Pavlos Laguretos
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Hot Streaks
62% (31-19) run in 5% Home Spread Bets (+21u)
73% (11-4) Run in 4% Sides (+12u)
73% (33-12) Run in 4% Parlays (+71.56u)
60% (108-71) Run in 4% Releases L/12 Months (+72.2u)
Last updated Jan 31, 8:49 AM EST
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Downloads
How to Bet on Soccer Cheat Sheet
What’s Inside:
How Soccer Betting Differs from American Sports: Learn why soccer betting is unique — from the 90-minute rule to why bets settle at the end of regulation, even if there's extra time or penalty kicks.
Understanding 3-Way Betting: Master one of the most common soccer bets: choosing between a win, loss, or draw. Know when to target underdogs, draws, or favorites based on match scenarios.
Moneyline, Totals, and Goal Lines Explained: Get clear on soccer-specific moneylines, how over/under total goals work, and how goal lines (similar to spreads) create different betting opportunities.
Futures Betting in Soccer: Dive into betting markets like which team will win a tournament (World Cup, UEFA Champions League) or finish top of a domestic league. Understand odds movement throughout a season.
Props and Specialty Bets: Explore popular soccer prop bets, including “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS), “Correct Score,” “First Goal Scorer,” and player props like total shots or cards received.
Key Tips for Betting Soccer Smarter: Learn what stats matter most in soccer betting — from team form and injuries to head-to-head matchups, goal differential, and lineup rotation based on tournament schedules.
Bonus: Injury Time & Extra Time Basics: Understand how injury time impacts betting results, and why knowing tournament overtime rules is critical before placing knockout-stage bets.
Summary Teaser (Optional add-on):
Soccer betting isn’t like betting football, basketball, or baseball — and if you don't know the differences, you're leaving money on the table. Our free Soccer Betting 101 Cheat Sheet walks you through everything you need to bet smarter: from 3-way betting basics to futures, goal lines, and beyond. Download now and start cashing tickets like a pro!
Free Picks
THE PLAY: Over 4.5 Cards (-120)
Toulouse vs Auxerre
Ligue 1, Sunday, 11:15am ET
Play: Over 4.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Line good to -135
We got THE best referee for cards officiating the two teams with the highest card totals on Sunday, between Toulouse and Auxerre.
Auxerre #1 in Yellow Cards with 2.32/game and #1 in Red Cards with 6 in 19 matches.
Auxerre #1 in Yellow Cards at home with 2.3/game, and #1 in Red Cards at home with 5 in 10
Auxerre #1 in Yellow Cards Against with 2.58/game, and #3 in Red Cards Against with 4 in 19
Auxerre #1 in Yellow Cards Against at home with 3.4/game, and #1 in Red Cards Against at home with 4 in 10.
Toulouse #2 in Yellow Cards with 2.26/game, and #5 in Red Cards with 2 in 19
Toulouse #1 in Yellow Cards on the road with 3.11/game, and #4 in Red Cards with 1 in 9
Toulouse #7 in Yellow Cards Against with 1.95/game, and #5 in Red Cards Against with 2 in 19
Toulouse #5 in Yellow Cards Against on the road with 1.78/game, and #3 in Red Cards Against on the road with 1 in 9.
The reverse fixture had 9 cards with 1 red card.
Referee Romain Lissorgue is one of the best (if not THE best) for cards in the Ligue 1 this season:
7 matches, 37 total cards, average 5.28/game, with 2 red cards.
He has officiated two Auxerre matches this season, both at home and both vs Monaco (in league and Cup), with 10 and 7 cards.
The odds on Over 4.5 Cards range from -129 (BetRivers) to +100 (DraftKings), to -111 at B365. Taking a median price of -120 here.
