Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, May 8

The 2025 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs were hit last season and we’re ready to pick more winners in 2025! Free home run prop picks each day come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets on Thursday! You can find free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, May 8.

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

Nick Castellanos (PHI) +470

Ryan Pepiot’s home road splits are quite astounding when it comes to home runs hit against him this season. He has allowed eight in total with all eight coming in his five home starts while not allowing one in his two road starts.

He gets the Phillies at home today allowing a .321 batting average and .593 slugging percentage to right handed hitters leading us to take Nick Castellanos to hit his fifth home run of the season.

Castellanos is batting .346 this month to go along with a .538 slugging percentage and looking to extend a four-game hitting streak.

The Phillies outfielder belted 23 home runs last season with five of them coming in May which was his most for any single month in 2024.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has been host to 57 home runs hit this season already which is third most of any MLB park so far.

Take Castellanos to hit a home run at +470 with other Philadelphia batters who could blast a home run include Bryce Harper (+400) and Trea Turner (+480).

MLB HR Props Best Bet of the Day #2: Michael Conforto (LAD) +630

It’s looks as if Michael Conforto’s best days as a hitter are behind him as the Dodgers outfielder is batting just .139 on the season, but we get major value in him to hit a home run tonight on the road at Arizona.

We get a solid matchup as the Diamondbacks send Brandon Pfaadt to the mound who although has ben solid this season, has allowed seven home runs in 40.1 innings pitched including two in his last start.

Pfaadt has struggled overall against Los Angeles in his career with Conforto going 3-7 with two home runs against Pfaadt in his career and the Diamondbacks starter giving up six of his seven home runs to left-handed hitters on the season.

Now we know Conforto is in a major hitting slump but the veteran does have the capability to hit home runs on the road, belting 17 of his 20 home runs on the road last season to go along with a .530 slugging percentage.

If you’re looking for value in home run props tonight, take Conforto to hit a home run at +630, but you can also take a shot with Freddie Freeman (+420) who has a home run off Pfaadt or Shohei Ohtani (+210) who leads the Dodgers in home runs this season so far with ten.

Enjoyed the Home Run Prop Bets? Get More MLB Bets at the GoldSheet

Play Ball! GoldSheet’s daily MLB betting guide has made its triumphant return. We provide marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, Ralph Michaels‘ NRFI first inning guide and two recommended free plays each day. Oh yeah, we forgot to mention the price…FREE! Use the link below each day to access the download.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track moneylines, runlines, totals and betting percentages for a variety of domestic and international leagues. Find free MLB picks, even for Home Run prop bets, and odds!

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips? Go beyond the anytime touchdown scorer picks!

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on and anytime touchdown scorer odds.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!