UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds June 14, 2025

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for June 14, 2025 with the main event headlined by Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA!

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Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, June 14	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Kamaru Usman +230 vs Joaquin Buckley -280
Rounds:	4.5 (Over +100 / Under -130)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
Arena:	State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA
TV:	ESPN

UFC Fight Night Predictions

Jamey Lyn-Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos 

This fight comes down to physicality and positional control. Horth thrives in the clinch and likes to wear opponents down with pressure and physical exchanges, which could be a real problem for Demopoulos, whose takedown defense has been an issue throughout her UFC career.

While Demopoulos is fast on the feet and has some activity in scrambles, she tends to concede top  control too easily.

Horth held her own in a competitive loss to Miranda Maverick—a strong  wrestler—which shows she can deal with grappling-heavy fighters.

If she sticks to her game plan and keeps the fight in close, Horth’s strength and control should be enough to earn a decision win.

Ange Loosa vs Phil Rowe 

This matchup favors Ange Loosa’s relentless style. Rowe has the reach and power to be  dangerous, but he’s consistently low volume and lacks urgency—traits that get exposed against aggressive opponents.

Loosa will push the pace, stay in Rowe’s face, and mix in clinch work and  takedowns, which historically frustrate Rowe when he can’t keep opponents at range.

Even when Rowe tries to wrestle, like he did late against Jake Matthews, he tends to lose position and  control.

Loosa’s pressure, wrestling, and cardio should be the difference here—expect him to grind his way to a clear win.

Ricky Simon -180 v Charles Jourdain +150 

Ricky Simon’s relentless chain wrestling is a major weapon, and it should be the difference here. He didn’t look like himself in the loss to Mario Bautista, but bounced back strong with a KO win over Basharat that reminded everyone what he’s capable of.

Jourdain is dangerous with submissions and has a long, fluid striking style, but he frequently gives up position and can be hit  clean on the feet. Against a high-pressure wrestler like Simon, that’s a problem.

If Simon stays  healthy and sticks to the game plan, his pressure and grappling should be too much for Jourdain to handle. Simon is the pick.

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Jose Ochoa -175 vs Cody Durden +145 

Cody Durden has only one win in his last four, and it came against a declining Matt Schnell. His striking is below average, and while he has some submission ability, it’s not at a level that scares high-level opponents.

Jose Ochoa, on the other hand, showed promise in his UFC debut despite the loss to top prospect Loneer Cavanaugh.

He’s got sharp movement, excellent kicks, and looks  like a fighter who belongs. Durden’s questionable cardio and leaky striking defense could be exposed here. Ochoa has the tools and upside—he’s the pick.

Mansur Abdul-Malik -700 vs Cody Brundage +500 

Mansur Abdul-Malik is a dangerous finisher with serious power and composure. He’s shown solid takedown defense, toughness, and killer instinct through his first two UFC fights— especially in his comeback finish against Klein.

Cody Brundage relies on his wrestling and  submission game, but his cardio is suspect, and he’s shown a tendency to fold when pressured. 

Brundage’s recent wins have come with controversy, and he hasn’t proven he can handle  someone as explosive and relentless as Malik. If Malik stuffs early takedowns, he should break Brundage quickly and score another stoppage win. Malik gets it done.

Michael Chiesa -320 vs Court McGee +250 

This is a matchup between two veterans, but only one still has something left in the tank. Court McGee is far past his prime—his only win in the last four fights came against 41-year-old Tim Means, who has since retired.

McGee lacks power, is slow on the feet, and won’t have the tools to threaten Chiesa with submissions. Chiesa isn’t what he once was either, but he’s shown more  

life recently, including a third-round submission win over Max Griffin. Expect Chiesa to control this fight in the clinch and on the ground, wearing McGee down and possibly finding a finish. Chiesa to win, and submission is definitely in play.

