Best Premier League Picks for Leeds vs West Ham, Newcastle vs Fulham & More

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WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League picks today heading into Matchday 8. He gives betting previews for key matches including Leeds vs West Ham, Newcastle vs Fulham and more.

What are his Premier League best bets heading into this weekend? Find out below!

Leeds vs West Ham | October 24 | 3:00 PM ET

Leeds -130 | West Ham +340 | Draw +250

West Ham take on Leeds on Friday night over at Elland Road, and it’s arguably almost a must-win game for both teams ahead of this one, considering the current form both teams find themselves in.

Leeds sit just three points off the relegation zone heading into Friday’s fixture after managing to win just one of their last eight games across all competitions.

A team arguably even worse off than them is West Ham, with new manager Nuno Espirito Santo looking to stop a current slide for the Hammers that has seen them lose seven of their last nine games overall, and generate just one win across that timeframe also.

However, while both teams have been struggling on the surface, in terms of data, there has been a noticeable separation between them, with Leeds ranking 8th in expected points this season compared with West Ham’s 19th ranking.

A particular highlight for the Whites this year has been their defense, with Leeds surprisingly owning the 4th best defensive xGA numbers this season, which rises to 3rd at home, despite on the face of it looking a little weak defensively this year.

Take Leeds to get the outright home win on Friday night against West Ham.

Premier League Predictions: Leeds ML (-115)

Newcastle vs Fulham | October 25 | 10:00 AM ET

Newcastle -170 | Fulham +450 | Draw +290

Two defeats from their last three Premier League games have left Newcastle playing catch-up in the league to start the new season, currently down in 14th spot in the table.

The Magpies, however, have at least impressed in Europe, dusting off both Union Saint-Gilloise and Benfica recently by a combined 7-0 scoreline across their last two Champions League matchdays.

That will provide little comfort here, though, as Newcastle need to try and find a way to generate results domestically, something their opponents, Fulham, also need to concentrate on, sitting one place below them in the table.

The good news, however, is that Newcastle’s poor results haven’t quite matched their impressive data this season, with the Magpies sitting 2nd in defensive xGA this season, just behind league-leaders Arsenal.

Newcastle have also allowed the 4th fewest goals from open play situations this season, along with their five clean sheets, putting them joint-1st in the league in that category as well, so the Magpies should be confident of putting in another solid defensive effort this weekend at home.

Fulham, meanwhile, have struggled to generate any kind of momentum recently, especially offensively, with their 23 shots on target tally ranking as the 3rd lowest number in the league currently, as their offense continues to struggle.

We expect this one to come in Under the total on Saturday as a result, and like the value on the Under 2.5 goals at current market prices.

Premier League Predictions: Under 2.5 (-105)

Wolves vs Burnley | October 26 | 10:00 AM ET

Wolves -105 | Burnley +320 | Draw +210

Two of the league’s bottom four clash over in the West Midlands on Sunday as Burnley take on Wolves in a pivotal game down at the foot of the table.

Wolves remain the only winless team on the season so far after losing 2-0 to newly-promoted Sunderland last time out, a result which ruined an otherwise decent three-game unbeaten run for the Molineux side.

Burnley, meanwhile, came off a very good win against Leeds last week, punishing the road side twice, largely against the run of play in a game Leeds were otherwise dominating in.

Both teams have struggled offensively this season, with Burnley’s two goals against Leeds witnessing their only two-goal haul across any of their last six games in all, with the Clarets sitting bottom of the league in terms of shots on target this season also.

Wolves have also struggled to get things going in front of the net this year, ranking joint-bottom of the league in terms of scoring offense this season, and sitting second-from-bottom (with opponents Burnley the only team below them), in offensive xG also.

With this being such a key fixture for both teams on Sunday, we don’t envision a lot of action in this one, and like the Under 2.25 goals to cash between Burnley and Wolves this weekend.

Premier League Prediction: Under 2.25 (-120)

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