Bryan Leonard
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THE PLAY: Total Under 8.5 (+102) R Olson (RHP), M Wacha (RHP) Must Start
964 Detroit at Kansas City
We really like the starting staffs of both of these clubs. They went out and brought in starting pitchers who could take advantage of these home ballparks. Both stadiums are two of the best in suppressing home runs. Considering neither team has major offensive home run talent, it has been a great decision in the early going.
Reese Olson has really come into his own this year. Only once all season has he permitted more than two earned runs to any opponent, and that was six weeks ago. In his last six starts Olson has allowed just five earned runs in 37.1 innings.
Michael Wacha has been an extreme fly ball pitcher as he has aged. The MLB average launch angle this season is 12.2 degrees. He has surpassed that number the last five seasons. So you need to pick your spots when backing Wacha, and this stadium suits him perfectly. His advanced stats show him to be excellent in exit velocity and hard hit rate. He keeps the opposition off balance, which is why we like him here.
PLAY UNDER
THE PLAY: Washington Nationals +144 P Lopez (RHP), M Parker (LHP) Must Start
970 Minnesota at Washington
Six straight losses for the Twins who have been extremely streaky in the early going. The Minnesota offense has scored nine combined runs in those six defeats. After being outscored 14 to 1 in the Yankees series, Minnesota failed to win a single game against their chief division rival Cleveland.
Pablo López has had a very good season with a 28.7 to 4.0 K to BB ratio. And his xERA is only 2.88. But the back of the bullpen has been a concern as Jhoan Duran has blown back to back saves, including a walk off homer last night in Cleveland. With the Twins offense struggling, there is no way we can lay this number on the road.
Washington was just swept in Philadelphia so things are not rosy for the Nationals either. But we do like the way Mitchell Parker has started his MLB career. He has a 3.09 ERA and 1.13 WHIP thus far. We like to back young lefties in their initial runs, as they seem to have much better success than rookie righties. When looking at his game logs we see that he has already faced the quality offenses of the Dodgers, Astros, Rangers and Orioles. In those games he has gone 23 innings, allowing just 7 earned runs. All of the back end relievers in the Nationals bullpen will be available to pitch tonight.
PLAY WASHINGTON
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Consultant Bio
Bryan Leonard has been a Professional Handicapper since 1984 and has built his business on honesty and customer satisfaction, two traits not easily found in today's gambling climate. He has won numerous Number One documented finishes in Basketball, Baseball, and Football Handicapping in his 35+ years in the industry. In the past, Bryan has published The Roundball Report Basketball Newsletter and The Pigskin Report Football Newsletter. Bryan has also been a featured writer for Insider Football Magazine and Grantland on ESPN.com. He has also been featured in various newspapers and websites, including the Las Vegas Review Journal, where he provided weekly football recommendations.
Originally from the sports handicapping hotbed of Cleveland, Ohio, he relocated to Las Vegas in 1997 for better exposure and increased opportunities, including being able to take advantage of line shopping in Sin City. Since coming out West, Bryan has hosted his own daily radio handicapping show and is frequently sought after as an expert on many local and national sports handicapping shows. A key tool in any handicapper's arsenal is a solid group of Power Ratings, and Bryan is much sought after for his expertise. As a consultant to oddsmakers, Bryan has seen the action on both sides of the counter. His numbers are regarded by many to be as strong as any in the country.
Bryan was the 2000 regular season champion of the Sunset Station Invitational Handicapping Contest, as well as the second-place finisher in 2001. In fact, Bryan is the only handicapper to finish in the top five in each of the final three seasons of that contest. He was also a Top 10 Finisher in the 2003 Hilton Superbook Contest, as well as an invited guest in the 2003 and 2004 Stardust Invitationals. Mr. Leonard is also a Two Time Finalist in the Cantor Football Showdown, which is filmed live from the Golden Nugget Sportsbook in downtown Las Vegas. Bryan has now been a finalist 7 times in various Las Vegas handicapping contests.
Quality over quantity has been Bryan's mantra in sports gambling. If you are looking for a shotgun approach to this business, keep looking. As Bryan releases only the games, he bets himself. If he can't find a wager worth making that day, Bryan will pass, living to fight another day. He started out way back when specializing in the NBA with great success. And has since moved on to cover all four major sports in the United States. Bryan has produced huge profit the past three seasons in MLB action and has yet to have a losing NHL campaign. If you are looking for a long-term, proven winner in pro and college action, look no further.
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