Rodolfo Bellato -350 vs Paul Craig +225 

Paul Craig’s recent form is hard to trust—he’s lost 5 of his last 6, and his only true weapon is a wild submission game that hasn’t bailed him out lately.

He lacks wrestling to get the fight where he needs it and has some of the worst striking in the division. Bellato is a powerful, aggressive  striker, and while his striking defense can be leaky, it won’t matter much against someone like Craig who poses no real stand-up threat.

As long as Bellato avoids diving into a submission, he should dominate and likely get the KO. Bellato by knockout is the pick.

Malcolm Wellmaker -1100 vs Kris Moutinho +775 

Malcolm Wellmaker comes in undefeated at 9-0 and brings real upside. He’s an explosive athlete with big power and surprising composure for someone who started MMA late—at 31, he fights with a veteran’s patience.

Moutinho returns to the UFC after a five-fight win streak on the regional scene, but the level of competition was low. He still shows the same defensive flaws— wide-open chin and a tendency to get into brawls.

That’s a recipe for disaster against someone with Wellmaker’s power. Eventually, Moutinho is going to walk into something heavy. Wellmaker by KO is the pick.

Oumar Sy -500 vs Alonzo Menifield +380 

Oumar Sy enters this fight undefeated at 11-0 and has quietly shown a well-rounded game with power, takedowns, and damaging leg kicks. Menifield, on the other hand, looks like he’s on the  decline—coming off two losses and an uninspired win over a UFC debutant in Julius Walker. 

This matchup likely turns into a gritty, clinch-heavy battle that drains cardio from both men, but Sy appears to have the higher ceiling, better conditioning, and more tools.

In a fight where physicality and control will matter most, Sy should be the one getting his hand raised.

Raoni Barcelos -145 vs Cody Garbrandt +122 

Barcelos looked rejuvenated in his last fight against Talbott—his cardio was on another level, and he applied relentless pressure with a mix of striking and wrestling.

If that same version shows up, he should be able to exploit Garbrandt’s well-known durability concerns and vulnerability to grappling pressure.

Garbrandt still has speed and decent footwork, but he hasn’t shown real upside in years and tends to fade when forced into a grind.

If Barcelos can mix in the takedowns and stay aggressive, he should outwork Garbrandt over three rounds. Barcelos by decision is the pick.

Edmen Shabazyan -205 vs Andre Petroski +170 

Shabazyan is always dangerous early with explosive striking and finishing power, but his cardio  nosedives after the first round—a trend we’ve seen consistently.

Petroski isn’t a polished striker,  but he has the grappling, clinch game, and grinding style that can neutralize Shabazyan if he survives the early storm. If Petroski gets this fight to the fence and mat, he can drain Edmen’s gas tank and start taking over as the fight wears on.

This sets up well for the underdog to weather  round one and turn the tide late. Petroski is the pick to pull the upset.

Miranda Maverick +225 vs Rose Namajunas -275 

Rose Namajunas has been through the fire in her career, but her recent performance against Erin  Blanchfield raised red flags—her striking looked off, and she struggled mightily once taken down.

While Rose likely has the edge on the feet, Maverick brings relentless wrestling and  physicality, and she’ll look to drag this into the clinch and onto the mat.

Rose has never been comfortable off her back, and Maverick grinding out control time in two rounds of a three-round  fight could be enough. At this price, it’s worth a stab on the underdog. Maverick is the pick.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Kamaru Usman vs Joaquin Buckley

Kamaru Usman’s legendary run appears to be winding down—at 38 years old and coming off three straight losses, the miles are starting to show.

His path here is to clinch and wrestle, but  against Buckley, who’s younger, more explosive, and riding a six-fight win streak since moving weight classes, that’s easier said than done.

Buckley has improved his takedown defense, and his  constant forward pressure with real knockout power will keep Usman on the defensive. Unless Usman can grind this out perfectly for five rounds, Buckley’s physicality and momentum should carry him to the win. Buckley is the pick.

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