England Premier League

(200093) Fulham at (200094) Brentford

Fulham has been pushing the issue on the road as of late averaging nearly 18 shots per match over their last seven away games.  They have scored 11 goals and lost just twice during that span.  That's a stark difference from their first ten on the road in which they averaged only 8.5 shots per match, scored a total of nine goals and had just one win with three draws and six losses.  

Their schedule to start the season was brutal, so the numbers make sense, but they have been playing much more aggressively against these mid-table or worse teams, right where Brentford would fall in terms of quality.  Their xG increased from 0.87 to 1.69 in those same span of games.

The one consistent though has been their defense playing poorly away from home all season.  So, you have to expect they conceded one or two, and their current form suggests they scored at least one or two which leads to many scenarios in which at least three goals or scored.  This may ultimately push, but I think we have a lot more chances to cash than to stay Under.

TAKE OVER 3.0 GOALS

Line Parameter: 4% to -120, 3% to -140