Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Prediction and Best Odds September 26

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick: The Preview

WagerTalk MLB handicapper Andy Lang offers his analysis of Monday’s Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles clash at Fenway Park. Baltimore continues to impress many on the season with their record sitting at 80-42 when listed as the +1.5 underdog.

Monday, September 26	MLB Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Moneyline:	Boston Red Sox -125 vs Baltimore Orioles +112
Runline:	Red Sox -1.5 (+150) / Orioles +1.5 (-170)
Total:	9.5 Runs (Over -110 / Under -110)
Game Time:	7:10pm ET / 4:10pm PT
Where:	Fenway Park in Boston, MA
Weather:	60 Degrees / Clear

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Baltimore Orioles travel to Fenway Park to begin a four game series against the Boston Red Sox on Monday evening. The Red Sox were just dismantled by the New York Yankees in four game sweep by the combined score of 19-13.

The Orioles ended with a four game split against the Houston Astros after jumping out in front 2-0. The 31 year old journeyman Jordan Lyles gets the nod for Baltimore while Boston counters with the rookie righty Connor Seabold. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM EST/4:10 PST.

O’s Need To Win Out

The Baltimore Orioles record fell to 79-73 after losing 6-3 to the Houston Astros in extra frames. Austin Voth pitched well out of the gate with five innings of one run baseball. Ryan Mountcastle had the teams only extra-base hit, going 2-4 with a double.

Starter turned reliever Keegan Akin took the loss as he was shelled for three earned runs in the 11th inning. The Orioles currently sit four games behind the Seattle Mariners in the American League Wild Card race.

With only ten games to play, they will need every win from here on out to get in striking distance. The Baltimore offense ranks below average on the season as they rank 20th in both runs scored and OPS. The season has been a mixed bag for Baltimore starter Jordan Lyles.

Lyles is 11-11 on the season with a 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. He pitched a complete game last time out, holding the Detroit Tigers to one run on three hits and no walks. However Lyles has struggled in his four outings against Boston, allowing 16 runs across 18 innings of work.

Red Sox Look To Play Spoiler

It’s been a disappointing campaign for the Boston Red Sox as they currently occupy last place in the American League East with a 72-80 record. Their only consolation is to play the role of spoiler against Baltimore to begin the week.

It’s actually a role reversal between the two teams from many seasons prior where Baltimore would be the spoiler. The Red Sox are coming off an embarrassment of a series where they were swept in four games against the division leading Yankees.

They lost 2-0 on Sunday in a six inning game shortened by weather. Rookie Brayan Bello took the loss to go 2-7 after allowing two runs across the full six innings. Rob Refsnyder had the teams only hit with a single.

Another rookie gets the start on Monday with Connor Seabold on the mound. Seabold is 0-3 on the season with a 10.47 ERA and 2.20 WHIP. He gave up four runs across five innings last time out in Cincinnati against the Reds.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are slight home favorites with a money line set at -130 while the Baltimore Orioles sit at +110 with a total of 9.5. Both starting pitchers have had brutal seasons and seem ripe for the picking.

Lyles has struggled with the Sox with an 8.00 ERA across 18 innings. He has also struggled on the road with a 5.48 ERA and 1.43 WHIP across 16 road starts. Seabold has only on Fenway start and he gave up seven runs in 2.2 innings.

He is backed by a horrendous bullpen ranking bottom five on the season and of late. The one thing the Sox can still do is mash at the plate as they still hover around top ten in most categories.

On top of that it looks like the wind is blowing at Fenway Park at game time. I can’t see making a decision on a side here, the over seems like the best angle here.

Prediction: Over 9.5 -110

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First Pitch | MLB Predictions for Monday, September 26

Join Drew Martin and a rotating panel of guests for First Pitch as we break down the daily baseball slate from a betting perspective. Join WagerTalk’s team of MLB betting experts every weekday at 1:45pm ET / 10:45am PT for First Pitch as we discuss the baseball betting slate.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the MLB moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all of Monday’s baseball games, including this Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

Andy Lang has lived in Indianapolis his whole life, and like most people from the Hoosier State, he became fascinated with motor sports. That interest in motor sports turned into a desire to make money off the sport through fantasy contests and sports betting. Like most, he took his lumps when he first got started, but now he is one of the most respected NASCAR bettors in the industry. Andy has expanded that sports betting experience to become profitable in a number of other sports, transforming this interest from a side hobby to a major source of income.

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