Best Touchdown Props NFL Playoffs Divisional Round – Weekly Player Props
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NFL Divisional Round Touchdown Props Prediction: Zach Charbonnet Seattle Seahawks (-110)
Zach Charbonnet has quietly been a touchdown scoring machine in 2025 with scores in three straight games and 63% of his games on the season while Kenneth Walker III has only scored once in his last 7 games and in only 24% of his games on the season.
That includes both of Charbonnet’s head-to-head games against the San Francisco 49ers where he’s combined for 29 carries and 121 rushing yards.
Since Week 12, Charbonnet has taken over the red zone work with 23 carries for 6 scores while Walker III has logged only 9 carries with zero scores and Charbonnet has dominated the usage inside the five-yard line 8-1.
The 49ers rank 31st in the NFL in defensive success rate as they have struggled to make tackles with injuries to key players including Fred Warner and Nick Bosa.
San Francisco has utilized a stacked box on a league low 15.6% of their defensive snaps and Charbonnet has faced 8+ defenders in the box on 35.1% of his runs (3rd most NFL).
The Seahawks have turned to Charbonnet during the most critical part of the season, and he should see a run heavy game script with Seattle being favored by -7 at home where he’s scored in 6/7 games (86%).
NFL Divisional Round Touchdown Props Prediction: Dawson Knox Buffalo Bills (+450)
The Buffalo Bills receiving room has been decimated by injuries and now the injury bug has bit Dalton Kincaid as he’s dealing with knee and calf injuries.
Kincaid doesn’t carry an official injury designation, but he could be limited and Dawson Knox has already seen an uptick in production with 24+ receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games while averaging 36 yards per game during that span of time.
Knox has only four touchdowns on the season but three of those have occurred during his last five games.
The Denver Broncos rank middle of the pack in touchdowns allowed to opposing tight ends (6) but they have allowed the 9th most yards to the position with 59.7 per game.
The Broncos also haven’t faced many tight ends of note, but talented tight ends have found the end zone including Travis Kelce, Brenton Strange, Brock Bowers and Dallas Goedert.
The Denver defense doesn’t have many holes, and Josh Allen may not be as active in the running game due to being banged up physically. Let’s sprinkle Knox as a longshot with a payout that’s better than 4-1.
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