PGA Championship Free Picks, Predictions and DFS Lineup May 15-18

The Masters Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang offers his thoughts on the PGA Championship teeing off from Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, NC. Andy discusses his DraftKings Darlings, golfers to who can trip you up, the course and more surrounding the PGA Championship starting May 15!

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PGA Championship	PGA Championship Betting Notes
When:	May 15-18
Where:	Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, NC
Defending Champ:	Xander Schauffele
Current Favorite:	Scottie Scheffler (+425 at DraftKings)
TV:	CBS, ESPN

PGA Championship Course: Quail Hollow Club

The 2025 PGA Championship returns to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, from May 15–18, marking its second time hosting the major since 2017.

The course will play as a Par 71 at 7,626 yards, featuring one of the toughest closing stretches in golf— the Green Mile—which spans holes 16 through 18 and has a reputation for deciding tournaments in dramatic fashion.

Several changes have been made ahead of this year’s event, including added length to the par-4 16th hole and updates to the greens, tees, and bunkering on holes 9, 13, and 16, all designed to enhance the course’s difficulty. With fast greens, thick rough, and tight fairways framed by mature trees, Quail Hollow is built to test every club in the bag.

Rory McIlroy enters the tournament as a heavy favorite following his win at The Masters, completing the career Grand Slam. He has an excellent history at Quail Hollow, with four PGA Tour victories at the venue, including a record-setting 61 and a five-shot win in 2024.

Expect fierce competition from Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, and Justin Thomas, all of whom thrive on major championship setups.

With warm weather and firm conditions expected, the 2025 PGA Championship should deliver a compelling test of elite shot-making and mental toughness.

PGA Championship Marquee Holes

16th Hole 529 Yards, Par 4

This hole is a brutal Par 4 where Par will be a good score. There is a bunker on the right that is 300+ yards out, on the right side of the fairway, and if a player can smash a perfect drive, the ball can roll a bit further down a slope, but most are going to play it safe and out to the left which leaves a brutally long second shot.

The green has a bunker on the right, and water long and left so inaccurate second shots will be penalized. It’s a great hole that tests every part of the golfers game.

18th Hole 494 Yards, Par 4

I only give out one perfect score, and that’s the 18th at Augusta, but this one is great, and will get a big rating. It’s basically 500 yards, with a stream on the left side of the fairway that runs the length of the hole, all the way past the green, so any shots that go left are in trouble.

There are bunkers on the right side of green, so every shot has to be perfect to have any chance at birdie or even par. It’s a great hole that should give us some drama on Sunday, and it’s everything I want in an 18th hole.

PGA Championship: Players That Can Trip You Up

Joaquin Niemann

I just don’t believe in Niemann at Majors. He’s a front runner, and doesn’t handle adversity well, and if he’s not in contention, he can just give up.

He’s priced as a Top 10 guy, but he’s yet to finish in the Top 10 at a Major in his career. Since he moved to LIV, he’s missed the cut twice at Majors, and his last 2 finishes at Majors are 29th and 58th. No way I’ll be betting on him this week.

Ludvig Aberg

This course should set up great for him as he’s long off the tee, but his accuracy hasn’t been there this season, and he’s even on strokes gained approach, around the green, and putting, and he’s coming off a 60th place finish last week.

He hasn’t been the same elite golfer since the WD when he was playing great, and got sick and left the tournament, and he has one Top 20 finish since then. I’ll be happy to fade him this week.

Brooks Koepka

I just don’t understand why he keeps getting priced so high at these Majors. He’s priced as a Top 15 guy to win, and he can’t break into the Top 15 on the LIV Tour.

He missed the cut at The Masters, this isn’t the Koepka from years ago. He’s had injuries, his intensity isn’t there, you just can’t be betting money on him in these loaded fields on the PGA Tour. He’s a fade for me this week.

PGA Championship: DraftKings Darlings

Keith Mitchell $6200

Mitchell has been playing great with four straight top 20 finishes, and he’s long off the tee which is a big help here. His putting haasn’t been great recently, but he’s +0.54 around the green, and +0.86 approach.

He was the first round leader last week, so if he gets off to another good start he’ll make the cut and give us valuable weekend points.

JJ Spaun $6400

Spaun is long and accurate off the tee, so he should play well here if he keeps it up. He’s shown upside with 2 runners up recently, and a 17th place finish last week.

His putting has been good this year at +0.20, and his approaches have been great this year at +0.87. Solid price on him this week.

Harris English $6800

English is coming off an 11th place finish last week, and that’s 5 straight made cuts including 3 top 18’s. His putting has been lights out at +0.52 the last 30 days, and +0.62 approach.

His lack of distance off the tee is a bit concerning, but he’s accurate, so he should be able to make up for his lack of distance with his accurate irons and putting.

Final Lineup: Keith Mitchell $6200, JJ Spaun $6400, Harris English $6800, Corey Conners $8300, Min Woo Lee $8600, Scottie Scheffler $13,400

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