Creighton vs Kansas State Predictions, Picks and Odds

Seventeen made three-pointers in a single game is the kind of number that can flip any matchup on its head, and that perimeter firepower is exactly what makes this Creighton vs Kansas State prediction so compelling. The Creighton Bluejays (2-0) visit Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas, to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (1-1) on November 10, 2026, at 9:00 PM ET, with two first-year head coaches meeting in an early Big East versus Big 12 showdown.

Kansas State has won four straight meetings in this series, yet Creighton is the road favorite and has drawn every public dollar on the spread. Can the Bluejays’ suffocating defense and dominance on the glass silence a Wildcats team that can catch fire from deep? Before you bet, check out our full collection of free college basketball predictions, then dive into the complete breakdown below.

Quick Picks and Prediction for Creighton vs Kansas State

Spread Pick: Creighton -2.5
Total Pick: Under 158.5
Projected Final Score: Creighton 80, Kansas State 74

Odds and Line Movement for Creighton vs Kansas State

Creighton opened as a 3.5-point favorite and the spread has swung between -2.5 and -3.5 repeatedly, currently resting at -2.5. The total has steadily climbed into the 158.5 range after being dealt as low as 155.5, even though 100% of the public money is on the Under. Track every move in real time with our live odds.

Opening Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Creighton	-3½ (-105)	Over 155½ (-112)
Kansas State	+3½ (-115)	Under 155½ (-108)

Current Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Creighton	-2½ (-112)	Over 158½ (-105)
Kansas State	+2½ (-108)	Under 158½ (-115)

Line Movement – Spread

Date	Creighton	Kansas State
11/10	-2½ (-112)	+2½ (-108)
11/10	-3½ (-105)	+3½ (-115)
11/10	-3½ (-110)	+3½ (-110)
11/09	-3½ (-105)	+3½ (-115)
11/09	-2½ (-115)	+2½ (-105)
11/09	-3½ (-102)	+3½ (-118)
11/09	-2½ (-118)	+2½ (-102)
11/09	-3½ (-105)	+3½ (-115)

Line Movement – Total

Date	Over	Under
11/10	158½ (-105)	158½ (-115)
11/10	157½ (-110)	157½ (-110)
11/10	158½ (-108)	158½ (-112)
11/09	157½ (-115)	157½ (-105)
11/09	158½ (-105)	158½ (-115)
11/09	157½ (-112)	157½ (-108)
11/09	158½ (-105)	158½ (-115)
11/09	157½ (-110)	157½ (-110)
11/09	158½ (-105)	158½ (-115)
11/09	157½ (-110)	157½ (-110)
11/09	156½ (-112)	156½ (-108)
11/09	157½ (-105)	157½ (-115)
11/09	156½ (-105)	156½ (-115)
11/09	155½ (-112)	155½ (-108)

Creighton vs Kansas State Key Matchups and Handicap

Creighton Defense Sets the Standard Under Alan Huss

Creighton has opened the Alan Huss era with two convincing wins, beating Kansas City 76-61 and Le Moyne 83-55. The Bluejays are averaging 79.5 points while allowing just 58.0 per game, and that defensive foundation has been the story of their start. Creighton is generating 13.0 steals per contest, a level of disruption that can quickly turn into easy transition points. The offense is still finding its rhythm at 41% shooting from the field, but the defense has been good enough to carry the Bluejays while their scoring catches up.

CREI Scoring Leaders: Wes Enis and Jackson McAndrew

South Florida transfer Wes Enis has wasted no time becoming Creighton’s primary scoring option, averaging 20.5 points per game. Jackson McAndrew provides a reliable second option with 12.0 points and 6.0 rebounds, while freshman Katrelle Harmon has shown impressive playmaking with 5.5 assists per contest. That distribution has helped the Bluejays average 16.5 assists, giving them a balanced offensive attack that does not rely solely on one player.

Creighton Rebounding and Turnover Edge

The clearest separation in this matchup is on the glass. Creighton averages 43.0 rebounds compared to Kansas State’s 35.5, a gap that should create valuable second-chance opportunities. Combined with the Bluejays’ ability to force turnovers, that edge gives Creighton more possessions and more chances to control the tempo, which is a critical counter to the Wildcats’ perimeter shooting.

