking top half in the league in both offensive scoring and offensive xG away from home this season.

They have a massive 58% frequency rate in both teams finding the back of the net in their road games this season, the EPL’s 3rd highest percentage overall as well.

Take the Both Teams to Score – Yes prop on Saturday in the EPL matchup between Leeds United and Chelsea.

Prediction: Both Teams To Score – Yes -115

For more free soccer picks, check out WagerTalk’s free picks page.

Sportsbook	Welcome Bonus	States Available	Get Your Bonus
1. PointsBet	$2000 in Risk Free Bets	NJ, IN, IA, IL, CO, MI, VA, NY, KS, LA	Claim Now!
2. Caesars	$1250 Risk Free Bet	NJ, WV, CO, IN, IA, MI, VA, TN, AZ, NY, LA, KS, PA	Claim Now!
3. BetMGM	$1000 Risk Free Bet	NJ, PA, WV, IN, CO, TN, IA, MI, VA, DC, WY, MS, AZ, NY, LA, KS	Claim Now!
4.DraftKings	$1000 Deposit Match	NJ, PA, WV, IN, CO, IL, IA, TN, MI, VA, WY, AZ, NY, LA, KS	Claim Now!
5. FanDuel	$1000 Risk Free Bet	NJ, PA, WV, IN, CO, IA, IL, TN, MI, VA, AZ, NY, LA, ON, KS	Claim Now!
6. BetRivers	$500 in Free Bets	PA, IN, CO, MI, IA, IL, VA, NY, NJ	Click State To Claim
7. Unibet	$250 Risk Free Bet	NJ, PA, IN, IA, VA, AZ	Click State To Claim
8. FoxBet	$50 Risk Free Bet	NJ, PA, CO, MI	Claim Now!

About The Author

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

**************************************************

Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!