Kyle Anthony

THE PLAY: Uros Medic win by knockout (+115)

In Uros Medic’s most recent fight we placed a 5% wager on him to finish Daniel Rodriguez by knockout (-140). Medic delivered the knockout shot just 30 seconds into the opening round. Easy cash! That result has us returning to the same approach for his matchup against Kevin Holland. Several clear factors continue to favor Medic in this spot. One of the most significant issues with Holland is a noticeable lack of motivation. He has spoken openly about having little interest in climbing the UFC rankings and has expressed no real desire to compete for a title. In a recent interview he indicated that he plans to retire in the near future and has no intention of re-signing once his current deal expires. These comments point to a fighter who is not fully invested in the outcome of individual bouts. Medic on the other hand, remains sharply focused and committed to steadily improving his overall game. The stylistic matchup also works in Medic’s favor. Holland is a long, rangy striker who can throw solid combinations, yet he often lacks the technical precision required against a sharp counter-puncher. Although he will hold a 10 inch reach advantage, he frequently fails to use that length effectively. Has a tendency to wing wild shots and overextend, which leaves him open to clean counters. In tighter exchanges he looks less comfortable and can struggle once the fight moves into the pocket. Medic is an explosive striker who carries legitimate one-punch power. He presses forward aggressively from the opening bell and that pressure should create problems for Holland on the feet. Medic’s biggest edge comes from the combination of quick hands and real stopping power. Those tools should allow him to find success in exchanges and land heavy shots. Defensively Holland remains vulnerable and is there to be hit. It should not take many clean connections from Medic to end the night early. The possibility of Holland looking for takedowns appears limited. Across his last 18 UFC fights dating back to 2021, he has recorded only 7 successful takedowns. This suggests the contest will largely be decided standing. Another concern showed up in Holland’s recent bout against Daniel Rodriguez. Rodriguez managed to drop Holland twice despite not carrying significant power in his hands. That result serves as a clear warning sign. If a fighter with modest power can hurt Holland, Medic should be more than capable of finishing the fight by knockout. Over Medic's 14 career victories, 12 of those were by KO and fully expecting him to add to that total Saturday night.

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Uros Medic win by knockout (+115)