Take 3% on the Over 4.5 Cards (-120), line good to -135
THE PLAY: Penalty Kick Awarded (+300)
Angers vs Metz
Ligue 1, Sunday, 11:15am ET
Play: Penalty Kick Awarded
Odds at Time of Release: +300
Line Parameter: Line good to +225
Metz have the 3rd most Penalty Kicks FOR with 5 so far (scored 4 of 5), and they also have the 2nd most Penalty Kicks AGAINST with 7 (conceded 6 of 7).
Angers have 2 Penalty Kicks FOR and 4 AGAINST, and here's the interesting part: the same referee that officiated the reverse fixture in the first round is also officiating this one. Back in that match, he awarded a Penalty Kick for each side.
This is kind of a relegation battle, as Metz are sitting dead last with 12 points, but a win here could bump them two spots up, and in the relegation playoff spot. Angers are comfortably sitting 9 points above the relegation zone, but a loss here could complicate things.
Referee has awarded 5 Penalty Kicks in 9 Ligue 1 matches this season, and has a lifetime total of 73 Penalty Kicks in 262 Ligue 1 matches, an average of 0.27/match or, roughly, one penalty kick every 3-4 matches.
BetMGM have this prop at +300, we ride with 1u
Take 1% on Penalty Kick Awarded (+300), line good to +225
THE PLAY: Own Goal Scored (+1400)
Getafe vs Celta Vigo
La Liga, Sunday, 12:30pm ET
Play: Own Goal Scored
Odds at Time of Release: +1400
Line Parameter: Line good to +1000
It is almost our duty to bet this type of system in Celta's every match, because they have insane amounts of Penalties, Red Cards and some Own Goals in their matches. Now up against a Getafe side that are sliding down the standings and are getting exponentially aggressive, this match could get really ugly. Going with our favourite "Celta Trifecta" once again, where we pick the Penalty Kick, the Red Card and the Own Goal, as well as the Over 5.5 Cards.
Getafe have the highest card average at home with 3.00/game, and also 2.5 cards against/game
Celta get 2.1 cards/game on the road, and 3.3 cards against/game on the road.
Celta also have the most red cards against, with 7 in 21 matches.
Cards in H2H: 5/9/6/3/10/13/2/6/6/4/6
Cards in this venue: 9/3/13/6/6
Also 5 Red Cards in L/11 H2H and 3 Penalty Kicks.
Referee has an average of 5.9 cards/match in the La Liga this season, with 5 Penalty Kicks and 3 Red Cards in 11 matches.
Take 0.25% on Own Goal Scored (+1400), line good to +1000
THE PLAY: Red Card Awarded (+280)
Getafe vs Celta Vigo
La Liga, Sunday, 12:30pm ET
Play: Red Card Awarded
Odds at Time of Release: +280
Line Parameter: Line good to +250
It is almost our duty to bet this type of system in Celta's every match, because they have insane amounts of Penalties, Red Cards and some Own Goals in their matches. Now up against a Getafe side that are sliding down the standings and are getting exponentially aggressive, this match could get really ugly. Going with our favourite "Celta Trifecta" once again, where we pick the Penalty Kick, the Red Card and the Own Goal, as well as the Over 5.5 Cards.
Getafe have the highest card average at home with 3.00/game, and also 2.5 cards against/game
Celta get 2.1 cards/game on the road, and 3.3 cards against/game on the road.
Celta also have the most red cards against, with 7 in 21 matches.
Cards in H2H: 5/9/6/3/10/13/2/6/6/4/6
Cards in this venue: 9/3/13/6/6
Also 5 Red Cards in L/11 H2H and 3 Penalty Kicks.
Referee has an average of 5.9 cards/match in the La Liga this season, with 5 Penalty Kicks and 3 Red Cards in 11 matches.
Take 1% on Red Card Awarded (+280), line good to +250
THE PLAY: Penalty Kick Awarded (+290)
Getafe vs Celta Vigo
La Liga, Sunday, 12:30pm ET
Play: Penalty Kick Awarded
Odds at Time of Release: +290
Line Parameter: Line good to +250
It is almost our duty to bet this type of system in Celta's every match, because they have insane amounts of Penalties, Red Cards and some Own Goals in their matches. Now up against a Getafe side that are sliding down the standings and are getting exponentially aggressive, this match could get really ugly. Going with our favourite "Celta Trifecta" once again, where we pick the Penalty Kick, the Red Card and the Own Goal, as well as the Over 5.5 Cards.
