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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Predictions, Odds and Best Bets May 11

Kevin Durant of Phoenix Suns attempts to hit NBA player props

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his predictions and best bets for Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Game 6 battle from the Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ. Nikola Jokic has averaged 31 ppg so far this series for the Nuggets against the Suns.

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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

Thursday, May 11 NBA Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Point Spread: Phoenix Suns -2.5 vs Denver Nuggets
Total: 226 Points
Arena: Footprint Center in Phoenix, AZ
Game Time: 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

The Denver Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns for Game 6 of their Western Conference Semifinals matchup on Thursday night.

The Nuggets took a 3-2 series lead, winning Game 5 118-102 as -6.5 point favorites on Tuesday night. Now the series shifts back to Phoenix and the home team has won every game in thus far. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM EST/7:00 PST from the Footprint Center in Phoenix.

Jokers Wild

The Denver Nuggets have been dominant at home throughout the season and once again prevailed in Game 5 with a 16 point victory. Nikola Jokic led all scorers with 29 points while recording a triple-double with 13 rebounds and 12 assists.

Bruce Brown added 25 points in only 25 minutes off the bench while Michael Porter Jr chipped in with 19 points and 8 rebounds.

Jokic broke a tie with Wilt Chamberlain for most playoff triple-doubles for a center and has averaged 30.6 points, 13.1 rebounds and 9.5 assists throughout the post-season.

The Nuggets posted the best home record in the NBA but went just 19-22 on the road during the regular season and are only 1-3 in the post-season.

Denver ranks 5th in offensive efficiency, 18th in defensive efficiency and 25th in pace of play. They currently sport a clean injury report.

Suns Last Stand

The Phoenix Suns have their backs against the wall after losing in Denver and now need back-to-back wins against the #1 seeded Nuggets to advance. Devin Booker led his team in scoring with 28 points on 8-19 shooting.

Kevin Durant recorded a 26 points, 11 rebound double-double while falling just short of a triple-double with 7 assists.

The only other Sun to score double digits was De’Andre Ayton who scored 14 points while grabbing 9 rebounds.

Ayton is now questionable with a rib contusion as is Chris Paul who has missed two games with a groin strain and will likely miss Game 6. Phoenix ranks 16th in offensive efficiency, 7th in defensive efficiency and 22nd in pace of play.

The Suns go back home for Game 6 where they were 28-13 during the regular season and are 4-1 in the post-season.

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Phoenix Suns enter this contest as 2.5 point road favorites with a total set at 226. The home team has won every game in this series and I don’t see a reason that changes tonight.

While I do like the Suns, we are going to focus on a player prop for tonight. Kevin Durant has also followed that trend, over his Points + Rebounds + Assists in both home games at home and under in all three games on the road.

Durant posted a 36 point, 11 rebound, 7 assist (53 PRA) effort in Game 4 and 39 point, 9 rebound, 8 assist (56 PRA) effort in Game 3. Durant has played 42+ minutes in each of the past four games after playing 36 minutes in Game 1.

I’m fully expecting the Suns open up the offense and max out Durants minutes in a home elimination game.

The high scoring games have been in Phoenix where they have scored 129 & 121 and Durant and Booker will get the lions share. Give me the over on Durants PRA total tonight in Phoenix.

Expert Player Prop Prediction: Kevin Durant Over 45.5 PRA -125 Draftkings

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NBA Tip-Off Show | May 11

Join a rotating panel of WagerTalk handicappers for the NBA Tip-Off Show as we preview tonight’s NBA Playoff card from a betting perspective. We’ll go well beyond the Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Game 6 matchup.

Stay up-to-date on the latest NBA news, stats, analysis, and predictions with our panel of pro sports bettors as they offer some of their favorite NBA best bets, player props and DFS recommendations on tonight’s slate.

NBA Playoff Predictions, Picks and Best Bets Today | 76ers vs Celtics | Suns vs Nuggets | May 11

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WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NBA point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of this week’s NBA action, including this Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets showdown, from your desktop or phone.


Meet the Author

Andy Lang has lived in Indianapolis his whole life, and like most people from the Hoosier State, he became fascinated with motor sports. That interest in motor sports turned into a desire to make money off the sport through fantasy contests and sports betting. Like most, he took his lumps when he first got started, but now he is one of the most respected NASCAR bettors in the industry. Andy has expanded that sports betting experience to become profitable in a number of other sports, transforming this interest from a side hobby to a major source of income.

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