Hornets vs Suns Prediction, Picks and Odds

Charlotte just knocked off Cleveland as an 8.5-point underdog while missing four rotation players, and it did so by dropping 23 three-pointers. Was it a sign of things to come or a one-night wonder? That question drives this Hornets vs Suns prediction, as Charlotte opens a West Coast road trip in Phoenix against a Suns team wrapping up a six-game homestand.

Prior to that stunning upset, the Hornets had averaged just 96.3 points per game and failed to reach 100 points five times. Meanwhile, Phoenix has battled a far tougher early schedule. The spread has dropped from 7.5 to 6.5, and the public is pounding the Over. Before you place your bet, check out our latest free NBA picks, then dig into the full breakdown below.

Quick Picks and Prediction for Hornets vs Suns

Spread Pick: Phoenix Suns -6.5
Total Pick: Under 214.5
Projected Final Score: Suns 112, Hornets 100

Odds and Line Movement for Hornets vs Suns

Phoenix opened as a 7.5-point favorite before the spread dipped to -6.5. The latest splits show 51% of the money on Charlotte but 71% of the tickets on Phoenix. The total has bounced between 213.5 and 214.5 and currently sits at 214.5, with 98% of the money and 75% of the tickets on the Over. Track every move through our live odds.

Opening Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Charlotte Hornets	+7½ (-110)	Over 214½ (-105)
Phoenix Suns	-7½ (-110)	Under 214½ (-115)

Current Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Charlotte Hornets	+6½ (-112)	Over 214½ (-108)
Phoenix Suns	-6½ (-108)	Under 214½ (-112)

Line Movement – Spread

Date	Charlotte	Phoenix
11/12	+6½ (-112)	-6½ (-108)
11/11	+7½ (-115)	-7½ (-105)
11/11	+7½ (-113)	-7½ (-107)
11/11	+7½ (-110)	-7½ (-110)

Line Movement – Total

Date	Over	Under
11/12	214½ (-108)	214½ (-112)
11/12	213½ (-115)	213½ (-105)
11/12	213½ (-110)	213½ (-110)
11/12	214½ (-108)	214½ (-112)
11/12	214½ (-112)	214½ (-108)
11/12	214½ (-106)	214½ (-115)
11/12	214½ (-113)	214½ (-107)
11/12	214½ (-107)	214½ (-113)
11/12	213½ (-115)	213½ (-105)
11/12	214½ (-105)	214½ (-115)

Hornets vs Suns Key Matchups and Handicap

Hornets Stun Cleveland Shorthanded

Charlotte heads west after producing one of the most head-scratching results of the season. The Hornets beat the Cavaliers as 8.5-point home underdogs on Monday, scoring a season-high 124 points without Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel, Dennis Schroder, and Moussa Diabate. Charlotte shot a blistering 23-of-46 (50%) from three-point range, and Naz Reid and Grayson Allen combined for 52 points. It was a remarkable performance, but one that is difficult to replicate on a consistent basis.

Charlotte Offense Before the Outburst

Prior to that 124-point explosion, the Hornets averaged just 96.3 points per game over their first 10 contests and failed to reach the 100-point mark five times. That larger sample suggests the Cleveland game was an outlier rather than a new normal. Expecting Charlotte to shoot 50% from deep again, especially on the road, is a risky assumption.

CHA Injury Report: Diabate Returns, Miller and Knueppel Out

Moussa Diabate is expected to return tonight after recovering from a quad injury, which should help Charlotte’s frontcourt. However, Brandon Miller and Kon Knueppel will remain sidelined, leaving the Hornets without two key contributors. That limits Charlotte’s ability to generate offense consistently if its perimeter shooting cools off.

Suns Jekyll and Hyde Act

Phoenix has also been unpredictable. The Suns beat Houston as 6.5-point home underdogs, then lost to San Antonio by 26 points two nights later. Most recently, Phoenix earned a 133-110 home win over the Clippers on Tuesday, a strong performance heading into this matchup. Inconsistency is a concern, but the Suns’ best games have come against quality opponents.

Phoenix Homestand Wraps Up

This is the sixth game of a lengthy homestand for Phoenix, and the Suns do not play again until Sunday. That gives them every reason to empty the tank tonight before getting extended rest. Playing at home in a comfortable routine is a clear advantage over a Charlotte team beginning a West Coast road trip.

Suns Battle-Tested by a Tougher Schedule

Neither team is particularly trustworthy right now, but the difference in schedules is hard to ignore. Phoenix has faced Portland twice, Golden State twice, Oklahoma City when the Thunder were healthy, Denver, Houston, and San Antonio. Portland and Golden State both look much better than expected. Charlotte, by contrast, has played the Wizards twice and the Nets twice. The Suns have been tested far more, which makes their results more meaningful.

Betting Trends: CHA vs PHX

Charlotte and Phoenix have split their meetings over the last two seasons, with the home team winning every game.
Charlotte beat Cleveland as an 8.5-point home underdog, scoring a season-high 124 points.
Charlotte averaged 96.3 points per game over its first 10 games and failed to reach 100 points five times.
Charlotte shot 23-of-46 from three-point range against Cleveland.
Phoenix beat the Clippers 133-110 on Tuesday.
Phoenix beat Houston as a 6.5-point home underdog and lost to San Antonio by 26.
The spread opened at Phoenix -7.5 and dropped to -6.5.
The latest splits show 51% of the money on Charlotte and 71% of the tickets on Phoenix.
Public betting on the total shows 98% of the money and 75% of the tickets on the Over.

Key Injuries and Notes: CHA vs PHX

Charlotte F Moussa Diabate: Expected to return from a quad injury.
Charlotte F Brandon Miller: Out.
Charlotte G Kon Knueppel: Out.
Charlotte G Dennis Schroder: Did not play against Cleveland.
Schedule Note: This is the final game of Phoenix’s six-game homestand, and the Suns do not play again until Sunday.
Travel Note: Charlotte is beginning a West Coast road trip.

ATS and Total Picks for Charlotte vs Phoenix

Moneyline Pick: Phoenix Suns

The home team has won every meeting in this series over the past two seasons, and Phoenix has been tested by a much tougher schedule. With Charlotte still missing Miller and Knueppel, the Suns are the clear side straight up.

Spread Pick: Phoenix Suns -6.5

Charlotte’s upset of Cleveland looks like a one-night wonder fueled by unsustainable three-point shooting. Before that game, the Hornets struggled to reach 100 points, and their schedule has been far softer than Phoenix’s. The line has dropped a point to -6.5, giving bettors a better price on a Suns team that should handle a shorthanded opponent at home.

Total Pick: Under 214.5

Nearly all of the public money is on the Over following Charlotte’s 124-point outburst, but that performance stands out as an anomaly against a 96.3-point average over the Hornets’ first 10 games. If Charlotte’s shooting regresses to normal levels, it will be difficult for this game to clear the total. The Under offers value against an inflated market perception.

Hornets vs Suns Best Bets

Best Bet: Phoenix Suns -6.5 (-108)
Total Bet: Under 214.5 (-112)
Key Edge: Phoenix’s far tougher schedule compared to Charlotte’s slate of the Wizards and Nets
Market Signal: Spread dropped from -7.5 to -6.5, offering a better number on the home favorite

Final Score Prediction for Hornets vs Suns

Charlotte’s win over Cleveland was impressive, but it relied on red-hot shooting that is unlikely to carry over to the road. Expect Phoenix to close out its homestand with a comfortable victory as the Hornets’ offense returns to earth, with the Suns covering the spread and the total staying under the number.