Getafe have the highest card average at home with 3.00/game, and also 2.5 cards against/game
Celta get 2.1 cards/game on the road, and 3.3 cards against/game on the road.
Celta also have the most red cards against, with 7 in 21 matches.
Cards in H2H: 5/9/6/3/10/13/2/6/6/4/6
Cards in this venue: 9/3/13/6/6
Also 5 Red Cards in L/11 H2H and 3 Penalty Kicks.
Referee has an average of 5.9 cards/match in the La Liga this season, with 5 Penalty Kicks and 3 Red Cards in 11 matches.
Take 1% on Penalty Kick Awarded (+290), line good to +250
THE PLAY: Over 5.5 Cards (-122)
Getafe vs Celta Vigo
La Liga, Sunday, 12:30pm ET
Play: Over 5.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -122
Line Parameter: Line good to -130
It is almost our duty to bet this type of system in Celta's every match, because they have insane amounts of Penalties, Red Cards and some Own Goals in their matches. Now up against a Getafe side that are sliding down the standings and are getting exponentially aggressive, this match could get really ugly. Going with our favourite "Celta Trifecta" once again, where we pick the Penalty Kick, the Red Card and the Own Goal, as well as the Over 5.5 Cards.
Getafe have the highest card average at home with 3.00/game, and also 2.5 cards against/game
Celta get 2.1 cards/game on the road, and 3.3 cards against/game on the road.
Celta also have the most red cards against, with 7 in 21 matches.
Cards in H2H: 5/9/6/3/10/13/2/6/6/4/6
Cards in this venue: 9/3/13/6/6
Also 5 Red Cards in L/11 H2H and 3 Penalty Kicks.
Referee has an average of 5.9 cards/match in the La Liga this season, with 5 Penalty Kicks and 3 Red Cards in 11 matches.
Take 2% on Over 5.5 Cards (-122), line good to -130
THE PLAY: Jari Vandeputte Anytime Assist (+600)
Cremonese vs Inter Milan
Serie A, Sunday, 12pm ET
Play: Jari Vandeputte Anytime Assist
Odds at Time of Release: +600 FD
Line Parameter: Line good to +500
We've talked about Jari Vandeputte's assist props that are best played at FanDuel because of the better odds AND the fact that they count assists differently than other books (for example if he shoots and another player gets a rebound, or if he wins a penalty kick etc).
He is on set piece duty, he is leading the team in Assists (4), Big chances created (7) and at +600, you can't go wrong. He assisted Cremonese's only goal in the reverse fixture vs Inter Milan.
Take 1% on Jari Vandeputte Anytime Assist (+600 FanDuel), line good to +500
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Consultant Bio
Pavlos betting on European sports when he was in High School, back when most people his age didn't even know how to bet. After acquiring a Bachelor's Degree in International Economic Relationships and development from the Democritus University in Greece, Pavlos took a different path.
Things really took off for him in 2014 when he officially started writing predictions for US-based sites. Things picked up pretty quickly, and he has produced thousands upon thousands of match previous and predictions. He tends to venture off the beaten path, looking for hidden gems in a myriad of games you can bet on.
Single and double bets aside, Pavlos likes to play the odds as well. While some days there are safe single bets, there are other days that provide opportunities for different bets. Bets like Correct Scores, amount of Yellow Cards, Half-Time/Full-Time results, and all kinds of prop bets. Pavlos covers the following leagues: Major League Soccer (MLS), Copa America, EURO Cup, English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, French Ligue 1, Champions League, and Europa League.
The betting systems he created have seen some massive pay-outs over the years. A couple of correct scores paired together can potentially save your entire season. These are small-stake bets that cost a few units but could bring massive returns on your investment.
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