BKFC 91 Picks, Predictions, Odds and Best Bets July 18

BKFC 91 Betting Preview Including Best Bets

WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his BKFC 91 predictions and picks for July 18 with Lorenzo Hunt vs Walter Pugliesi headlining the main event. The main card kicks off at 1:00PM ET from Arena Flegrea in Naples, Italy!

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BKFC 91 Main Event: Lorenzo Hunt vs Walter Pugliesi

Saturday, July 18	BKFC 91 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Lorenzo Hunt -220 vs Walter Pugliesi +155
Rounds:	N/A
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT
Arena:	Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA
TV:	DAZN

BKFC 91 Predictions

Jindrich Byrtus -150 vs Ernesto Papa +110

Byrtus is a solid fighter with plenty of experience, but he has a tendency to get drawn into wild exchanges. When the firefights begin, he’ll duck his head and start winging punches, leaving plenty of openings.

His lone BKFC loss came after fading badly in the third round, although he has also shown he can win decisions, so it’s still difficult to know exactly how reliable his cardio is over longer fights.

Papa hasn’t faced elite competition, but he comes out extremely fast and already owns two first round knockouts in BKFC. If Byrtus gives him those early opportunities, Papa has the power to capitalize. The value sits with the underdog. At plus money, Papa is worth a look.

Toni Estorer -150 vs Tomas Melis +110

This is a fight between two guys I don’t completely trust. Estorer has looked good when facing lower-level competition but lost once he stepped up against a more capable opponent.

Melis absorbed a lot of damage in his most recent loss, including suffering a broken nose earlier this year. Durability is a fair concern.

That said, Melis appears to be the quicker fighter and probably carries a little more power. Estorer does have a reach advantage, but Melis’ compact style allows him to close distance effectively. I’ll lean toward Melis at plus money.

Danny Christie -200 vs Enzo Tobbia +150

Christie has dropped his last two fights, but both losses came against elite competition. Tobbia is nowhere near that level. Tobbia comes from an MMA background, is undersized for this matchup, and looked overwhelmed in his last BKFC appearance.

Christie should have clear advantages in both size and reach. If he establishes the jab and starts landing clean early, Tobbia is likely to unravel once the damage begins to accumulate. This is a favorable bounce-back spot for Christie, and I expect him to find a finish.

BKFC 91 Main Event: Lorenzo Hunt vs Walter Pugliesi

I think Pugliesi is very live in this matchup. His first step behind the jab is incredibly quick, and that speed could create problems for Hunt early. Hunt has all the experience in the world, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he starts a little slower while trying to read the fight.

Hunt remains the more complete fighter. He has proven power, excellent cardio, and enough experience to capitalize on mistakes. If Pugliesi gets overly aggressive, Hunt is more than capable of timing a counter on the way in.

The key is the pace. If Hunt can drag this fight into the second, third, and championship rounds, I think his experience begins to separate him. But early on, Pugliesi has a real chance to steal the fight. I can’t justify laying -220 with Hunt. Pugliesi is the value side.

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