Kansas State Lives and Dies by the Three

Kansas State opened with a disappointing 68-66 loss to South Dakota State before bouncing back with a 95-78 win over CSUN. First-year head coach Casey Alexander has built his offense around perimeter shooting, and the Wildcats are averaging 80.5 points while making 46% of their field-goal attempts. Kansas State connected on 17 three-pointers against CSUN, a clear demonstration of how explosive this approach can be when shots are falling. The risk is that a perimeter-dependent offense can go cold quickly, especially against an active defense.

KSU Sharpshooter Brandon Rechsteiner

Colorado State transfer Brandon Rechsteiner leads Kansas State with 21.0 points and 4.0 assists per game and has already knocked down 10 three-pointers through two contests. He is the engine of the Wildcats’ offense, and Creighton’s perimeter defense will need to stay attached to him at all times. Pape N’Diaye contributes 6.0 rebounds, while Jaden Schutt and Isaiah Abraham add offensive versatility around Rechsteiner.

Wildcats Backcourt Depth Questions

Kansas State is still developing chemistry, and its backcourt depth is under scrutiny. Guard Timo Malovec is day-to-day while working back from an extended absence, and Andrej Kostic continues to battle a knee injury that has limited his availability. If either player is limited, the Wildcats lose offensive flexibility against a Creighton defense that thrives on pressuring ball handlers. JT Rock’s return to full health helps, but the margin for error remains thin.

Betting Trends: CREI vs KSU

Kansas State holds a narrow 9-8 edge in the all-time series.
Kansas State has won four consecutive meetings, including an 83-76 win in Omaha last season.
Creighton is 2-0, beating Kansas City 76-61 and Le Moyne 83-55.
Kansas State is 1-1 after a 68-66 loss to South Dakota State and a 95-78 win over CSUN.
Creighton allows just 58.0 points per game and averages 13.0 steals.
Creighton averages 43.0 rebounds per game, compared to 35.5 for Kansas State.
Kansas State made 17 three-pointers against CSUN.
The spread opened at Creighton -3.5 and now sits at -2.5 after multiple swings.
Public spread betting shows 100% of the money on Creighton.
The total has climbed from 155.5 to 158.5, with 100% of the public money and tickets on the Under.

Key Injuries and Notes: CREI vs KSU

Kansas State G Timo Malovec: Day-to-day while recovering from an extended absence.
Kansas State Andrej Kostic: Dealing with a knee injury that has limited his availability.
Kansas State JT Rock: Reportedly back to full health.
Creighton: No significant confirmed absences ahead of this matchup.
Coaching Note: Both Alan Huss and Casey Alexander are in their first seasons as head coaches of these programs.
Venue: Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas, with tipoff set for 9:00 PM ET on November 10, 2026.

ATS and Total Picks for Creighton vs Kansas State

Spread Pick: Creighton -2.5

Creighton’s defensive activity and rebounding advantage give it the edge in this matchup. The Bluejays allow just 58.0 points per game, force plenty of turnovers, and should own the glass by a wide margin. Kansas State’s series winning streak and home floor are worth respecting, but a short spread essentially asks Creighton to win the game, and its two-way balance makes that the likeliest outcome.

Total Pick: Under 158.5

The total has climbed three points from its earliest number, which creates value on the Under. Creighton’s defense has been elite through two games, and its ability to control the boards should limit Kansas State’s possessions. The Wildcats’ perimeter shooting can produce bursts of scoring, but asking a three-point-reliant team to sustain that against an active Bluejays defense is a tall order.

Creighton vs Kansas State Best Bets

Best Bet: Creighton -2.5 (-112)
Total Bet: Under 158.5 (-115)
Key Edge: Creighton’s 43.0 rebounds and 13.0 steals per game against a Kansas State team still building chemistry
Market Signal: Total climbed from 155.5 to 158.5, inflating the number on a matchup featuring a defense allowing only 58.0 points per game

Final Score Prediction for Creighton vs Kansas State

Kansas State will lean on Rechsteiner and its three-point shooting to keep this one competitive, but Creighton’s defense and control of the glass should prove decisive. Expect the Bluejays to snap the Wildcats’ four-game series winning streak with a road victory while the scoring stays below the inflated total.