Best NBA Player Props Today: Picks & Predictions for November 12
Looking for the best NBA player props today for November 12, 2026? The 2026-27 NBA season continues with Thursday night action, and Picks & Parlays handicapper Steve Seagrave breaks down his top NBA player prop picks and predictions.
Explore today’s best betting opportunities across points, rebounds, assists, and other NBA player prop markets as Seagrave identifies potential value on the Thursday night schedule. NBA player props for Thursday include Daniel Gafford and Naz Reid in Mavericks vs Timberwolves and Hornets vs Suns!
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Daniel Gafford Player Prop Pick: OVER 8.5 Points (-101) vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Daniel Gafford has thrived in head-to-head matchups against Rudy Gobert while clearing this line in 5 of his last 6 head-to-head games and averaging 11.8 points per game.
Gafford’s minutes have been a bit sporadic recently, but the Dallas Mavericks will need his size on the court to deal with Gobert and when he’s played 16+ minutes he’s gone over this number in 6/10 games (avg 10.2/game). The Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 9th most points to opposing centers (23.3/game) and Jaxson Hayes just scored 18 points against them from that position.
Minnesota has also allowed the 2nd highest shot frequency of shots within 10 feet. The Timberwolves are favored by -6.5 but I fully expect a competitive game where Gafford see’s full minutes.
Naz Reid Player Prop Pick: OVER 20.5 Points (-118) vs Phoenix Suns
The Charlotte Hornets will be extremely short-handed tonight with Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel & Dennis Schroder all ruled out, and Moussa Diabate listed as questionable.
In the lone full game without Miller, Naz Reid scored 25 points while taking a staggering 26 field goal attempts across 33 minutes of play (34% usage rate).
In the game where Miller was injured, Reid took 11 field goal attempts across the 2nd and 3rd quarters before the Hornets were blown out.
The Suns have allowed the MOST points to opposing centers with an average of 27.5 per game and Victor Wembanyama just scored 40 points against them.
Phoenix has also allowed the 4th most points on at-the-break threes & 7th most on spot up shots and these are two areas where Reid thrives. The Suns are favored by -6.5 but the Hornets may need Reid’s minutes regardless of if we see a blowout or not.
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