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Bryan Power
German Bundesliga
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3% Bayer Leverkusen PK (9:30 AM ET): Fresh off winning 2-0 at Olympiacos in the first leg of the Champions League knockout playoff, Bayer Leverkusen now return to domestic matters and look to make it seven wins in the last eight matches across all competitions as they visit the capital city Saturday for a date with slumping Union Berlin. Despite their recent good form, Leverkusen are still only sitting 6th in the Bundesliga table. But only three points off the top four, a return to Champions League football next season is still very much in play. Kasper Hjulmand’s side has also progressed to the semifinal of the DFB Pokal.
I am always a bit wary when a team is coming off mid-week European competition. But in this instance, it’s difficult to see Leverkusen not taking advantage of Union Berlin’s recent poor form. The host team has yet to win in 2026 with three draws and three losses in their six league matches. Last week’s 3-2 loss at Hamburg SV dropped Union into the bottom half of the table and they’re now only six points clear of the relegation playoff spot. While it would be a bit of a shock to see Union fall into the drop zone, manager Steffan Baumgart definitely seems to be on shaky ground with the club.
In three of their last four matches, Union have conceded at least three goals. Meanwhile, Leverkusen have conceded only two goals total during their seven-match unbeaten run, which also includes five clean sheets! Therefore, I’m quite surprised we can get Leverkusen at this price while also being protected in case of a draw. This match is taking place in between the two Champions League legs, but I just don’t see Leverkusen losing here. They beat Union 2-0 in the reverse, back in October. Looking at the Bundesliga table, there’s an obvious gap between the top six and the rest of the field this season. 3% Bayer Leverkusen PK (Play to -160)
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