UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds May 9

UFC 328 Picks, Predictions and Odds

UFC 328 picks and predictions for May 9 by UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang are available below with the main event headlined by Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland in a middleweight title fight! The main card starts up at 9:00pm ET from the Prudential Center, Newark, NJ.

Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland: UFC 328 Main Event

Saturday, May 9	UFC 328 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397
Rounds:	2.5 Rounds (Over -106 / Under -120)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT
Arena:	T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV
TV:	Paramount+

UFC 328 Predictions: Undercard

Joshua Van +150 vs Tatsuro Taira -156 

Both are young and rising fast. Van is now champion after Pantoja’s injury. He has the striking edge, while Taira has the wrestling advantage.

However, Van’s takedown defense has been excellent, and Taira has leaned less on wrestling recently. If this stays on the feet, Van can win. Van is the pick. 

Alexander Volkov -163 vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta +156 

Acosta has found KO power recently, but his win over Delija came in controversial fashion. Volkov uses range well and is very durable — he doesn’t get knocked out.

This could be a low volume fight, but Volkov should control distance better. Close fight, Volkov is the pick, but not a betting spot. 

Sean Brady -138 vs Joaquin Buckley +133 

When Brady can wrestle, he dominates. If he can’t, he struggles badly on the feet. Buckley is the better striker but hasn’t proven he can stop takedowns. This is straightforward — Brady wrestles for three rounds and wins a decision. Brady is the pick. 

King Green -323 vs Jeremy Stephens +265 

Stephens relies on a big KO shot and has been focused on boxing, not MMA. This stays on the feet, but Green has better speed, movement, and volume. He should pick Stephens apart from range and avoid danger. Green by decision. 

Ateba Gautier -872 vs Ozzy Diaz +683 

Gautier burned bettors last time by not getting the KO, but this is still a mismatch. Diaz has been  knocked out in his last two losses against less powerful fighters. Gautier’s power should be too much. Gautier by KO is the pick. 

Joel Alvarez +156 vs Yaroslav Amosov -163 

Amosov has strong wrestling and a solid debut, but Alvarez is a violent striker who can also fight  off his back. Style-wise it’s a tough matchup for Alvarez, but he can turn this into chaos. I’ll take the upside — Alvarez is the pick. 

Grant Dawson -170 vs Mateusz Rebecki +163 

Dawson’s durability is a concern, but his wrestling is elite — if he gets opponents down, they stay down. Rebecki is reckless and absorbs a ton of damage. Dawson should avoid extended striking exchanges, get takedowns, and control the fight. Dawson is the pick. 

Jim Miller +252 vs Jared Gordon -307 

Miller is past his prime and dealing with injuries, especially in his knees. Gordon fought well last  time despite being injured before the fight. He’s more athletic and should have advantages in both striking and wrestling. Gordon is the pick. 

Roman Kopylov +163 vs Marco Tulio -170 

Kopylov looks to be fading, with back-to-back losses and declining durability. Tulio throws heavy early and has five straight fights ending before Round 3. His power should overwhelm  Kopylov early. Tulio is the pick. 

Pat Sabatini -209 vs William Gomis +173 

Sabatini is elite with takedowns and control. Gomis is the better striker, but his wrestling defense likely won’t hold up here. Even with his awkward stance, Sabatini should get this to the ground  and control it. Sabatini is the pick. 

Baisangur Susurkaev -721 vs Djorden Santos +489 

Susurkaev is good but overpriced. He struggled at times last fight, and Santos showed toughness  and willingness to brawl. If Susurkaev isn’t sharp, Santos could steal moments. Susurkaev is the pick, but this price is unplayable. 

Clayton Carpenter +170 vs Jose Ochoa -178 

Neither fighter is impressive. Ochoa has terrible takedown defense, which is a major issue here.  Carpenter isn’t a great striker, but if he commits to wrestling, he should have success. Carpenter is a solid underdog pick.

UFC 328 Main Event: Khamzat Chimaev -491 vs Sean Strickland +397

Strickland wants this to be a boxing match, but Chimaev will wrestle and maul him. Chimaev looked like he fixed his cardio issues last fight, and there’s real intensity in this matchup. He won’t get cute here — expect takedowns and dominant ground control. Chimaev is the pick.

Get MORE Free Picks on WagerTalk TV!

Are you subscribed to WagerTalk TV? If not, what are you waiting for?! Set up alerts so that you never miss an episode of your favorite shows. Drop the gloves with the Puck Time crew and swing for the fences on First Pitch. From betting tips to free picks, WagerTalk TV is your one-stop shop for streaming sports betting content.

WagerTalk also offers Free UFC Picks all year long! Also, at WagerTalk you can always find free MLB picks every day.

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

• Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
• Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
• Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.

Make sure to bookmark all the above!