Brighton vs Bournemouth Predictions and Picks | Premier League Betting Feb 4

Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Preview

Bournemouth is in serious danger of relegation only netting one point in their last five matches with Brighton sitting in sixth going 3-1-1 in their last five.

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his betting predictions and picks on this Brighton vs Bournemouth match from American Express Community Stadium in Brighton, England.

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Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Odds

Saturday, February 4	Premier League Betting Notes
Brighton:	-300
Bournemouth:	+840
Draw:	+425
Total:	2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	10:00am ET / 7:00am PT

Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Analysis

South coast club Brighton have barely missed a beat since Graham Potter’s departure last September, losing just five of their thirteen games overall since Roberto De Zerbi took charge, and they’ll no doubt look to add yet another win at home here on Saturday also.

Their opponents, Bournemouth, currently sit in the relegation zone right now and manager Gary O’Neil hasn’t endured the greatest honeymoon period with his new team, losing four of their last five games overall, all of which came by multiple goals as well.

Bournemouth have shown they have somewhat had Brighton’s number over recent seasons, winning both their last encounter against them and losing just one of their last six visits to the Amex as well.

Bournemouth Hoping New Faces Make Immediate Impact

Gary O’Neil was busy in the transfer window, bringing in a host of new players in order to try and shore up a defense that ranks last in the league this season on total goals allowed.

Unfortunately for O’Neil, that sub-par defense is compounded by an offense that has netted just one goal over their last 450 minutes of Premier League football.

So a massive turnaround is needed at both ends of the pitch if Bournemouth are going to survive another season in the EPL.

Brighton Remain Fluid In Attack

Only Manchester City and Arsenal have bagged more goals per game this season than Brighton have in what’s been a sensational season so far for the Seagulls, and they remain a major threat to secure European football this year as a result.

On top of all that scoring prowess, Brighton boast a defense that ranks top six in the league this season in defensive xGA and top six in total goals allowed at home this year as well.

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction

This is a high line currently set at -1.5 on Saturday, and one we don’t normally associate with a team such as Brighton.

That said, Brighton have been magnificent this season and there’s no way we could trust a Bournemouth side in this one that seems either incapable of scoring goals or stopping them in front of nets this season, even getting a +1.5 goal handicap headstart.

When we compare the data, Bournemouth’s away form has been absolutely abysmal this season, ranking bottom of the league overall and even 0.35 xGD worse off per game than Everton have been on the road this season, and their struggles have been well-publicized with the recent sacking of Frank Lampard.

Even at the high line, it’s simply Brighton or pass in this one as the Seagulls should have far too much for the Cherries on Saturday.

Prediction: Brighton -1.5 (+100)

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About The Author

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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