Pavlos Laguretos
(202413) FC Augsburg at (202414) Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund vs Augsburg
Bundesliga, Saturday, 9:30am ET
Play: Augsburg +0.5
Odds at Time of Release: +100
Line Parameter: Playable to -110
Dortmund have little to play for in the Bundesliga, as the 5th spot also opened up for the Champions League and they are sitting there with 57 points, 12 points above Frankfurt (so they can't drop down), and 6 points behind Leipzig. Their big concern right now is the second leg of the Champions League semi-finals on Tuesday, where they will travel to Paris to face PSG after winning the first leg by a (lucky) 1-0.
Augsburg are sitting 9th with 39 points, just 1 point behind Hoffenheim who are sitting 7th at the Europa Conference League spot. That means that even a Draw against Dortmund on Saturday might be able to push them up to 7th. Still very interested in points, and Augsburg might have lost some steam after winning 4 in a row, having won just 1 of L/5 and coming off a bad 3-0 home loss to Werder Bremen.
But since Dortmund aren't looking for something, while Augsburg are, and Dortmund are surely going to be distracted (and will rotate) ahead of THE match of the season for them in the Champions League semi-finals, we are looking to fade the home side here.
Take 2u on Augsburg +0.5 (+100)