PFL Dubai | MMA Picks and Betting Odds November 14, 2026

PFL Dubai Betting Preview, Picks and Predictions

PFL Dubai takes place November 14, 2026 as MMA WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his expert picks and predictions before the bell rings! Vadim Nemkov vs Sergei Bilostenniy headline the main event with the main card starting up at 1:00PM ET from the Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai, United Arab Emirates!

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PFL Dubai Betting Information

Saturday, November 14	PFL Dubai (Courtesy of Caesars)
Main Event:	Vadim Nemkov vs Sergei Bilostenniy
Rounds:	N/A
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
Arena:	Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai in United Arab Emirates
TV:	ESPN+

PFL Dubai Predictions

Omar El Dafrawy (+460) vs Patrick Habirora (-650)

I expect Habirora to get the finish here, and I think it happens early. He’s still a little raw, and I don’t believe he’s ready to face a high-level wrestler or legitimate title contender, but his striking is extremely dynamic.

He has tremendous power and the ability to overwhelm opponents with his offense before they can settle into the fight. El Dafrawy is going to have a difficult time dealing with that explosiveness, and I expect Habirora to find the knockout early. Habirora by early KO is the pick, with Under 1.5 Rounds at -175 being the play.

Oleg Popov (+180) vs Pouya Rahmani (-230)

I’m taking the underdog in this matchup because I think Popov makes this fight significantly closer than the odds suggest. Both fighters have strong wrestling backgrounds, and I expect them to have the ability to neutralize each other’s ground game.

That could create a competitive fight where neither guy is able to establish the kind of dominant control that would justify such a large favorite. With both fighters capable of defending and countering the other’s wrestling, I also think there’s a good chance this fight extends beyond the opening round. Popov at +180 is the underdog pick, and Over 1.5 Rounds at +114 is an intriguing betting angle.

Joji Goto (+145) vs Sergio Pettis (-172)

Goto is making his PFL debut after competing in RIZIN, and I’m interested to see how his style translates against Pettis. He previously fought former Bellator fighter Danny Sabatello in an excellent, competitive matchup that was primarily contested on the feet, and he barely lost.

Pettis isn’t the type of fighter who overwhelms opponents with striking power or relentless aggression. He’s more of a point fighter who looks to win exchanges and accumulate enough offense to take rounds.

I think Goto can match that style, keep the striking exchanges competitive, and do enough to impress the judges over the course of the fight. Joji Goto at +145 is the underdog pick, with Goto by decision my preferred outcome.

Lewis McGrillen (-385) vs Nawras Abzakh (+340)

McGrillen always makes me nervous because he’s reckless and can be overly aggressive, but that same fearless approach makes him extremely dangerous. His forward pressure is relentless, and he’s constantly looking to land hard punches and overwhelm opponents with offensive volume.

Abzakh is coming over from PFL MENA, and I haven’t been impressed with how fighters from that competition have handled significant steps up in opposition. I think McGrillen’s aggression, power, and willingness to exchange will be too much for Abzakh to handle.

There will probably be some wild moments because of McGrillen’s style, but I expect his offense to take over. Lewis McGrillen at -385 is the pick. He’s constantly looking to land hard punches and overwhelm opponents with offensive volume. Abzakh is coming over from PFL MENA, and I haven’t been impressed with how fighters from that competition have handled significant steps up in opposition.

I think McGrillen’s aggression, power, and willingness to exchange will be too much for Abzakh to handle. There will probably be some wild moments because of McGrillen’s style, but I expect his offense to take over. Lewis McGrillen at -385 is the pick.

PFL Dubai Main Event: Sergey Bilostenniy (+275) vs Vadim Nemkov (-350)

I love Nemkov to win this fight, but I absolutely hate the price. He’s clearly the better overall fighter, and I think he’ll have the advantage on the ground, where he can control the action and dictate the pace.

I’m not convinced he’ll get the finish, but I expect him to do enough to win rounds and secure a decision victory. The problem is laying -350 in a fight where I’m not necessarily expecting a dominant finish. Nemkov by decision is the pick, but at -350, he’s a parlay piece at best.

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