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Royals vs Yankees Prediction and Betting Preview | June 12

DJ LeMahieu looks to pass MLB player props - June 12, 2025

The Bronx Bombers have kept the scoreboard operators busy during the first two games of this Royals vs Yankees series. Will we see another high-scoring affair on Thursday night in Kansas City? The GoldSheet team offers its thoughts on tonight’s American League clash at Kauffman Stadium.

Royals vs Yankees Betting Preview

Time7:40pm ET / 4:40pm PT
StadiumKauffman Stadium in Kansas City
WeatherClear and Comfortable with a Ligh Breeze from Right to Left
MoneyLineNew York -140 / Kansas City +125
Total9 Runs (o -105 / u -115)
RunLineNew York -1.5 (+110) / Kansas City +1.5 (-130)

New York Yankees

The Yankees have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last six contests. So far in the month of June, the Yankees are hitting .276 (No. 3 in MLB) with a .359 on-base percentage (No. 3) and a 132 wRC+ (No. 3).

This will be Will Warren’s first start against the Royals, and he could really use a bounce-back performance. In his last two starts against the Dodgers and Red Sox, he allowed a combined 11 runs on nine hits and eight walks in 6.2 innings. Warren has failed to make it past 4.0 innings in five of his 13 starts this season.

Kansas City Royals

Seth Lugo’s box score numbers are respectable (3.46 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP), but a closer look under the hood tells a much different story. Lugo enters Thursday in the bottom-20th percentile among pitchers in expected ERA, expected batting average allowed, average exit velocity, chase rate, whiff rate and hard-hit rate.

His expected ERA (5.22) is nearly two runs higher than his actual ERA (3.46). His hard-hit rate has climbed from 39.0-percent last year to 47.4-percent this year. His average exit velocity has climbed from 88.5 mph to 91.1 mph. His expected weighted on-base average (.365) is nearly 50 points higher than his actual weighted on-base average (.316).

Lugo faced the Yankees in The Bronx on April 14 and allowed a whopping four home runs in 6.2 innings. Paul Goldschmidt is 8-for-14 with two home runs and two walks against Lugo. DJ LeMahieu is 6-for-13 against him.

Royals vs Yankees Stat Breakdown

Royals vs Yankees Prediction

The Royals’ bullpen has been put to work in this series, throwing 94 pitches on Tuesday then another 4.2 innings on Wednesday.

We mentioned how good the Yankees’ lineup has been so far in the month of June. Well, the Royals aren’t very far behind. The recent call-up of power-hitting prospect Jac Caglianone has lit a fire under this lineup. In June, Kansas City is hitting .290 (No. 1 in MLB) with a .332 on-base percentage (No. 6) and a 15.8-percent strikeout rate (No. 2).

OVER 9 RUNS (-105)

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WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for every MLB game this summer, including tonight’s Royals vs Yankees contest. Find free MLB picks every day through out the season on our free picks pages.

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