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Bears vs Commanders Predictions, Picks and Best Odds – Week 5 Free NFL Picks

running back prepares for Bears vs Commanders Week 5 matchup

Bears vs Commanders Prediction: The Betting Analysis

The Goldsheet offers their expert betting prediction and picks for Bears vs Commanders Week 5 kicking off on October 5th at 8:15pm ET. What are they looking at from a betting perspective? Get their NFL Week 5 betting analysis now!

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Bears vs Commanders Predictions: Best Betting Odds & Game Info

Thursday, October 5NFL Week 5 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Spread:Chicago Bears +5.5 vs Washington Commanders
Total:44.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
Game Time:8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT
Arena:FedExField in Landover, MD
TV:Prime Video

Bears vs Commanders Pick: The Betting Analysis

The Bears are 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS. The Commanders are 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS. Washington is 8-2 SU and ATS in their L10 meetings with the Bears.

Those games went 6-4 to the over. Chicago is 0-6-1 ATS in their L7 games and 0-10 SU in their L10 games. Washington is 3-7 ATS in their L10 games, and 13 of Washington’s L19 games have gone under the total.

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Prediction and Picks - NFL Picks Week 5

Bears vs Commanders Prediction: Bears Football Preview

For the first three-quarters of their matchup on Sunday, the Bears looked like they would come out victorious.

The Chicago Bears had a 28-14 lead heading into the 4th quarter, but they ended up losing due to a Denver touchdown drive and a fumble return for a touchdown. Chicago outgained Denver 471 to 311, had 26 first downs, went 50% on third down, punted fewer times, and had more sacks than the Broncos.

Unfortunately for the Bears, they turned it over twice, one for six Denver points, and that was the difference between them winning and losing.

Justin Fields played his best game of the season by a mile – he threw for 335 yards on an 80% completion percentage with four touchdown passes and one interception.

The Commanders also played their best game of the season on Sunday, and just like the Bears, it did not result in a win.

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Commanders Football Preview

Washington was playing Philly close all game, and they tied the game as the clock expired to send the game to overtime.

The question remains if Washington was better off going for two and trying to win the game in regulation. The Commanders opted to send the game to OT, and they got the ball first, but they were not able to capitalize, and Philly kicked a field goal to win.

Now, Washington hosts the Bears on a short week, and the market is telling us two things: they think Washington is better than their record and that they are not impressed with Chicago’s offensive explosion on Sunday.

While the Eagles are certainly a little bit worse than they were last year, Washington hung around with them all day and proved they are at least a competent team.

On the other hand, the Bears beat up arguably the worst defense in football (the same defense Washington hung 35 points on just three weeks ago), and they still could not seal the victory.

Bears vs Commanders Prediction: The PICK

Washington was laying 5.5 points at open, and this was immediately bet up to Washington -6.5.

Washington’s defense has struggled with mobile QBs this season (Wilson, Allen, and Hurts all played well against them), but if they can limit Justin Fields’ ability to stretch plays, the Commanders should win comfortably.

They have the edge in every sense of this game. Washington will be able to pressure Chicago and avoid pressure on offense, the Commanders will be able to establish the run and thwart the Bears’ rushing attack, and Sam Howell should be able to pick apart his depleted Chicago secondary.

Prediction: Commanders -5.5

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