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Ben Burns

Ben Burns

(965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) Toronto Blue Jays

Event:
(965) Baltimore Orioles at (966) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
June 5, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-126
Play:
5% – Toronto Blue Jays -126 A Suarez (RHP), J Berrios (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Win
Analysis

(5%) TORONTO. After getting pounded yesterday, I fully expect the Blue Jays to bounce back today. The season is quickly slipping away. The Jays' playoff chances are getting slimmer by the day. That said, they're not completely out of it yet. They need to go on a run before the trade deadline to avoid being “sellers.” While that may not happen, they've got the right man on the mound to get them a much-needed victory. Berrios has been outstanding this season, brilliant at home. Through 12 starts, he's got a 2.78 ERA and 1.076 WHIP, the Jays going 8-4. Toronto is 4-1 in his five home starts, Berrios delivering a 1.60 ERA and 0.921 WHIP. To his credit, Suarez has also been pitching really well. However, it's a much smaller sample size than Berrios as he's only made five starts. Also, importantly, Suarez is averaging less than five innings per start. Berrios is averaging more than six innings per start, nearly seven at home. Berrios has one bad start (at Philadelphia) but has been dominant both before and after. It should also be mentioned that Berrios is 10-1 with an ERA of 2.95 and 80 strikeouts in 15 appearances against the Orioles in his career. He went six or more innings in 13 of the past 14 of those starts, 5 ⅔ innings in the other. A few weeks ago, he held the O's to two runs, on only three hits, through seven innings. Including that 3-2 Toronto win, Berrios' teams are 13-1 his last 14 starts vs. Baltimore. *good at 5% up to -140

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